I'd say your quickly becoming one of my favourite coaches, the subjects you cover in your videos are highly interesting and as far as I know haven't been covered by other people. The way you teach keeps me both engaged and I learn so much from your videos. Definitely elite material (dare I say it) Keep up the hard work, its highly appreciated.
As for the last theoretical question about whether folding +EV hands can improve Shania and vice versa. The results of the Monker sim you showed had IP mixing calls vs the 3b with 66-99 (which suggested that folding +EV hands at a frequency can improve Shania, on the assumption that those hands are +EV in the first place) and the calls with 22-44 and 78s suggest that -EV calls do improve Shania, it just depends on the frequency that you have them in your range. If your range is comprised of many strong hands and then a few weaker pocket pairs and suited connectors then surely the EV or those weaker hands has to be +EV because of the relative strength of the rest of your range?
So in the end folding +EV hands does improve Shania because the EV of each hand depends on your whole range, if your range is only AA and 23s then 23s is going to be +EV, but when you add 22-99, 45s-89s at 100% frequency even though some of those hands are +EV it weakens your range to a point where they become -EV.
Sorry for the long winded response, I would be interested to hear what you think.
Nov. 19, 2019 | 12:49 a.m.
You got me thinking when talking about the high freq checking with the 77 on Q742 turn for OOP. I think when you look at IP's calling range vs the over bet it makes more sense why 77 checks and KQ-AQ bets, villain should be calling his 7x combos at a high freq (which 77 blocks) and folding TT-JJ at a high freq (which 77 unblocks) so 77 gains more value by checking and getting more money from the TT-JJ region, whilst gaining a similar amount from the Qx region (as you noted)
Interesting spot though, and definitely something I would of got wrong in game.
Nov. 13, 2019 | 6:27 p.m.
I really loved this video, I think there's a lot more to be learnt from theory videos and I didn't find it too long at all (the longer the better) :) It's great to see you go so in depth into a hand and to open my eyes to other ways of using PIO or viewing situations.
One question, when your choosing a what spots you study in PIO what do you think the most effective and time efficient way to pick them is? Do you think its better to run a bunch BTN vs BB sims and study the most frequent textures you will encounter? Or do you think picking hands from previous sessions and studying them is better?
Nov. 5, 2019 | 12:56 a.m.
At 8mins you talk about 4betting ranges and being aware of your frequency’s and postflop play. I have a couple of questions as I’ve being having trouble researching 4bet ranges and postflop play.
First are you using a preflop solver to find your frequency’s? I dont have a preflop solver so I’ve just figured out my 4bet value range and then added a frequency of bluffing hands amounting to 50% of my value range, is this a reasonable way of figuring out a decent 4bettiing strategy?
Also when 4betting IP 100bb deep how would you structure the bluffing range? I understand when your deep you want to hit alot of diffrent flop textures so can be a bit more linesr. But when 100bb deep would you choose polar hands like A4o and K6s instead?
Also when doing sims on 4bet pots, as the range differ alot how would you PIO these spots? Using diffrent ranges and seeing the diffrence? Or making a general 4bet range that includes mixes of diffrent hands that resemble the player pools average ranges?
Sorry for the long winded question, love your videos
Oct. 7, 2019 | 2:31 a.m.
On the 9s8c4s PIO analysis I'm a bit confused by OOP's flop 4betting strategy. It's heavily favouring 4bet shoving TT-KK when it holds a spade over not holding one, but seeing as a lot of the none value 3betting range from IP is T8s-K8s I find it a little strange that it favours blocking these combos. Or do you think blocking IP's highest equity bluffing hands means your happier to shove money in and not be flipping most of the time?
Seems a little counter intuitive to me so I would be interested in hearing what mechanic I'm missing here.
Sept. 23, 2019 | 8:17 p.m.
Just to add to the discussion on preflop ranges and how that changes parmeters. I overlooked the smaller sizing used on the hand in question which will alter the ranges to how I input them. I use a larger 5x sizing from the BB with a linear range that roughly amounts to 12%, but because of the larger sizing and lower SPR it creates I expect IP to 4 bet less often so in turn slow play a few extra combos of his strongest hands (I only input AA-KK flatting 25% of the time for IP, AK 50%, QQ 50%)
So its quite interesting to not only look out for whether people are 3betting polar or linear but also their sizing choice which also affects the IP's range and the parameters going forward.
PS against the unicorn I still think Id exploit by just pure calling A8-A6 instead of mixing and still finding folds with the AJ-AT, although it all depends on what hands that crazy unicorn likes to bluff and I could very easily be wrong :)
Sept. 17, 2019 | 4:14 p.m.
I have really enjoyed all your content and how you've brought something fresh to the site.
