Notes I had already:
btn v bb, doubled and gave up QJ K344Jr
opened 67s in co, called 3b oop
I opened, co, bad player call sb, he flatted bb. x/r squeeze KQ Q85 (bad player folds), x/c, x/x Q8536r
Hero stats for session. 28/25 3bBB 11%.
CO folds, BN raises to $3, SB folds, Hero raises to $10, BN raises to $28, Hero calls $18
I don't want to 5b so deep. Folding just seems dirty against those stats.
I would probably do the same with AKo.
June 16, 2014 | 1:48 p.m.
Just FYI, you will get better and unbiased feedback if you don't show the results of the hand.
I would likely fold pre. But if he is super loose and will fold a bunch to c-bets then it is ok.
If he is loose x/calling a lot of c-bets with any piece, you can open and only bet when you make connect.
I'll try and pretend that I didn't know the results-- I would cbet flop. x turn and likely bet 1/2 pot on river.
In the future, if this exact scenario came up again and we don't know his hand. I would check back flop and bet the turn.
April 15, 2014 | 8:42 a.m.
I'll try and justify it from his (possible) perspective.
Pre: Open 88 in the HJ. Btn is 3betting a decent amount. If I give him a range, he has big pairs, AQ+ maybe AJ+ and some Axs. I'll flat here, try and hit a set.
Flop: Q72r. He will be c-betting pretty much 100% here. I'll x/c and he'll probably check back the turn with AK/AJ etc, and I'll fold to any more aggression.
Turn: I have a set. I beat everything except QQ now. No point in donking or raising, I can let him value bet worse or continue bluffing.
River: X/Jam is the best play, He may value bet worse or be trippling off and turning a hand into a bluff.
..So, if I am villain, I think his call pre is poor, flop x/c is questionable, turn and river are played well.
April 15, 2014 | 1 a.m.
Hey CombatCarl & Daz, I hate to be that guy but I think that based on the guy's range it is a bad shove. Sure, it worked out well this time but overall, I think it is a losing play.
That is just my opinion and I understand/respect that you may disagree.
April 15, 2014 | 12:50 a.m.
I don't mind a 3bet or a call preflop with AJ.
Flop - is definitely a bet.
Turn - I can go with a bet or a check-call. I prefer a bet to get value from pair plus gutters and hands like QJ that should be checking back.
River - There isn't really a hand that is worse that can call. Jamming here is turning your hand into a bluff. I think this is a 'check-hope they check back' which is really a 'check-fold'.
The hands that you would be trying to fold out likely would have 3bet preflop (AA, QQ, AK) and the hands that you beat will check back the river and not call (QJ, TJ, TT, 9T, 89).
April 13, 2014 | 8:33 p.m.
It's fine. We don't mind him calling there. I think a shove is far too big on the turn.
He happened to have this hand, but for his overall range, we're good on the river.
To sum up, I'm never folding the river and we stack him from him sigh calling off when he connects with an A.
April 4, 2014 | 6:58 p.m.
I like the call on the flop. It isn't that co-ordinated of a board.
On the turn, I either lead or x/r. Either is fine, but since we assume that he has a strong hand I think a x/r is best.
Depending on the turn action, I am leading river on 100% of run-outs except maybe AA and/or KK.
April 4, 2014 | 4:46 p.m.
I think everyone else has said it. On the flop, I could go either way with checking or betting.
Turn I would like a check back getting ready to go into bluff-catching mode on the river if diamonds brick out.
As for value betting, there is no hand that I would want calling/expect to call three streets here that I beat.
April 4, 2014 | 4:42 p.m.
Pre: Everything here looks OK, given that you expect the HJ to come along a decent amount.
His large sizing makes me think he watched a BalugaWhale video from back in the day where he isolates bad players with AA making it like 10x. We are purely set mining since I doubt he makes it this big with AK but might with QQ+?
Flop: I would rather a call, hopefully encourage the limper to call. Then just let him barrel off, raising only gets it in with AA.
Did all of that make sense? I hope so..
April 3, 2014 | 5:13 p.m.
Pre: Open is good/standard (man, I hate that word)
Flop, turn and river, I like. Sometimes he will have a set and/or J9s. But I think he will have a bricked flush enough. But if he has J9s, he can have T8s that he might be trying to value-bet.
April 3, 2014 | 5:05 p.m.
I think using KTs as a squeeze here is better than a flat, especially if the BB has any aggression, I think they would squeeze over your flat a decent amount.
On the flop, I think I prefer a x/c rather than a lead.
On the turn after we lead flop, I would rather x/c. I think when we bet again, there aren't a lot of worse hands that are coming along-- there are some Tx that we beat but he can also have AT and over pairs, as well as if he is opening 7xs (24/17) but I doubt he is when playing .
As played, I would fold to the turn raise.
River is just a x/f.
April 3, 2014 | 7:58 a.m.
I would be curious how he plays KQ, AJs & AQ pre in these positions.
I think I like raising the flop. He will continue in some fashion with AA, KK and AK as well as his draws. JJ and QQ will only put more money in if they improve.
On the turn, I am conflicted. He doesn't have draws very often the would X here unless it is AQhh or AKss but I also think that he would bet QQ and KK?
If we get x/r we are almost always behind. But I don't think that happens a lot. So I think betting is best, but might be alright to bluff catch the river.
April 2, 2014 | 5:25 p.m.
Thank you very much for taking the time, I appreciate it.
I don't know if the bluffing frequencies at 100nl are super high (especially not balanced).
Would Ax not be a better bluff catcher that KcQx? Just because we then don't block hands that he could be using to bluff with and remove some better Ax that he could be betting for value?
April 2, 2014 | 4:58 p.m.
I'd like to thank everyone for their input. I think my mistake came in thinking that the river was a larger overbet than I thought rather than just poor sizing on his behalf.
With that in mind. What would our thoughts be if it was 2x pot on the river?
April 2, 2014 | 4:49 p.m.
Why not be happy?
I don't think it is such an easy call. In fact, I think it is close to a fold if we take into consideration that:
a) I highly doubt he overbets with AK or AQ.
b) And I doubt that he overbets with any flush other than the few combos of KcXc.
That being said, his value range absolutely crushes our range, what does he really expect us to call with to that overbet? In theory, this could possibly be the bottom of our calling range until we think he starts to become more bluff heavy.
If we start to think that he can bluff 3 streets with the bare Kc then it starts to move towards a more solid call.
..Just food for thought.
April 1, 2014 | 4:02 p.m.
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $2, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $6
April 1, 2014 | 1:21 p.m.
2.5x is when people are playing back at you a lot as happens at higher levels. At 100nl, while there are some decent players, you are not getting exploited btn v co.
3x builds a bigger pot and you can get stacks in by the river without overbetting vs bad players.
As I said, there is nothing wrong with opening to 2.5x, I just don't think it is required here.
I would play it the same excluding the sizings. 3x pre. And I would probably go a little larger on the turn barrel, I don't think the sizing affects his calling range at all. Maybe $16.5 or $17.