Sorry guys, i let it run to 0.05% accuracy and the final run showed 99% check and the ev of checking was 2k, highe rthan betting which had ev of 900.
Will remember to run to a more accurate level next time.
Jan. 1, 2019 | 11:24 a.m.
Hi Run it once, this is my first started topic on the forums in 2 years :p
I recently played a hand on an Asian app, 10/20/40 game with antes.
Utg raised about 160, hero called in straddle with J8s. About 6.5k effective.
Flop KJ8r. Utg cbet about 300, hero checkraised 3x to 880, utg clicked back to 1500. Hero called with bottom 2 vs what looked like a polarised range
Turn 3off. Check / check
(Pot 3.5k, 5k behind) River 2off. Hero??
I decided that since UTG has a lot of very weak hands and we have a lot of busted hands that had to continue facing such a small 3bet on the flop (e.g open ends, some gutshots) as well as some strong stuff (e.g 2pairs/sets) that decided not to 4bet the flop: Hero should choose a large sizing that will win us the pot a high majority of the time - this will increase the ev of our bluffs as well. I thought to use the all-in size would be best as it would take away his option of rebluffing which would be the only way he could win the pot with his flop bluffs now.
However, when I ran the sim through pio (nodelocking Villain's flop 3bet to a very constricted range of AT, AQ, QT, T9, some random spazz hands like TT, AJ, 87) it got me to a river where OOP had a 62% of the EV and yet pio decided that OOP should check 97% of the time. This was the first question I had - isn't the player with higher EV supposed to be betting, especially when OOP has hands like T9 and QT that need to bluff to win?
- Why is the EV of betting 4000 chips higher than checking, and yet PIO chooses to check a huge majority of the time?
Dec. 26, 2018 | 5:20 p.m.
The video is gold.. worth 1 month of elite membership alone. Thank you Jason.
For me, I would advise a few things:
1. that even for really introverted poker players such as myself, having a support group of friends of at least a decent standard to talk through and thrash out some hands and even moan over really bad beats for a while is invaluable. I learned that bottling up everything can be really bad for you especially in a game that gives you anxiety and stress on every turn and river card.
2. On the same note, you really don't want to be hanging out with poker people all the time. Try and keep an active network of non-poker friends, and when you do get the chance to meet up with them, really try not to bring your work into it (unless they ask you to). I learned this the hard way when I bored a friend out of her mind discussing my poker career.
3. One of the beauties of poker for me is that as much as I train in football, I will never get the chance to play against a famous international / Premier league player. At an event at my first WSOP this year, I was at the same table with several famous tournament pros. It was a real motivating factor for me and even though I busted out of the money, I was able to go back and tell my friends that I was here because I worked hard in poker, I am now playing at the same table as many famous pros I used to watch on televised EPTs and WSOPs and such.
P. S. Brian I actually saw you at the Bellagio in Bobby's Room this summer but I didn't dare say hi. But it was really cool to see you. The hand in partypoker premier league where you called an 8x pot against Phil Laak with Ahigh is still one of the most memorable poker TV spots in my life.