GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - 50/100 (15 ante) - 8 players
c9022de9 (UTG): 8,983 (90 bb)
cbde3a65 (UTG+1): 10,998 (110 bb)
9521593c (MP): 10,265 (103 bb)
558e2523 (MP+1): 10,070 (101 bb)
47d32b02 (CO): 10,419 (104 bb)
80697f0f (BU): 9,640 (96 bb)
b2d59891 (SB): 9,980 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): 9,660 (97 bb)
Pre-Flop: (270) Hero (Hero) is BB with A♥ 6♦
2 players fold, 9521593c (MP) raises to 240, 558e2523 (MP+1) calls 240, 47d32b02 (CO) calls 240, 80697f0f (BU) calls 240, 1 fold, Hero (BB) 3-bets to 1,530, 9521593c (MP) 4-bets to 10,250 (all-in), 3 players fold, Hero (BB) folds
Total pot: 3,950
9521593c (MP) wins 3,950
The open raiser is a reg and I have no infos about the cold callers. However, the cold callers seemed rather weak at the time.
I was wondering about such potential bluff squeezing spots in terms of 1) how big my squeeze should be and 2) which hands I use to bluff.
Due to the many cold callers, my squeeze is quite big. I guess I don't need to go even bigger as at some point, the stack to pot ratio becomes more important to the or (or the cold callers) than the immediate pot odds. For example, I think suited broadways are going to call less when the remaining stack-pot ratio is below 10:1. That said, I think at some point (i.e. increasing number of cold callers), my squeeze does not need to be bigger. Say the SB would have overcalled as well, is there any reason to squeeze bigger?
That said, due to the big sizing and small stack-pot ratio, I think villains calling range is quite small and I will most often see a fold or 4bet. Assuming that, I think playability is not that important and blockers become more important. That's why I like to bluff with Axo and would rather overcall Axs SCs and weak suited broadways.
Aug. 12, 2020 | 7:52 a.m.
I might have expressed myself a bit badly. I meant if someone sees him calling turn and river with TT- (= TT-66) after a flop check behind.
And as I said, even if he would call frequently with those hands, it wouldnt make up the disadvantages of a cb. I was just curious since he called down 99 in this specific hand.
Thx for the help!
Nov. 10, 2013 | 8:52 p.m.
@ BigFishzh: Good post, thx! nothing to say but you are right. Especially the fact that checking back with certain blockers would make much more sense. Didnt think about that.
@ Ondrej: you could make an argument about betting bigger but 16 would be way to much esp. in a 3bet pot. Betting your suggested amounts would leave us a ~50$ stack on the river after betting. Thats the kind of spr where its getting hard to bet/fold imo.
Anyway, does anyone see him calling down TT- for 2 streets? That would be a reason left for checking back the flop.(Even if, I would pref. betting now anyways but I am jus curious)
Nov. 9, 2013 | 4:33 p.m.
UTG2: $112.35 (Hero)
UTG folds, UTG1 raises to $3, Hero raises to $9, UTG3 folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG1 calls $6
Anyway, the fish folds and the reg calls, so we are HU. His opening range should be sth like:
22+ ATs+, AJo+, KTs+, KJo+, QTs+, QJo+, JTs wich is 14,3%
I dont see him calling 43% of that hands to my 3bet here given the positions but I still assume he is calling a very wide range:
66-QQ, AQo, AJs-AQs, KJs+, QJs
Anyway I stick with the fact, that I wont get 3 streets agains one pair hands + excellend spot to balance my give ups. What do you think? I still pref. the checkbehind.
Nov. 9, 2013 | 7:46 a.m.
@ Daz: Yeah you are prob. right, I wont be shoving too many draws on the turn with that much stack behind. Obv. its more important what he is guessing how much I am shoving with draws, but I think he doesn´t see me shoving too much with draws there so he might find a fold with a decend made hand.
thx again everybody!
Nov. 8, 2013 | 5:38 p.m.
Thx for all the replies so far!
@ SCS & Daz: I am not really worried to much about his draws. As given in my range I just see a few combos. I am more thinking about my percieved range wich includes a lot more draws.
@ Chael Sonnen: Why isnt a 16/14 a standard reg? Its Fullring in case you didnt noticed (althought its just 7 handed in that moment). Your argument for shoving the turn is exactly what I meant, still think its close.
Would love to hear some opinions of your play in villains position with certain hands!
Thanks a lot again!
Nov. 5, 2013 | 10:10 p.m.
CO: $143.51 (Hero)
UTG folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $2.62, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to $8, Hero calls $6.38
I see him double barreling QQ+, AK, AhQh and a rare heart SC definetly, TT/JJ maybe. I am allmost 88% favorite against that range.
The obv advantage of calling is, that I can keep his range wide as possible and I will be able to get the money in on the river pretty easyly regarding the spr.
The obv disadvantage of calling is that he might realise equity on the river that he might have foldet out to a turn shove.
I am just thinking about hands like TT-QQ here and I would like to get some oppinions on what villain is likely to to (or what would you do in his spot). would you rather call a turn shove because Hero does have some semibluffs in his range or would you more c/c a blank river to catch those?
Do you see him folding AK,AA to a turn shove?
Additionally, any heart river might kill action sometimes. Do you see him barreling blank river with his busted draws?
Weighting all those things, I personally pref the call on the turn. What do you think?
Nov. 5, 2013 | 5:37 p.m.
I like your vids a lot and I am really glad to see some good fullring content! I have some questions and looking forward to your answers:
bottom left table - 16:26
Would you ever check behind a Kd hand in this spot? My point is, that most playerrs would bet Turn & River with any
hand (at least at this turn), because they expect us to never have the nuts and we always have a hard time to call 2 barrels.
upper right table - 31:25
you say, if villain is going for a check/raise, he do it most of the time with some strong made hands and strong
draws and it is an eays bet/fold spot. So, why not betting smaller, around 12$? I guess this size would do the same job and save some money
upper middle table - 37:58
you say this guy has a lot of toppair/overpair type hands at the turn and is going to call a lot there. If you were in villains shoes, with
a hand like QQ+ or A9, how would you play it? The same way like villain did?
bottom right table - 51:57
do you have a check/call range in this spot? And if yes, which hands are in this range? I mean, in villains shoes, doesn't it make a lot of
sense to turn most of his marginal made hands into a bluff, because he knows you are going to fold almost ever (often even the best better hand) ?
Thanks in advance!