For some reason I doubt he is check folding this river and although it does seem tempting to bluff here because we bricked everything, I don't think we can rep much, our range looks v. bluff heavy and his river check looks like a check call for the most part.
The tough thing about the turn is when we hit the river our hand kind of looks exactly like what it is and I don't see us getting a tonne of value here when we hit. This is exacerbated by the fact the NFD is a large part of his range. Is he likely to pay us off if a diamond comes? Maybe if he has a flush himself, but would be apretty easy fold with most of his range.
I guess you can jam turn and maybe get A4/A7 to fold but when you get it in you are pretty crushed and i think you are getting called a lot when you jam turn. Kind of gross spot really.
April 23, 2014 | 3:03 p.m.
I would prefer to 3bet or fold this pre because if u flat the UTG this pot is most likely going multi way. Your hand plays pretty bad multi way.
Also why aren't you betting flop once PFR checks? It's not often you can have a strongish hand on this type of board, you have a tonne of equity now. Good to bet it imo.
Since UTG doesn't bet the flop and you don't eitehr, its harder to narrow down his range, but you think he would cbet the flop with any sort of heart draw, especially the NFD. Once he calls the turn I'm more likely to put him on clubs and some sort of combo of straight draw+club draw or pair+club draw.
I think you can bet river for value but also don't mind a check too much if u think he might put u in a tough spot. It's kind of thin though. You basically have the nut low hearts and are probably only getting called by 78. He doesn't have many if any lower hearts in his UTG raising range if he is a decent player. You seem to have some sort of read on villain that makes you think he might c/r bluff this river? What makes you think this?
whether you bet call or bet fold depends entirely on your read on him. Do you have any notes on him?
April 1, 2014 | 5:42 a.m.
is villain capable of bluff raising this board knowing you would fold a massive portion of your range? Or is he pretty standard? Not sure what ppl think about bluff catching vs shoving with this hand. It feels rough to just GII on this board because obv you aren't really getting it in unless they have a 5 or better. Possible situation to flat depending on villains tendencies to barrel or bluff raise lock down boards.
It's probably just a fold though.