I would have xr the river(not sure the sizing), the 2/3 bet on the flop increases the probability of him having a set,overpair, straight. I do not think that any bdfd bet for this size without a sd multiway.
He can still call so many worse hands on the river. How many combos of flush even takes this line? 97h,A10h, A9h, A7h, K10h, K9h,J9h, J10h(9 combos maximum) -> I am not even sure if he have the 9h combos. He have at least 12 possible set combos 88,1010,66 -> To me you are clearly ahead even if his calling range are just sets by 50%+.
Nov. 20, 2021 | 6:08 a.m.
Hello Run It Once Community,
I am looking for a Software for free for randomizing my action, what kind of solutions do you use?
Up to now, I am using a solution that I need to click a button to change the number but I find this pretty distracting. Does anyone know a better free solution?
The Software that I have right now are PokerTracker4, GTO+ and Flopizila.
Nov. 19, 2021 | 4:15 a.m.
I play a pretty different strategy on the SB then what is conventional wisdom. I do not really agree with the 3bet or fold strategy on the SB because I think that most players play pretty unbalanced against strong calling ranges (I 3bet way less then most players from all positions excluding the big blind too). Everyone talks about rake effects but on my opinion the difference in EV on post flop play with a higher SPR compensates this difference.
Sure maybe I am talking bullshit, very difficult to know without a stable doing full time MDA however that is what a do on the SB.
Nov. 18, 2021 | 2:28 p.m.
The question is on the title, I have been looking for a good winrate on the blinds from winning regs on all stakes.
I am going to post mine below:
Overall winrate: 2.17bb
I am a NL25 zoom players this is around 100k hands.
Nov. 18, 2021 | 1:49 a.m.
I do not really get why for a nutted hand increasing the size increases the EV. Let me try to discuss an extreme example:
Example:We have a nutted hand with 100% equity on 1 dollar pot.
First Case: We bet 2 dolar vilan calls 50% of the time so our EV is going to be % of fold * pot size + (1 - %of fold) * (pot size + bet size) = 50% * 1 + 50% * (1 + 2) = 2
Second Case: We bet 20 dolars vilan never calls(our calls a very low amount) EV = 1.
On my opinion this is just true when bet elasticity is lower then one. Is there some assumption that I am not understanding?
Nov. 17, 2021 | 11:10 p.m.
Sorry for the double comment Peter, I have been looking for a good RNG for months. Right now I programmed a pretty shitty solution myself. Could you tell me with HUD are you using? As far as I can see you built some solution on Poker Tracker4 but I am not sure.