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Kalupso

2612 points

Comment | Kalupso commented on 16z River decision

Yeah, I often just range bet those for 1/3rd pot in 6max. In looser formats like MTTs or HU it's bit much to range cbet as advantage isn't as big.

Aug. 22, 2019 | 4:40 p.m.

Preflop is very loose and close to bottom 25% of hands.

Flop seems fine.

I think turn should just be a clear fold and even something like J-high FD isn't great to call either. The extra overcard should increase EV a bit as he can have some AT. Reasons are low equity vs everything including his bluffs and domination problems when hitting flush.

River play isn't bad per se but if you call all FDs OTT and then shove OTR you put in too much money against a really strong range. The mistake is turn play and not river here.

BB river range: A GTO model will mostly check bluffs that give up, AT and rivered 9x like you said together with a small amount of traps selected because of specific blocker effects. A bluff is supposed to be higher EV than check for you because you didn't get direct odds to call turn and need to "make back" that EV by having +EV river bluff (so if OOP you wouldn't be able to call even Jh8h as it wouldn't make back EV by bluffing river). In practice some weaker players "trap" too much and give up too many bluffs which can make the small stab better than all in (all in is what makes sense vs GTO model).

Aug. 21, 2019 | 1:25 p.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on Solve a bad redline

Was just meant to be an example to show that it's more complex and in general to fix it you just need to become a better player overall.

What hands are you the most aggressive with of all hands. Is those hands likely to see showdown?

Aug. 20, 2019 | 10:07 a.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on Solve a bad redline

To add to the list: Bad redline can also come from missing value bets or using too small bet sizes.

Aug. 20, 2019 | 7:43 a.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on Eat, Sleep, NLHE

Haha, up and down. Sounds like you play games with more action and variance than you're used too.

Also good luck and keep working on improving. The difference on sites like GG between games you play and higher isn't all that big either so push yourself to move up as you improve.

Aug. 16, 2019 | 10:06 a.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on Eat, Sleep, NLHE

Have you seen these by Jared? I think they're significantly better than his books:
Jared YouTube series

Aug. 16, 2019 | 9:47 a.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on Eat, Sleep, NLHE

Nice fold but I think you have to just call once in a while if villain is a reg you play with regularly to make the shove less EV than check. This is only situation I know of when making -EV play some of the time is part of the equilibrium.

I hate when people make those plays because you have to fold because 50% of what's in the pot is less than rake.

Aug. 16, 2019 | 9:46 a.m.

Good luck and keep making those adjustments and you'll get there.

I'm more concerned with your redline in a fastfold game people don't bluff enough and it's probably a sign you lack aggression in a lot of spots. Can be preflop and can be things like flop XR.

Aug. 16, 2019 | 8:55 a.m.

Half the price, 3x more user friendly and probably more optimized solving algorithm (i.e. faster solving time).

Aug. 11, 2019 | 11:38 a.m.

Maybe time to exchange flopzilla for a solver for some of your study? I don't think flopzilla is bad in any way but you miss out on a lot by not using a solver. I mean long term and not over 2-3 months because there is a learning curve with solvers.

Aug. 8, 2019 | 12:39 p.m.

What's going to change if you move to MTTs? Won't the same problems follow into MTTs?

I would really question your methods if you struggle to beat 25nl zoom and working full time on it for 6 months. I played 30k hands around 25nl and 50nl zoom this winter after moving to EU sites again after a year on PokerMaster. These low stakes zoom games are beatable for a huge amount. 25nl I think 13+bb/100 isn't too difficult, 10bb/100 at 50nl isn't too difficult and l know 100nl can be beaten for 7bb+/100 without being close to a top player.

All I'm doing with this is like opening your mind to the possibility that you might have to change your methods and made hire a coach who has a high 100nl zoom or 200nl zoom win rate AND can coach. It won't be cheap compared to what you can make at 50nl but should be well worth it long term.

usually play 8-10k hands per day

Maybe a leak. I mean too much volume. Doesn't matter if you play hands breakeven or -EV for bottom line.

A high volume player that doesn't have good methods to improve could be one of few players for whom joining a good MTT stable with backing and coaching can make sense. I generally think it's a bad idea because of make up, giving up winnings and how difficult it's to make a living from MTTs. You also have to like MTTs to some degree.

Aug. 8, 2019 | 11:57 a.m.

Villain can raise huge with tons of hands if block bet has no good hands and then suddenly the nuts makes more money blockbetting. There is an equilibrium between the extremes where good hands makes enough money blockbetting because villain is raising often enough to block bet them but not making blockbetting them better than another line.

