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Gaffero

7 points

Comment | Gaffero commented on Monotone Boards

That makes sense Thanks Ben!

How do you think the composition of the monotone board effects the strategy, so the A93 is a particularly static board but what about something like the 457sss or J87sss, would it be the same broader idea off trapping earlier on and pulling triggers on later streets?

Similarly how do tighter range effect the play?

June 25, 2020 | 3:43 p.m.

Comment | Gaffero commented on Monotone Boards

Hi Ben- I notice that the OOP check raise strategy is very passive, but in practice I see a lot of players check raising strong pair + gutters, sets and 2p etc, am i right in thinking the exploit to this is to develop 3 betting strategies with vulnerable flushes as well as attacking their calls on the turn?

June 24, 2020 | 10:46 p.m.

June 24, 2020 | 4:04 p.m.

Hi Guys,

6 max cash player;

I've always had a problem with show-down winnings, and have managed to tighten up a few areas of my game to improve this but i'm still really struggling; S

Some of my key stats that i've identified i think look reasonable (below), i don't know why i lose so much at showdown, my hunch is i'm too aggressive. I do have a reasonable understanding off blockers and i don't think the issue is around calling (river call efficiency is high, i try not to get to the later streets too wide etc), my hunch is that i'm too aggressive, but in game i never really feel this is the case, e.g i make sure i gave up missed flush draws/bad blockers, don't push bluffs if i think i'm getting called too wide, such as paired board or where they have a big range advantage etc.

My suspicion is i'm getting nailed in the bigger 3b and 4bp where i overcall tough hands and where people may be significantly underbluffing, like the 99+ in a 4bp on 22587r, i just always end up calling it off. I also suspect i'm overbluffing spots, i do normally try and find pressure points and often willing to go for massive overbets or raises if i think players are inbalanced towards bluffs, not protecting themselves etc, but i feel stripping out that part of my game could be a problem because i feel like that is one of my most effective areas.

I do have a high WWSF and always have, not sure if this needs to come down.

Are there any other angles i could be missing or are any of the below stats revealing?

W$SD: 46.63

VPIP PFR: 23/19
River call efficiency: 1.3
C bet stats: 61, 56, 57
Aggression %: Flop: 40.3 Turn: 35.7 River: 38.31

3b stats:

3b%: 10%
41% call v 3b
45% fold v 3b
14% raise v 3b

June 24, 2020 | 4:02 p.m.

I agree with the 4 bet pre, the only hand that I think makes sense by the river is pocket 10s or A10, and you block out a lot of A10.

I think the donk bet may polarise your range and could encourage bluffs from air,

Also, I like the donk bet in so far as you can get value from medium strength pairs like 99 JJ etc, but I think in doing that you are polarising your range which can encourage bluffs so I would be inclined towards calling but not sure if my thought process is very good there haha

June 18, 2017 | 5:07 p.m.

Hands like AJ KJ QJ, hands with a flush draw and loads of pair and straight draw type hands will all probably call, 9 10 can also call. These are all behind your hand at the moment, so we can look to get value from them

By 'play poker' I mean reevaluate if you get raised, I'd probably fold to a raise.

June 17, 2017 | 10:11 p.m.

I like betting the board, because you can get called by worse, and you can play poker if you get raised. The other thing is most turns are bad for your hand, so ideally you want to take it down on the flop.

There are a lot of raises that will be drawing hands & semi bluffs, and you block out a lot of sets. You're only really crushed against made straights kq, 78 and j7 suited and even then you have some equity (16%).

I would make a meaty bet on the flop around 75-85%

June 15, 2017 | 7:43 p.m.

Yeah I don't think 4 betting accomplishes much, seeing as the fish is a donk, you have a hand that flops very well, and a relatively straightforward looking reg, this should make decisions easy because the reg is likely to be straightforward versus the fish (knowing bluffing is a fish is not a great idea). Although you are in the SB I think this dynamic make decision making reasonably straightforward.

