Fantastic video! I hope you can make more videos of this format in the future.
July 23, 2020 | 6:14 p.m.
Thanks and congrats to everyone!
June 4, 2020 | 9:58 p.m.
The title is another discussion... but zoom can be great for focusing on fundamentals. For me, most money is made at reg tables or in new emerging Holdem variants outside PokerStars but when I don't have a good game to grind I often play zoom and mark a ton of hands for review. Being able to play a ton of hands and take breaks for HH reviews at any time makes it a great learning tool.
The main downside would be that the games play much tighter preflop and there are more folding and less bluffing than you see at reg tables or live, so you learn to beat games with different player tendencies than live poker. It's also more difficult to develop reads and exploit individual players.
June 4, 2020 | 4:58 p.m.
Need to overthink
Haha. Poker the game of overthinking things. I tend to do better when I just hammer away at stuff and try instead of overthinking and figure it all out in advance. Just try what you think is correct and filter your DB for win rate with groups of hole cards after trying it. Probably need like 150k hands to start to see a trend.
May 22, 2020 | 12:59 p.m.
RaoulFlush I've done the sims and looked at where the EV comes from so it's not like I'm commenting out of thin air. Solver goes around 30% in my model with fish limping 40% of hands with a capped range. I use lower rake to simulate postflop edge. With strong limp/3bet strategies you see much lower isolation frequencies and more overlimping.
Against a 40% range you need like A8o, K9o, JTo, K3s,65s T8s to be ahead which puts you at around 30% of hands.
Against fish I really do like database data because it's difficult to weigh all the factors accurately. The model can also get weak when there are players left to act but I believe the model I used here didn't have any major flaws.
May 22, 2020 | 12:10 p.m.
RaoulFlush I agree those probably open but about as wide as I'd go. I still think you miss one of the most important points which is that you get fewer preflop folds. Yes postflop is better than in solver or against a reg, but preflop is a ton worse. There isn't just one factor here (fish) but many factors that influence the EV.
May 22, 2020 | 8:01 a.m.
CO open limps who is a fish
Isolating a fish at 40%+ frequency seems very excessive to me but I'd be interesting to see database data on how it's working for you. I've been playing all kinds of games and sites the last two years so I don't have DB data and rely on sims and logic.
I do think you have some misconceptions though as close to all hands in your range mostly want a preflop fold so getting more action pre by a fish calling you generally reduces EV of fringe hands like A8o, K9o, K4s, and 76s.
May 21, 2020 | 5:09 p.m.
I don't think the word defend is a good word to use or thinking about defending against anything. You just want to play the hands that are +EV to play and not defend against anything. The iso range should be substantially tighter than a common 40% BTN opening range, and the odds are much worse than normal opening size, and there is both the BB and the fish left to act. All of these things contribute to tightening up your range and increasing the requirements for how strong of a hand you need. I think iso ranges on the BTN will fall between like 20% and 33% on the BTN against a fish when BTN isn't over limping so 3betting like 8%-9% should be reasonable. Probably not a good idea to flat a 4x with both BB and fish behind that can reraise.
May 21, 2020 | 1:37 p.m.
The baseline redline for the entire population as a whole is rake. If everyone were playing GTO, then everyone would lose with redline at the rate of rake.
Edit: This is wrong because all-in preflop and check down to the river both have negative net blueline for all players combined but like 65% of rake should be in the redline (WTSD less than 35%).
Doesn't bet size also have an effect on the redline and especially on the river? Example: You bet 1x pot with a bluff and you get 50% folds and this leads to winning the pot 50% of the time (EV 0,5 pots) as redline and losing pot 50% of the time in blueline. If we change to 2x pot and is now getting a fold 2/3rd of the time, we win redline 2/3rd of the time for pot and lose blueline at 1/3rd of the time for pot. The "redline EV" is 0,5 with 1x pot and 0,667 with 2x pot.
May 20, 2020 | 8:29 p.m.
I looked at the Q2 hand at minute 6 and it seems fine. It's indifferent but because of double FD turn with many SDs there are many better bluffs to choose from so it's barely used by Pio. It seems like it's among the first hand you can look to add if IP overfold.
There doesn't seem to be a problem with blocking folding range.
May 18, 2020 | 5:29 p.m.
I also think of preflop and flop play a little like memorizing openings in chess. You still have to understand the ideas and threats but in game you just play from memory. In poker you can't see the chessboard and positions so to speak and you need to create an estimate of it in your mind (ranges, board texture, SPR etc) so it's very important to have a strong grasp on the openings to understand what situations you're in later in the hand.
The other idea that I was thinking about probably has more to do with chunking (condensing many bits of knowledge into chunks). The solver strategy has so many parts and there is so much going on that it's almost impossible to get everything right away. By memorizing and understanding more and more small pieces you start to condense that into chunks, and that allows you to see how the different parts of the simulation work together and that everything is interconnected.
Generating interesting connections between disparate subjects is what makes art so fascinating to create and to view… We are forced to contemplate a new, higher pattern that binds lower ones together.
May 16, 2020 | 10:18 a.m.
May 4, 2020 | 6:47 p.m.
Agree to everything you wrote and I was concerned this would affect you the way it did (pushing you out of wanting to actively partake in the community).
All I know is there's a ton of questions in the forums left unanswered. I think that's what the points system was for: To reward those who were already helping anyway, and maybe to inspire them and others to do a little more.
This is the slowest way to get points. The system does not reward that kind of activity.
I've personally never "grinded points" from day 1 in a month but have found myself making extra posts towards the end of the month to get over the line so to speak. Don't think anyone would question that most of the guys making the list are so into poker that making the posts doesn't even remotely feel like grinding or work to them.
May 4, 2020 | 4:58 p.m.
The K6s love in Monker is likely a weakness of the model in a lot of spots. Certain hands can get over- or undervalued when there are abstractions in play. Running it longer won't fix the issue if there is a bias in the abstractions.
April 30, 2020 | 3:02 p.m.
What a conspiracy :D but seriously the guy isn't doing anything too shady. He's just cracked the code. Comment on videos and make a journal. I'm maybe one of the posters that's got the smallest fraction of points that way so it's not like I'm trying to encourage people to hack the system or anything. Truth is that most people don't want good strategy points when they post a HH. They just want confirmation to overcome their big losing hand. If you give them that, you get likes. The other thing people want is inspiration and graphs. Showing them it's possible to make it.
April 30, 2020 | 2:52 p.m.
What do you 4-bet bluff UTG vs BTN?
Some fraction of AQo. About 50% of KQs, KJs, and KTs. Then you want some fraction of AXs lower than AQ. Typically the ones that can make a straight like AJs, ATs, A5s, and A4s. There are different philosophies for how to go about picking those balancing hands. Some people like to pick a couple and make them pure and other people mix all of them. Ease of implementation vs accuracy and board coverage. Conceptually you just want to pick hands with decent equity vs high pairs, AQs, AJs, and KQs while still being able to hit different high boards. It doesn't help much hitting a 1 pair hand or draw on a low flop when the majority of the caller's range is TT+.
April 29, 2020 | 3:09 p.m.
KQo is just too weak to do anything other than folding in UTG OOP against a 3bet. If it were CO vs BTN, I'd agree more with your ideas but UTG vs CO plays so damn tight that KQs is a low EV flat and works fine as 4bet bluff. I typically split it around 50/50 between call and 4bet. KJs also mix between both call and fold but more weight on the 4bet. I usually only 4bet/fold mix with KTs as it's getting a bit far behind 3bet range to flat.