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5 points

Post | leadnuts posted in NLHE: 50nl blitz..hero sqz OOP

Yatahay Network - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3 : http://www.holdemmanager.com

BTN: $134.93 (269.9 bb)
Hero (SB): $54.22 (108.4 bb)
BB: $142.73 (285.5 bb)
UTG: $61.02 (122 bb)
MP: $21.03 (42.1 bb)
CO: $84.99 (170 bb)

Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Ad Qd
2 folds, CO raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, Hero raises to $6.50, fold, CO calls $5.25, fold

Flop: ($14.75, 2 players) Jh 5c Td
Hero bets $3.68, CO calls $3.68

Turn: ($22.11, 2 players) As
Hero bets $5.52, CO calls $5.52

River: ($33.15, 2 players) Ts
Hero checks, CO bets $8.28, Hero ??

Jan. 12, 2020 | 9:33 a.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in NLHE: I'm about to quit poker..

not literally obviously as i just got the elite sub, but man I was doing great on iginition for the couple years or so and not even really keeping track of hands ( due to having to download HHs 24 hours after because im lazy) because I was cashing out weekly or bi-weekly due to not having any fees or limits on cashouts. but..then I looked at the rake on the 10k hands I do have and man it almost made me sick. like $370ish so I did some estimating and over the last years ive paid like 8k to rake with 0% rakeback. lol so I decided to switch to ACR and boy was I in for a rude awakening.

The games on there are tough, I play 50NL blitz and I went from breaking even kind of getting a feel for the difference compared to anonymous and all of a sudden I just stopped having winning sessions. I win like 30-40bb when I win and lose like 200bb+ when I lose. Its not all variance, I definitely have some leaks to work on but ive also been getting some bad distributions as well.

heres my graph:

and my stats:

Do you notice anything I can work on? the first thing I noticed was my winrate from EP. its absurdly low and im losing with AKo from that position as well.
Please tell me what you see and if you need stats or have any questions let me know. thanks for taking the time to read this.

Dec. 7, 2019 | 1:36 p.m.

WPN, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $9.82 (39.3 bb)
BB: $42.63 (170.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $32.36 (129.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 6h 4c Qh 8h
Hero raises to $0.85, SB folds, BB raises to $1.45, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($3) 6c 8d 9s (2 players)
BB bets $2.85, Hero raises to $7.25, BB calls $4.40

Turn: ($17.50) Ac (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($17.50) 3c (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

i have 23.66 effective, can we turn our hand into a bluff here to essentially fold out all his range except flushes? i dont think im getting hero called by 2 pairs,sets, AAxx should be folding flop most of the time, but like AA97 will be in his range on the river too. so a few combos of AAxx and i would think all of his flushes are calling river. plus all his wrap hands missed, his AA,KK,QQ,JJ,TT with SD's bricked. i think he leads Jack high flush or better for value on the river after i check back turn. so that discounts a few of his x/c combos

what are your thoughts?

Oct. 9, 2018 | 12:05 a.m.

Aquila " I went for the 1/3 cbet, because I will bluff cbet this board very frequently."

essentially that's what your doing with top set when you bet this board. your turning your hand into a bluff. how gross would it be if this villain is x/r 33xx with no spades because he took a note that you cbet 1/3 pot a lot on monotone boards? it wouldn't be an out-of-line play if he thinks you bet a hand like AKJT with nut blocker. that said...I doubt the thought process goes that deep for most opponents but I think you get what im trying to say about your basically turning top set into a semi-bluff on a monotone texture. there are no flushdraws, only flushes and non-flushes and you have every non-flush hand destroyed with the expection of AJT9 specifically.

Oct. 8, 2018 | 8:09 p.m.

b/f or don't cbet. we are either way behind a flush or way ahead of everything else he can have.

Oct. 8, 2018 | 8:04 p.m.

