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1 points

Comment | sean54 commented on Complex Range Analysis

Same here.

Jan. 2, 2014 | 6:05 p.m.

Your review is off course spot on. But I think the majority of Elite members would benefit more if you made a review of a more experienced player.

Dec. 21, 2013 | 4:51 p.m.

Post | sean54 posted in MTT: ROI in high stakes MTTs

Have a hard time deciding if playing/studying high stakes MTTs are woth my while.
I'm kind of clueless what decent, good and great ROI looks like.

Let's say I play:

9 tables simultaneously
Buy ins from $50-$500ish
Most sites, with good tourney selection
Mostley non turbos

What would you consider decent, good and great ROI?
And if you know what the top pros ROI look like, I would be greatful if you would share it.

July 4, 2013 | 1:09 p.m.

This is something i've been thinking about for some time. Would love to hear some of you're thoughts on this.

Let's assume you're a mid/high stakes MTT reg. Even though it's a large player pool there are gonna be alot of regs and semi-regs that we're gonna build up some history with. I'm woundering how much you're trying to exploit vs staying balanced against them. 

Here are some exploitive spot examples:

1. Folded to you in sb w/ 12 bb (BB covers). You minraise fold 34o just coz it looks strong.
2. Small 5bet commit AK repping AK,KK hoping to fold out pockets.

Are this things you like to have in you're "arsenal"? If so, against what type of opponents? (regs, semi-regs,unknowns) 
Or do you prefer to play a pretty "straight forward" game in theese spots and make them do "mistakes" against you're overall range?

Also, how do you like other regs/semi-regs to view you? For example: good player, bad, unsure.

June 18, 2013 | 2:49 a.m.

Thanks for your input. Appreciate it!

June 18, 2013 | 2:11 a.m.

Post | sean54 posted in MTT: Standard sunday MTT stake deal

i'm trying to setup a stake deal with a friend of mine. I really have no expereience in MTT staking so I would appreciate some advice.

* He is good player but have limited MTT experience
* I will offer him free coaching
* He will be allowed to play all majors with buy ins up to $300
* Makeup

What would you say is a fair deal for both parties?

June 13, 2013 | 5 p.m.

Post | sean54 posted in MTT: Turbo final tables strategy

I would be greatful for some of your thoughts on theese two scenarios. Both scenarios are final tables with shallow stacks. I'm looking for answers in a very genarl way.

Case 1: Good regs. What do you think is the optimal strategy here? Shove NASH regardless of stack size? If not what effective stack size are you considering opening opposed to shoving?

Case 1: Mix of good regs and people that dosn't seem too ICM aware (calling of too light). Obv thing to do here is to tighten up, right? Question is just how much we should tighten up. And are you more inclined to have a minraise range?

Do you even think there is much of an edge to be had in $100+ turbo MTTs? If so it feels like most of our edge should come from final tables with bad opponents, right?

May 30, 2013 | 9:23 p.m.

Comment | sean54 commented on Probablity question

I would like to calculate the probability of having < 2 bb/100 when my ev bb is 8. Yes I realized it was simpler to use /1 than /100.
But your'e saying i'm doing it wrong when I use stdv bb insted of stdv ev bb? Could you please explain why? And I didn't find that stat in HM2, is it possible to calc manually?

May 30, 2013 | 9 p.m.

Comment | sean54 commented on Probablity question

Figured it out. Should be like this:

Standard error = 7 / 30000^0.5
z = 2-8 / Standard error

May 29, 2013 | 3:46 p.m.

Comment | sean54 commented on Bubble spot

Thanks for your advice sir, but in this instance I was completly readless. What do u prefer? Fold, jam, minraise fold vs sb, minraise call sb? And in what order.

In soft field are u more inclined to "gamble" to have a bigger more playable stack later on?

I would also be greatful if someone could provide some info on how to calculate theese spots mathematically.

May 28, 2013 | 2:44 a.m.

Post | sean54 posted in MTT: Probablity question

Wizard needed to verify that im dong theese calcs right.

Let's assume 30k mtt hands. I wanna calculate the probability of bb/100 is < 2
bb/100 = 2
ev bb/100 = 8
stdv bb/100 = 70

Central limit theorem can be applied, right?

Is this formula correct? Should I use 30k/100 or just 30k?

t = (2-8) / (70/3k^0.5)

And then look up t in a z-table? (t will obv be very cloose to z coz of the large sample)

May 28, 2013 | 2:34 a.m.

Post | sean54 posted in MTT: Bubble spot

Couldn't figure out how to copy the hand from HM2 so I will type it.

iPoker 200k Sunday Special
158 people left, 153 will cash.
I'm new to the table.
Folded to me on the button with A9s. I got 21 bb.
SB: 28 bb, BB: 9 bb.
Whats your play?

Anyone have any suggestions of how to think on the bubble?
I know a good way to think about knockout's is that u get x amount of extra chips when calling an all in from someone u cover. Can somewhat similar thinking be applied to bubble spots?

May 27, 2013 | 1:11 p.m.

Post | sean54 posted in NLHE: 4bet Ax hands
Regarding "Ax are good hands to 4bet with coz out opponent will have less strong hands".
Is it not a bit overrated? When doing some calcs I dont find that big of a differnce 4bet Ax vs random junk.

We open 45o from the button and 4bet:
Our opponent 3bets 226 combs (AT+,A2s+,77+ and some other hands) from sb. He will shove on our 4bet with 50 of thoose combs (AK,AQs+,99+).
50/226 = 22%

We open Ac2d from the button and 4bet:
If we remove Ac from his 3betting combs, hes down to 187 combs. And will shove with 39 of thoose.
39/187 = 21%

Am I wrong?

April 26, 2013 | 12:34 p.m.

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