Aug. 7, 2019 | 9:38 p.m.

What's villains counter if never blockbetting good hands (only mid strength and bluffs)? Is blockbetting good hands likely higher EV than other options when that happens?

Aug. 7, 2019 | 7:52 p.m.

The reason that the solver will sometimes check with a hand that may have a slightly higher ev when it bets is because the solver cares about the ev of its range not the ev of each individual hand.

Not trying to be a smartass but what you wrote in quote above is completely wrong. Mixing hand with different EVs for actions when max exploited is a measure of the exploitability of the solution. Maximising every single hand in range leads to maximising EV with entire range, and range EV is just sum of EV of all individual hands in all situations.

Aug. 6, 2019 | 9 p.m.

No, the equibrium would in that case be that correct folding frequency for villain is higher than what naive calculation says.

If IP OTR and strongest bluff has 3% equity then villain needs to fold an amount that makes bluffing an EV of 3% of pot to incentivise you to bluff it. If you didn't bluff it villain would be incentivised to fold more hands and bluffing it would be higher EV than check. That's the process a solver goes through.

Aug. 6, 2019 | 4:17 p.m.

The only thing solvers understand is EV so it's just all about maximizing EV and following incentives. Balance, protecting and trapping are not something solvers try to accomplish but some of them are part of a strong strategy.

Aug. 6, 2019 | 4:03 p.m.

I understand you might not feel the best or something but this isn't good for anything:

Aug. 6, 2019 | 7:30 a.m.

I'd say just run them yourself. It's so quick and easy these days and does not require huge PC.

For strictly preflop and holdem I'd rank this order for preflop solver:
1. Simple Preflop Holdem
2. Monker
3. Simple Postflop
4. Piosolver

1 And 2 is way better than 3 and 4. Not sure if simple postflop is really better than PIO these days but first implementation was way better than Pio's first.

RunItTw1ce I do not think anyone will share their solutions for free. Most guys selling packs are over pricing them and rangeconverter.com is charging like 4x more than than what a reasonable price is.

July 29, 2019 | 9:39 a.m.

If you make a play GTO would never use because it's lower EV than another, then you lose EV vs GTO. You may pick any action with a hand vs GTO that's a mix for GTO. I'll leave it to the other guys to explain GTO and clarify further.

July 28, 2019 | 1:30 a.m.

July 26, 2019 | 10:01 p.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on 5max vs 6max

Stars changed filter name for 6max to short ring in .com client already so good chances it'll get implemented.

July 26, 2019 | 7:06 a.m.

Comment | Kalupso commented on 5max vs 6max

Jeff_ I disagree for zoom but aggree for reg table. Zoom plays really tight to begin with and it's a much needed change if you ask me. I'd like to see them add antes to zoom as well to make it even looser and more fun.

At reg tables the fish plays way too loose and adding an extra tight position would lead to more costly mistakes by fish. Going from 5max to 6max would probably make fish preflop less punished for wide calls.

July 26, 2019 | 7:05 a.m.

Make sure not to take lines that is never mixed for GTO.

July 26, 2019 | 7 a.m.

I believe humans will remain highest winning players in 6max with 1 or 2 big fish at the tables. Top HUSNG players have been playing lots of GTO bots and haven't lost by much but they win 2x or 3x more vs fish than the GTO bots. Reg on on reg battles at 10/20 plus is another topic.

July 25, 2019 | 7:44 a.m.

Doug's HU course should be a really inefficient way to spend 1k to improve.

What really helped me early on when learning HU was to watch HU videos and solve the hands while watching. Helped a ton to understand ranges and why certain plays are good. Solver aids understanding video and video aids understanding solver simulations.

July 23, 2019 | 10:19 p.m.

Yes, the small sizes are mostly just used in split pot scenarios and when villain can't XR much.

July 22, 2019 | 6:02 a.m.

Ran a sim myself and in my sim I get this:

July 21, 2019 | 10:55 a.m.

More interesting to me was range distribution and how it affects betting frequencies.

Answered already here:

It appears that IP has a quite polarized distribution but can't just continue the good hands (similar to river block bet situation):

And here:

When does it make sense to block bet river? Is this situation similar?

July 19, 2019 | 7:04 p.m.

It appears that IP has a quite polarized distribution but can't just continue the good hands (similar to river block bet situation):

All in is most common bet size:

July 19, 2019 | 3:47 p.m.

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