WPN, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
SB: $30.47 (121.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4s Ks 9s Ac
SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50) 2s 4d 5s (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets $1.43, Hero raises to $4.75, SB calls $3.32

Turn: ($11) 5d (2 players)
Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50

River: ($24) 7h (2 players)
Hero bets $13 and is all-in, SB folds

Am i lighting money on fire here?

first the BG...
have a few hands at $10 PLO vs him, but this is the second time ive seen him at $25PLO so i have around 250 hands.
hes 51/30 with 3b of 8.6 and flop CB of around 65%
he cbets IP around 25% more than OOP and has called 100% of check-raises in 4 instances.
his AF is around 2 and his AG is around 30%. so not too aggressive. . A quick look at his stats show his aggression tapers off significantly with 38%/25%/14% respectively.

back to hand:

preflop: is fine HU..no reason to bloat OOP, but too strong to fold

Flop: i think him cbetting a high % and the fact that i could get some better hands to fold makes it a good spot for a x/r. when he doesnt re-pot flop i think he doesnt have 63xx very often and probably can discount A3ssXX as well. i think he caps his range to mostly overpairs with FD(BDFD) , some 3x combo draws,67 combo draws and A3 with or without FD(BDFD)

Turn: doesnt specifically help the hand im repping, but it gives villain more equity with a good chunk of his range. i think checking would be bad here because if we had 6,3 we would definitely be betting again for protection and could possibly be bet/folding if he jams as he isnt aggressive enough to have enough semi-bluffs in his range to bet/call. if i got raised here i would assume its going to be 5,2 or 5,4 specicifcally as i would expect a re-pot on the flop if he had a set. he would likely assume im going with the hand when i bet 6.5 into 11 and leave 13 behind so he would comfortably ship it for protection the times i have 5 and 3 overs or 44, 22 . i bet with intentions of folding for that reason and when he calls, now his range is super capped to A3 with FD, overpair with FD, 2 FD, or a hand like 35xx combo draw or 67 combo draw.

River: not horrible, 68 got there, 77, 57.. other than that all the FDs missed, 3x missed, 67 missed and the times he has an overpair like QQ or JJ that card is better for my range than his. i stuff it and he takes his entire time bank down to 4 seconds before folding. there were only 4 tables running ( at 5am EST) so that wasnt it as he was playing the other tables. he was in a spot to hero so i think i got my range assumption correct. ( overpair+ bricked draws or A3 mostly) I am getting snapped off by 68,77,57 and i dont think he has 54 or 52 very often because he would jam turn for protection with SPR of like .5 going to river.

most in-depth hand history ive done in a long time,im looking for feedback on my thought process throughout the hand as well.

Oct. 8, 2018 | 7:50 p.m.

it sounds gross but B/F or X/C.

B/F will get value from trips but fold out his air and get jammed on by boats

X/C will allow him to bet his air, but we also pay off the times he has boats and he doesn't value bet trips

tough spot. I would prob. x/c because his limping range will have a lot of suited aces that he can bluff. I don't know the combos off hand but this is a ISO pot and not a 3B pot so his range is going to be wider. Especially when he is IP vs OOP

Oct. 6, 2018 | 10:19 a.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in PLO: weak AAxx on super dry flop

WPN, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $55.32 (221.3 bb)
BB: $43.23 (172.9 bb)
MP: $35.25 (141 bb)
Hero (CO): $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $22.77 (91.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Ac 5d 2s Ah
MP folds, Hero raises to $0.85, BTN calls $0.85, 2 folds

Flop: ($2.05) 2h 8c 8d (2 players)
Hero bets $0.97, BTN calls $0.97

Turn: ($3.99) 9d (2 players)
Hero bets $1.90, BTN calls $1.90

River: ($7.79) Td (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $3.71, Hero folds

Results: $7.79 pot ($0.38 rake)
Final Board: 2h 8c 8d 9d Td
Hero mucked Ac 5d 2s Ah and lost (-$3.72 net)
BTN mucked and won $7.41 ($3.69 net)

Villian is 45/25/7.5 over 115 hands
F2CB IP 75%(3/4)

I bet flop thinking I get called by worse often enough like (99-KK)

Turn bet because his range picks up some equity but I think im still ahead

River is probably one of worst runouts possible and I don't think he has enough worse hands to pay off a value bet or bluffs for me to x/call

what are your thoughts on this hand? since this flop is so dry I wonder if starting with check is better since we have the worst best hand if that makes sense lol I mean, of all the aces we can have this combo is one of the worst.

