BB: $2.04 (Hero)
June 9, 2019 | 3:57 p.m.
This definitely looks like a nasty spot. JT shouldn't be in villain's range at all on the river since it's a fold on the flop, and yet once you face the all in on the river it feels like you have 0 EV.
Sept. 2, 2018 | 4:56 a.m.
Nice video. This kind of topic is definitely one of the more difficult things for me in poker and I'm sure for many others as it's conflicting psychologically when it comes to defending.
Sept. 1, 2018 | 1:19 p.m.
I am considering this but I want more information. Could you provide a detailed list of assumptions made postflop? Let's say we have BB call vs BTN open of 3x. Then what assumptions are implicit in the solution for the call range in terms of what sizings the players use postflop etc.? I've read the comments but I don't see this.
I've looked at the website also, but it doesn't contain such information. This is fundamental to the ranges you would come up with, so why is this information not posted on the site?
Jan. 20, 2018 | 9:36 p.m.
I liked the video, but have a question about the wheel board river raise at 33:00. I did the math and it turns out that a pot sized raise as you have made is only a better option than just calling if you believe that your opponent has a 6 there less than 25% of the time (assuming the best case scenario where Villain folds all non-6 hands to the raise). Do you really think this is the case given the pot sized bet? What made you think this during the hand?
Dec. 16, 2017 | 9:17 p.m.
At 6:30 you say that you can't just be giving up AKo in a 4bet pot, but this seems like an odd statement. The player is calling a pot sized 4bet CO vs MP and so should have a very strong range - suited connectors for example should probably be going into the muck here for the CO. Also OTF the SPR is a little under 2 and so you're not forced to get the money in post-flop on every board. Here I wouldn't say it's necessarily a mistake to bet 1/3 OTF, but OTT I can't imagine CO folding anything other than a holding of AK with a diamond perhaps (which you block).
Do you think this is correct logic? I've seen 4bet pot situations like this where the software will just tell you to check some % of AA, KK and QQ such that you don't have to worry about your AK hands and other bluffs that give up. This strategy could be applied either on the flop or turn.
Do you think the computers have it right here? I've found it works decently in practice - or have you found that you make money vs the weaker players on the turn there?
May 24, 2017 | 11:18 p.m.
Thanks for all the responses guys. Before I posted this thread I saw that Snowie considers to x/r the minimum with KTo 100% of the time, so I plugged it into CardrunnersEV to see what the range it would come up with there and it's a 21.3% range that looks like this (note that KTo was not included as this should probably be a fold preflop):
I just thought I'd mention it since someone suggested this option. I saw from both software packages that even ATo is having a tough time on the turn and CardrunnersEV even considers all three options, all having 0 EV, which shows that it's definitely not obvious OTT.
May 16, 2017 | 6:51 p.m.
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
Rake is $0.04
May 15, 2017 | 2:28 a.m.
I think the analysis of the various spots is okay here, but I feel that the action goes pretty slow with only 6 tables of regular 9-handed cash. There seems to be some stretches of total silence - I particularly noticed this at around 33:00 - 34:00 or so.
I've watched 4 of your 10 videos and maybe others could comment if they agree or not, but I think your two prepared videos ('The Grind' and 'River Actions') were much higher in quality than the live sessions.
Maybe it turns out that people like these well enough as they are and anyway there are many other videos on the site to watch, but I just thought I'd make a comment in case others agree.
April 23, 2017 | 9:20 p.m.
One thing I'd like to ask about is the use of over-bets. In this video you say at 13:35 that you have to over-bet this spot, and also decide to over-bet at 21:15. In both of these situations you bet about 1/3 pot IP on the flop and then over-bet with the nut gut-shot. I've seen this sizing combo technique before but I don't fully understand it. I understand that you are essentially asking your opponent to check-raise you OTF if he has a strong hand and so presume to cap his range, whereby you can put pressure on him OTT, but is there more to it than this?
Are there any spots particularly where you have noticed this sizing is effective (ignoring reasons like 'Villain is a fish', etc.)? Not knowing anything about over-bets I would presume that it should be reserved for spots where the Hero IP range is very strong compared to the OOP range, but what in particular would make you bet for example 2x pot instead of say 1x pot? And what is it that makes you think, as you say, that you 'have to' over-bet with the JT on A85r K OTT?
April 20, 2017 | 11:28 p.m.
At 31:00 why are you folding top and third two pair OTR? You are BB vs SB, so Villain can certainly be value betting worse as the ranges are much wider. The 5c is not a scary river either - it's not like it was an Ace, Queen or Jack, and it wasn't a diamond either. Nor was the bet significantly huge.
Can you confirm this was a big mistake by you? - I plugged this into Snowie just for comparison and it gives this as a blunder worth more than 20 big blinds.
You mention one minute later that KQ would be better to call so I'm guessing that you didn't see you had two pair? Can you just confirm this.