June 8, 2017 | 8:38 p.m.

Played it well, maybe i go a touch bigger to size up a river shove thats a little easier to call, but it would only increase a little bit :) other than that, i take the same line

June 7, 2017 | 6:46 a.m.

I'm finding that tayloring c bet size according to HUD stats is a really good strategy. Against better players my c bets are smaller and against the passive players i make them really big, generally in 3b pots i'll go for around 60% because i believe there is a big difference in fold equity between 40% v 60% which overcompensates for the price.

June 6, 2017 | 12:14 p.m.

He called with 9s so you were never getting the fold in hindsight, but given the fairly passive way he played the hand, i actually like the shove becausehe has like no fives, and you're getting calls from 10x and lots of underpairs considering how he played pre and flop and turn, there is very little ax so i don't actually think its a scare card. Don't think he has overpairs as pre being oop

June 6, 2017 | 6:45 a.m.

Comment | Gaffero commented on KK on wet board

Yeah not the biggest fan on checking the flop, there are a tonne of draws you can get value from, i'd lean towards a big bet (75%-85%) because you're out of position and there are a load of bad turn cards

June 6, 2017 | 6:34 a.m.

Hi guys, opinion on this spot.

£30 buy in tournament, live.

Blinds are 1500/3000 ante 400- 9 handed table pot 8100 to start

Hero UTG+ 2 playing 160k, playing very TAG game as there are a lot of calling stations.

UTG is a slightly weak passive fish playing mostly card strength, and has open limped a lot of hands. We've seen him overvalue many hands like Ace rag and will call raises OOP pre with weak hands.

Button is an unknown.

Average stack at this point is around 58k, 92 left in tournament, no where near the money.

UTG min raises to 6k (playing 119k)

UTG + 1 folds

Hero- UTG + 2 looks down at jacks (playing 160k) and raises to 25k (purposely larger than I would at a stronger standard table)
Folds around to Button who shoves for 65k - he's an unkown who has just moved to our table.

Folds around to UTG who reshoves for 88k more (113k shove).

Hero calls 88k into the pot of 217,100. So i think i need 28% equity here, please clarify? Unfortunately my main laptop isn't working so can't plug this into flopzilla, can anyone see how I am doing against the following ranges, and challenge these range assumptions?

UTG could have AJo, A10suited+, 66+ (seen a lot of shoving small pairs on this table but can't remember if he's been doing it)

Button is fairly short and i think he's shoving wide- 22+, AJ+, KJs+ KQo.

My concluding thought that i did not consider at the time, is we block out a lot of key hands we're crushing like AJ, KJ which leaves more value in their range maybe.

Any other thoughts would be really appreciated!!

April 2, 2017 | 11:20 a.m.

Also against stronger players, I would be making the sizes smaller and given the action would probably be finding a fold with Jacks.

April 2, 2017 | 11:18 a.m.

That's a good point UTG is probably limping baby pairs, I don't think I said he can't have AQ AK, if I did that was a mistake because I think his range has a lot of that in it!

Also a good point that the button should know I'm calling given my raise size which strengthens his range, but the quality of players seems to be very poor in the tournament, so really wouldn't be surprised if he's shoving baby pairs.

The 3 bet size is big because far worse hands are going to continue (most pocket pairs) especially as the table was playing, also worth noting that pot is already big because of antes etc, and if I made it like 12-15k people are priced in with all sorts of Rubbish and given the passivity of the table, I'm ok with the raise size. I was also hoping to Isolate the UTG player with position and probable card edge.

Thanks for your input- appreciated!

April 2, 2017 | 11:17 a.m.

Why is it irrelevant that he hasn't folded to a 3 bet? If the answer is because we don't have a sample size, fair enough, but if we do, I would suggest it makes his range much wider and thus we can c bet him of his air, which would comprise a lot of his range, if he has a paired hand, we still have decent equity anyway.