Oct. 6, 2018 | 10:01 a.m.

I dont like calling flop at all, too many turns to guess on. the thought of folding crossed my mind but BB is pretty active, probably a little spewy as he just lost a big hand to BTN so I just assumed their ranges could be wider in this spot. raise or fold, once BU calls I should be folding here as if I am ahead, its not by much and if im behind he could likely be holding a blocker or two as well as having me beat. (678x,679x)

what is this "visibility" you speak of? ive read it in a few posts, is there a video I should watch in the library?

Oct. 2, 2018 | 9:42 p.m.


Oct. 2, 2018 | 9:35 p.m.

Comment | leadnuts commented on WPN players

[img]http://pokertools.holdemmanager.com/images/emoticons/spade4.gif[/img] <---also doesn't work.

Oct. 2, 2018 | 10:47 a.m.

Comment | leadnuts commented on WPN players

how do I add suits when posting? example A:heart: <---doesn't work. whats the correct code?

Oct. 2, 2018 | 10:44 a.m.

also, how do I get suits? I play on WPN which isn't supported. is there a specific format I can convert to in HM2 that will work with colors and suits?

Oct. 2, 2018 | 10:41 a.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in PLO: i think i duffed this one

Hero (SB): $25.10 (100.4 bb)
BB: $13.51 (54 bb)
UTG: $23.97 (95.9 bb)
MP: $22.94 (91.8 bb)
CO: $22.85 (91.4 bb)
BTN: $37.89 (151.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8:heart: Q:spade: 8:diamond: A:heart:
3 folds,BTN raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60

preflop is std call I believe, although vs squeeze happy BB I would likely fold.

Flop: ($2.55) 8:spade: 5:diamond: 9:diamond: (3 players)
Hero checks,BB bets $2.43, BTN calls $2.43,Hero raises to $12.15, ]BB raises to $12.66, BTN calls $10.23, Hero calls $0.51

BB donk betting range is nuts, JTdd, 98dd and BU range is even wider to include QJdd,T7dd,99,55 so I decide to raise and try to get max value from his drawing hands. ( if I just call and turn is 5:club: it will kill the action most likely) when BTN flats again I think his range hasn't changed much. could probably drop T7dd and QJdd but idk I think given pot odds he still might call those.

Turn: ($40.53) Q:heart:(3 players)
Hero bets $11.59 and is all-in, BTN calls $11.59

JT got there, if I check and BU jams im getting priced to call..if he checks back that would be horrible (T7dd for instance) so after some internal debate I decide better to jam myself then possibly allow BTN to realize equity.

: ($63.71) Q:club: (3 players, 1 is all-in)

what are your thoughts?

Oct. 2, 2018 | 10:37 a.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in Chatter: WPN players

how do I post a HH? when I copy/paste the HH it says "invalid" . im using HM2, is there another output format I can use?

Oct. 1, 2018 | 9:56 a.m.

having a pair hurts our hand but im never folding. if we call we have 13 left for river pot of 74ish. I would flat and hope he bricks river with AQQJ,KQJT etc type hands. might be a problem if he will check though because that will change the dymanic and it might be better to shove turn to get max value. AQQJ for instance, isn't folding for 13 more, but might end up checking a 2-9 or diamond river looking to showdown.

Sept. 30, 2018 | 10:39 p.m.