I am a little dubious about how you suggested structuring the flop betting strategy for OOP and the river calling range for the IP player on the last hand (A92 flop), from looking at my own sims it seemed to me that whilst having an equity advantage on the flop you don't have an EV advantage, maybe because the TT-KK range is in a bluff catcher spot and because pressure can be piled on a lot of our range on different run outs, so there isn't as much betting as you would think when first looking at the board texture. However most hands are roughly indifferent between bet and check so against players who don't adjust high frequency betting might be good.
And when deciding whether to call the river for IP AT and AJ are folds, whilst A8-A6 being mixed as calls more often because they don't block OOP's bluffs. AQ still pure call being too far up in your range to fold, which is also why OOP seems to heavily favour QJ-QT over JT when bluffing the river. I'm interested to hear what you think of my logic.
Keep up all the great videos, your effort is appreciated :) Thanks
Sept. 16, 2019 | 8:51 p.m.
Great video, I learnt alot from this.
At 25min you talk about re-raising AQ to balance out your semi bluffs. I thought you add bluffs to balance your value range? Or is that mainly for river spots where your only playing one street?
Aug. 19, 2019 | 12:07 p.m.
Iv enjoyed all your content so far, specially the theory and exploits 101 series. Anyway a couple of questions.
At 1.30min you check the river with the nut straight, from playing around with PIO there seems to be a heuristic of checking the straights that block the pairs specially when they block IP’s check back range and betting the ones that dont like your combo, do you think thats a correct way of thinking about this spot? Also how would you structure a check raise bluff range on this river? Blocking Kx mabye?
At 17min you talk about betting two sizings on the AQ6 board IP, again I haven’t researched this board in PIO but have found the difference between two sizings and one is minimal and the difficulty of splitting sizing is quite substantial. Do you think going for one sizing is a mistake?
To be fair I might check this out in PIO but would be interested to hear your thoughts.
Aug. 5, 2019 | 1:54 a.m.
9min when Fish shoves the turn with 86 vs Watts, it seems a bit wide but do you think Fish could of been shoving the lower gutshot combos to get Watts off of the higher gutshots like KTo, KJo and JTo. Do you think that along with the read that Watts has a lower frequency of Ax hands makes the shoving 86o more reasonable than shoving a hand like JTo?
32min You talk about shove being a reasonable play for AKs but it seems to me that we dont want to shove many hands in our range, we are at a severe nut disadvantage as i think Watts is 3betting 66-88 at a low frequency and even 99. Against the hands that Fish will call the shove with most are gonna be sets and draws that are flipping against our TT+ region. Do you think Watts can still shove here?
I mainly play cash games so am not used to short spr spots so would be interested to hear your thoughts on wether these conecpts change when you lower the spr and tweak the ranges or if im missing something.
July 19, 2019 | 3:11 a.m.
I'm currently playing 100nl and moving up to 200nl and I think its time for a preflop solver. So a few questions...
-Which solver is best, PIO or Monker?
-How/where do I get preflop solutions at the lowest price?
-How/where do I find solutions with the rake structure the same as Pokerstars 100nl?
I've had a look around the internet and seem to only see solutions with 500nl rake. There also seems to be a lot of options ranging in price so would be interested to hear if anyone has any recommendations.
July 12, 2019 | 12:27 p.m.
Cool video, at 45mins in the Bit2Easy vs Katya hand you talk about being able to check call heart rivers with the 8h in your hand. I was thinking the same thing before but changed my mind, do you think Bit2Easy will have enough bluffs in his range if the runout fell Td4h instead? Seems like his bet large, call re-raise range will hit this runout very well. Or would you just ignore that and call so you dont overfold?
Also the last hand was very interesting, dont you think the Kh is actually quite an important blocker if you descibed IP 75% pot bet range as top pair with blockers to the flush? Having the Kh blocks AK-KJhh so he is only really beaten by KT and KK combos which he also blocks. So would that mean Limitless can go thinner for value on the turn and river?
Thanks for all the content
June 8, 2019 | 12:01 a.m.
Really great content. Loving the Exploit 101 series, has only got better as you have perfected how you approach and analysing spots in your videos. I appreciate the effort you have put in.
One question, I notice you didn't put any 67s-89s in the BB flatting range and even though hands such as 9T and JTs will be 3bet at a high frequency is it not wise to include these hands in the BB range even with a small frequency? Does making such strong assumptions sway the PIO results or do you think the effect is negligible?
June 5, 2019 | 1:56 p.m.
Great video as always, Iv asked you in a previous video about flatting ranges (about flating JJ & QQ) but i was wondering what your opinion on having a pure 3 bet or mixed strategy is? I know you use a mix but what about if you were playing 100nl or 200nl?
April 11, 2019 | 1:57 a.m.
