42:50 after over betting the 6T3 J turn, you say we would have to bluff river with our Q8s after flush gets in on the 6 river.
I would've just used all our Ak, Aq, KQ combos with a flush blocker, and only bluff the q8s when the flush draw misses. What is wrong with using that strategy?
March 24, 2019 | 7:43 a.m.
I don't understand this. 50z rake is 5%, 500z is a smaller %, so isnt 100% of pots raked more?
March 23, 2019 | 5:42 p.m.
I like this kind of video. I did my own exploration (same board, similar ranges). Some interesting things I found...
IP having a forced check out performs a forced 1/3 cb. Also, I tried to make the forced cbet have the same betting volume as optimal strat. In my case this was 16.5% pot. the result was 0.65% of pot ev loss. But the ev maximizing size for forced cb was 12% pot which achieved around 0.5% pot loss. That outperforms your GTO approximation.
My question is why we never see a 12% range cbet strat in game? Am I a genius pioneer or is there something I am missing?
March 23, 2019 | 10:30 a.m.
We have a 4betting range because the ev of 4betting AA and KK is significantly higher than flatting. And we will not recoup that ev loss simply by outplaying people postflop.
Would you also advocate never raising cbets to reduce variance and outplay people with a stronger range on later streets?
March 22, 2019 | 9:51 a.m.
radtupperware My concern with the range is that it isn't exactly optimal, and contains alot of randomness as a result of using too few flops, and if he were to run the preflop solution over infinite flops it would smooth out.
March 19, 2019 | 3:59 a.m.
What's the point of having your bb vs sb range like that? I get that it's a solver output, but can't you just clean it up a little keeping roughly the same range distribution and frequencies? It stresses me out just looking at it.
For example, you are 3betting 77&66-15%—55-100% and 44-40%. Why not just change them all to 40-45%
March 17, 2019 | 5:43 p.m.
Interesting video, I don't have a preflop solver so it's great to see one being used. How long do these sims take to solve?
Would love to see bb 3bet strategy when the rfi is not folding much to 3bs or over folding.
March 17, 2019 | 9:38 a.m.
I m curious when your deploying the "only limp" strategy UTG when entering the pot, what is your limping range? How much wider can we go comparatively to the 14-17% RFI range?
You abandon the open limping strategy from MP and LP I assume, right?
March 13, 2019 | 6:20 a.m.
Yes I would much rather have a set to continue on turn. I don't have any pair here. Even pio doesn't know what to do with my hand on the turn, mixing between call/fold and raise. But I think folding all my over pairs with a heart is over folding here, especially if villain is betting a decent amount of AhK. I think I can safetly fold all my QQ but continue with JJ and KK with hearts.
I also don't think folding straight on the river is a good strategy. Villain can easily be betting with AhA and AhK, making all my QJ combos massively +ev.
March 11, 2019 | 5:11 a.m.
I would expect a player on this stack size to not fold enough. Would also expect him to be wide enough preflop for your cbet to not be that great, he can just jam over it with draws and pairs. I would just check back try and get to showdown.
March 10, 2019 | 8:50 p.m.
But it is definitely optimal to bet AK here. So if he is a decent player he should recognize that AA is now too thin a value bet, but AK (with heart) makes a good bluff.
March 10, 2019 | 4:58 p.m.
Q1. I considered raising JJ, but we can never fold to a shove once we raise (oop can just shove his flush draws at us )and given we are so deep, I think there is more ev in just calling. Seeing an A or K does not put is in a tough spot, it makes it very easy for us (we just fold). A much tougher spot is facing barrels on blanks. I think we make the most ev from our range here by having no raises.
Q2. Shoving turn is a good play the more villain is barreling Ak with a heart, as it puts that hand in an awful spot.
Q3. Sizing seemed extremely standard. Would expect him to size all his bluffs and value the same.
March 10, 2019 | 12:06 p.m.
Well he doesn't have to think it is a good bluffing spot. Just has to look down at AKo with a heart and realize it is the best bluff combo. And if he does bluff all his ak heart combos he needs about 18 value combos to make my river fold ok.
He has 6 combos of AA, KK with a heart blocker, and about 2 combos of flush.
March 10, 2019 | 7:35 a.m.
The problem is AA/KK is likely too thin to shove river with. If he recognizes this, he just has one or two combos of flush, and 6 possible combos of AKo with a heart for bluffs. And I think I need 26% equity on the river.
March 9, 2019 | 7:31 p.m.
I've already tried pioing this hand. It's interesting because he should be checking turn 100% as it crushes my range. My play all depends on how often he is bluffing with AK (with a heart).
March 9, 2019 | 7:21 p.m.
March 9, 2019 | 7:17 p.m.
Rake is $2.00
March 9, 2019 | 4:21 p.m.
I think your stack sizes are incorrect, I believe bb was 600k. So it was 13bb shove, then 45bb reshove. But my sim came to the same conclusion, that this was a pretty clear fold. Fedor and sauce could learn alot from us.
Feb. 28, 2019 | 12:54 p.m.
I bought solutions for 50nl (3x rfi) and there are alot of weird results. For example hij 3b range vs utg. The sim has hij folding AJs, ATs and KTs 100% but then mostly 3betting with K6s, A8s, A3s. I don't really understand this.
Then it has button coming in for a cold 4bet with k5s 78%, although aqs gets folded 100%.
Feb. 25, 2019 | 11:11 a.m.
I recently bought some preflop solutions for 6max, and they don't make alot of sense to me. I want to ask if this is common for preflop solvers. There seems to be alot of anomalies, which really tilt me. For example a bb defense spot might be 100% fold with Q7s and Q5s but continues with Q6s. Or IP folding KTs and K9s vs a 3x open, but mixing 3bet with K8s-K6s.
Is there any rational explanation for these outputs? I'm not sure whether to follow this or tidy it up a bit so that it; makes sense, is easier to remember, and the charts are more pleasing to the eye.