Betting also keeps our range uncapped (we could have any overpair) and so it might even give us the option to fire multiple barrels as a hand like a medium to weak pair will probably call 1 street and fold to a turn bet. This also allows us the full equity of our hand.

Remember he's unlikely to have QQ-AA because he didn't re raise pre.

April 2, 2017 | 7:37 a.m.

I would say that raises doesn't take out bluffs, a lot of draws can and will raise here.

Also why are we trying to keep SPR low? Its much more difficult playing an overpair on a high SPR pot on such a wet board. If we look to get value in on the flop and keep the SPR shallow, it eases our decision making massively which means we're less likely to make mistakes.

April 2, 2017 | 7:32 a.m.

We block certain flushes because its impossible to have like 56 of diamonds because 5 diamonds is already on the flop.

April 2, 2017 | 7:27 a.m.

Hi guys, opinion on this spot.

£30 buy in tournament, live.

Blinds are 1500/3000 ante 400- 9 handed table pot 8100 to start

Hero UTG+ 2 playing 160k, playing very TAG game as there are a lot of calling stations.

UTG is a slightly weak passive fish playing mostly card strength, and has open limped a lot of hands. We've seen him overvalue many hands like Ace rag and will call raises OOP pre with weak hands.

Button is an unknown.

Average stack at this point is around 58k, 92 left in tournament, no where near the money.

UTG min raises to 6k (playing 119k)

UTG + 1 folds

Hero- UTG + 2 looks down at jacks (playing 160k) and raises to 25k
Folds around to Button who shoves for 65k - he's an unkown who has just moved to our table.

Folds around to UTG who reshoves for 88k more (113k shove).

Hero calls 88k into the pot of 217,100. So i think i need 28% equity here, please clarify? Unfortunately my main laptop isn't working so can't plug this into flopzilla, can anyone see how I am doing against the following ranges, and challenge these range assumptions?

UTG could have AJo, A10suited+, 66+ (seen a lot of shoving small pairs on this table but can't remember if he's been doing it)

Button is fairly short and i think he's shoving wide- 22+, AJ+, KJs+ KQo.

My concluding thought that i did not consider at the time, is we block out a lot of key hands we're crushing like AJ, KJ which leaves more value in their range maybe.

Any other thoughts would be really appreciated!!

April 2, 2017 | 7:25 a.m.

Comment | Gaffero commented on Weird river spot

I think you literally only have a bluff catcher on the river, and I think AK also checks back some of the time because it has showdown value, from his stats it looks like he may know this.

I think a fold is correct, but its a difficult one. I think the mistake is preflop you should be folding or re raising

March 29, 2017 | 7:50 p.m.

I think you should be raising the flop on such a wet board, worse is definitely going to continue, and there could be a lot of bad cards that can kill action on turns and rivers.

As played on the river, its hard to get value from hands we beat against a reg, but for a fish we can get looked up by Jacks/ QJ/Q10 if he's really bad A10, I think fish like to donk the river with any major value hand or raise any sets (boats) before we get there. So I like a shove.

March 29, 2017 | 7:40 p.m.

Interesting, I'm playing at 2NL atm (win rate about 10/100 not including rb over 35k hands). My default would be to stack of because there are a fair amount of flushes we block as played, we block of most AJ, and the queen knocks some AQ, I think AK would probably be getting it in preflop.

So rough combos of bluff hands we beat

AxQx with a diamond = 2
22 = 3 combo
55 = 3 combos
QQ = 3 combos
AA = 9 combos
KK = 9 combos

total 29

hands that beat us:

There are 78 combos of diamond hands pre, given the pre flop action, I think its unlikely he's going to be continuing with hands like 3d4d, the board blocks 5d6d and 4d5d, so he would have to have 67 78 89 KQ AQ 910 of diamonds maybe K10 Q10, which there are only is about 8 combos in total.

8/27 = roughly 67% we're ahead. I think we should be looking to get it in here? But maybe that's a leak of mine.

March 29, 2017 | 7:22 p.m.

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