I really liked this format, its very interesting to hear how you interpret HUD stats. I havent seen any other coaches cover the subject in a video, nice idea. Is your HUD available for purchase or did you make it yourself?
March 8, 2019 | 2:48 p.m.
Played quite a few hands and I love the software. One thing that could be useful is when its your turn to act (or your running out of time) it would be easier to see which table your timing out on if the border of the table flashed instead of just the players. Not a big deal but I think it makes it easier to multi-table.
Feb. 6, 2019 | 7:56 p.m.
Thanks for another brilliant video and for the work you put into them. As for the comment at the end of the video I would love to see these spots for 100bb deep, not only useful for cash game players but would be interesting to see how the dynamics change when comparing deeper stack situations to shorter stacked ones.
Feb. 4, 2019 | 5:19 p.m.
Really good video, works well with you both bouncing ideas off each other, would love to see more. The rake discussion is an interesting subject, would make a good theory video to hear you talking in depth about how it affects sizing's and preflop ranges, as a lot of viewers are trying to beat these stakes and this seems like most of regs don't know much about the subject. Probably wouldn't be the sexiest sounding video but could be useful if possible.
Feb. 2, 2019 | 2:22 p.m.
Got to say I love your videos and the detail you go into with your analysis. You never disappoint. At 15.30 you talk about villains flat with JJ BUT vs CUT. Iv got to agree with you that flatting here can put you in weird spots like on the river where your not as sure where your at with your range. Would you advocate pure 3betting BUT vs CUT and creating a flatting range vs other positions? I only ask because recently Iv been playing around with my calling ranges and am flatting JJ 25-40% time, even QQ 20%< and AK 20%<, vs EP and HI (changing frequency's depending on positions) Do you think this is a good idea or am I causing myself a world of hurt? Idea behind it is obviously to protect my flatting range in spots where I want to have one, but I'm unsure if the EV I add to my flatting range is worth more than the EV I miss from not 3betting these hands.
Jan. 11, 2019 | 2:20 p.m.
I'm interested by the over bet shove by Flying on the river. Seems to be value heavy over bet shoving into an uncapped range. Fair enough if he blocks the Ah then he caps his opponent but will only have AhJo and mabye AhTo but i don't think AT will lead the flop and Human still has alot of flushes in his range Khxh etc. Do you agree with Flyings sizing into an uncapped range? And do you think Human could of used this as a read to fold?
Dec. 13, 2018 | 2:23 p.m.
Nice video, seeing as Iv just moved up to 200nl I wouldn't mind more of these ;) I'm looking to research preflop ranges more myself. I was dubious about Snowie, how much faith in its ranges do you have? How would you compare it to PIO's? Which i haven't tried either but know is more expensive. Thanks
Oct. 24, 2018 | 3:43 a.m.
Nice job. Looking forward to the cold calling video, it's something I use in my game and will be interested to hear your take on how to play those spots.
@31mins you re-raise the 99 on the 822 board. Vs EP and therefore a tighter range do you still think we should be re-raising these hands for value on board textures like this? We are capped to TT and a bit of JJ and our hand is quite face up on this board texture as there are no trips in our range. Does this leave us open to being 3bet a lot on the flop or do our nut flush draws we play like this protect against that? Even though there are not a lot of combos of them (a lot get 3bet) Or does none of this matter because OOP cbets this board too often and if OOP 3bets a lot (which he is not supposed to) the OOP will simply have too many bluffs and this becomes an easy stack off?
Oct. 17, 2018 | 4:06 p.m.
I think this longer series of videos has been great and would love to see the other parts. Its very interesting to see how you progress through a session as you build reads and I think your playing very well that day aswell :)
At 8:30 you say your flatting the KQs because he is tight, if you did 4bet against a loose opponent would you consider it a bluff or for value? Or a hand you use to balance out your range on diffrent boards?
At 17min you check raise 55 on the 973 board, is this a raise for protection(ish)? Or are you planning on bluffing different runouts? If you are bluffing are there not better combos or am I missing something in these spots?
May 26, 2018 | 3:23 a.m.
I was sceptical about the no HUDs idea but you have completely won me over. I think it will be refreshing to play without HUDs and will hopefully make it a fair game for all. Although multi tabling will be a bit more difficult, I should expect it will attract more recs. Screen names would be nice I think everyone is forgetting the whole reason your not having them (because you don't want HUDs and datamining) I think thats a small sacrifice for a fair game.
Best of luck
May 3, 2018 | 10:35 p.m.
I'm really excited about the new site and hope you all the best. I'm not a tournament player but had an idea and thought I'd share it with you. When you cash into a tournament if you got given the cash before you bust it, it will give players the option to enter additional tournaments without having to deposit more which will get people to enter more tournaments on your site (specially if they are running good)
Best of luck! Hope I get a chance to play the Beta ;)