For those of you who don't know what snowie is, it's basically a program that's designed to find out how to play GTO by playing a ridiculous amount of hands against itself. While it's still far from finding perfect GTO strategy, it's supposedly good enough that a new player can quickly learn to break even at 500nl zoom by just following its advice.
Here's the website, http://www.pokersnowie.com/ Also Improva of DC made a huge thread about it.
Anyway, I was wondering how applicable snowie can be to low stakes live play. If it derives its optimal decisions against what it would do if it were playing against itself, how can it have any sort of data on how you should play in some sort of situation where the action leading up to your decision was clearly so far from optimal that snowie bots are never seeing that type of leading up action against themselves.
For example, Snowie bots would probably never play in such a way so that a hand is opened 4x with 3 callers and you're in the big blind wondering what to do? If snowie bots just don't get themselves into 5 handed pots, does that mean that the program won't have any data on how to play GTO in the event that you actually find yourself in a 5way pot?
June 9, 2013 | 3:53 a.m.
On the hand where you have 55T6 and you bet for value into two people on a 5KJ6A board, what do you think about bet/folding for about $10 instead of shoving. Against weaker players playing with medium stacks I think we can actually take advantage of the small stack sizes and use it against them to bet small for thin value without the risk of getting bluff raised. Because there would only be about $10 behind in a $55 pot, I would assume that 99+% of medium stacked opponent's at 50nl aren't going to think they have any sort of fold equity when they reraise all-in against us, and we can fold with damn near certainty that they have us beat with the nuts when they reraise us.
Aside from saving a little money against the nuts, I think we can expect to get more value on average against 2pair type hand against weaker opponents by giving them such great odds to call whereas I think they can find easy folds with some of their weaker two pair hands after we check/raise the turn and shove the river.
May 26, 2013 | 8:28 a.m.
I guess I just thought he would be bet/folding here often with his junk like 789T, but possibly two barreling or trying to represent a flush if one comes on the board. I guess if I though his range consisted only Axxx hands, I would be jamming the flop, but I thought he would be two barrelling with hands that have very little equity against me as well so I elected to call.
May 18, 2013 | 11:53 p.m.
The reason I didn't 3bet the limper preflop is because I was expecting a 3bet from the blinds often just because of table dynamics. I figured it would be much better to have him 3bet and call just a 3bet with the fish in the pot rather than get 4bet, have the fish fold, and then have to call the 4bet by myself against him.
May 18, 2013 | 11:35 p.m.
HJ: IBETULO$E: $200
CO: jenl888: $55
BN: BluffForFun: $256.16
SB: moe59: $390.68
BB: YuranPT: $435.78
On the flop I'm not exactly thrilled about the ace, and after he bets I thought about just jamming over him with the 2n'd set+FD+Gutshot and I'm usually getting my money in okay against even the worst case scenario pocket Aces. But because his 3betting range is wide, there's a lot of worse hands he could be betting with too. And since there aren't hardly any turn cards that would give him more equity against me when he has worse, I elect to just call and let him make some mistakes with the worse part of his range on the turn.
I also think that because of the way the board ran down it is a pretty safe value bet on the river as far as possible combinations go. The jack is unlikely to give him a boat since I have 2 or them in my hand, and the 7 and 5 are really unlikely to be anywhere in his 3bet range that contains an ace. Basically the only thing he can possibely show up with here that beats me are the one combo of AA, and the two combos of of AJ.
May 18, 2013 | 6:37 a.m.
A) We gain more value from his draws when he misses.
B) We make it much less likely that he'll try to donk some bullshit type overcard hand he hits like the jack for thin value when we show aggression on the turn making him much easier to play against.
C) It's much cheaper to reraise/fold the turn when he's already got us beat than it is to call/muck the river.
D) I really wouldn't worry about getting rebluffed at all here. The villain's range is very draw heavy since he didn't 3bet on the river and didn't check/raise large enough OOP to try to blow us off anything but air, and made hands probably won't be doing that with a 2 tone flop OOP. We however have all of the solid made hands like Top notch pairs and sets in our range, so if villain starts to try to rebluff us on the turn in spots like this, our range's equity absolutely steamroll's his with the hands we can continue with, and we'll make lots of money in the long run getting our stacks in with about 80% equity against a draw. Not to mention that with the board being paired, it almost looks like we're inviting him to get great odds to call for a spade that's actually drawing dead.
April 2, 2013 | 10:49 a.m.
Then again, rethinking this and doing the math, I'm liking the call more actually. Even if you were pretty sure that one of them was holding the flush, you're going to end up paying about 40 for 100 once the small blind gets it in too, giving you about 40% pot odds to make the call. Given that neither of the villain's are likely to have paired the board when you're behind, you can actually take 4 more cards out of the deck giving you a 10/42 chance or about 24% to suck out on them, so it's not horrendous paying 40% pot odds for 24% equity in the likely worst case scenario.
Nice video as usual Tom. One suggestion I have though is giving a little background info on specific reads you have on the villain before you get into the action of the hand. I think it helps develop a deeper understanding of the game if we're discussing optimal strategies against a specific style of player rather than just a generic 50nl villain.
June 8, 2013 | 11:01 a.m.