SPR is really low on the flop, being were 4 ways I would probably check flop. we have 15 cards to improve with (QJT97) I would try to do that. if CO jams and BU jams then we would be getting 23 to 9 (39% equity). I don't think were going to have that enough here. not multiway anyway. If BU is solid reg his range on this flop is going to be very nutted. like A987 with hearts or a set with hearts. hes rarely going to have a worse FD and when he does ( T988 for example) hes going to be ahead and blocking us ( Ten and hearts) . for all those reasons I think checking and eventually folding is the best play here. we only have about 25% vs T988 with hearts alone not including that if CO has 97xx that also blocks us. overall I don't think its a horrible play by any means but I think checking and evaluating is probably going to be a better option.

Sept. 27, 2018 | 12:28 a.m.

preflop and flop seem std. turn sizing is a little large given our actual hand. you could bet smaller here, I mean you size for a value bet but don't really have a value hand. if villain has AQ83 with nut spades we are crushed. you say hes been aggressive on turn so did you bet hoping to get raised? I mean your range is going to have sets, 2 pairs, 3 card gutters ( JT9x,567x) which I would much rather be betting this sizing with on this turn vs our actual hand. Our actual hand has good showdown value with some solid blockers vs drawing hands (6,7,spades) Im not saying check turn, im just saying I would size down a little. like 1.80 on the turn makes his PSR about 9 I believe. equity is still the same (33% req.) but pot on river will be 21ish with 15 behind vs. 27 with 11 behind. if your plan is to only call K,5,spade then I would think saving money for the times you have to fold would be more optimal as the pot is going to be big enough that hes going to shove regardless of whether he has 15 or 11. I could be wrong though lol

Sept. 26, 2018 | 7:41 p.m.

if hes 90/60 hes going to have QJTx in his range, JT9x,QJ97 etc. I don't like the x/r as hes not likely to stack off light here. 90/60 preflop doesn't equate to punts postflop. atleast not the games I play in, theres usually 2 types of 90/60..the kind with an AF of 2.0 and AF of 8+..if hes a 2.0 I just x/c flop. we have 2 backdoor flushdraws as well. no reason to get freerolled just because of preflop stats. if you had 99xx and x/r flop, would you jam turn?

Sept. 26, 2018 | 7:24 p.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in NLHE: 88 OOP in a steal spot

villain stats:
440 hands - 22/19 ...13.9% 3B, 45% Fv3B, 4BRange= 8.6%
72% CB, and 5.3 AF
BTN Steal - 47%
vs. ReST fold 33% and 4B 67% over 6 instances

should I not 3b? I was confused by his 4b Sizing and didn't know what to do. I think call>jam>fold?? I don't think I can fold to that small of a 4b.

April 14, 2017 | 8:03 p.m.

we have all the blockers and some FD blockers too, are you contemplating folding?

April 14, 2017 | 12:12 a.m.

imo flop looks fairly std to me. I'm not going to x/c flop and donk turn to deny check backs so i prefer x/r. turn sizing is meh, your giving good odds to hands like A6cc. river is easy x/c imo i think villain will bluff with all his missed draws although his sizing makes me think twice for sure.

April 12, 2017 | 12:22 a.m.

in SB you 3b or fold vs reg?

reason i said i almost folded turn is what hands does he credibly double barrel with a 41% cbet?

April 12, 2017 | 12:15 a.m.

WPN, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - http://www.cardrunners.com/

CO: $14.49 (289.8 bb)
BTN: $4.88 (97.6 bb)
Hero (SB): $9.28 (185.6 bb)
BB: $6.54 (130.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Ks Qd
CO raises to $0.15, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.45) Qs Ts Jd (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets $0.21, Hero calls $0.21, BB folds

Turn: ($0.87) 3d (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.55, Hero calls $0.55

River: ($1.97) Kd (2 players)
Hero bets $0.70, CO raises to $2.25, Hero folds

villain is 27/22 opening 22% from CO. cbet Flop - 41, turn -68, river 100 with an AF of 1.5 over 1.3k hands

river i tried to blocker bet but his range has so much Ax that its a clear x/f i think.
i almost folded turn, which honestly i think is the best play, no???

April 11, 2017 | 10:26 a.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in NLHE: questionable spot with KK..

WPN, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - http://www.cardrunners.com/

Hero (CO): $12 (240 bb)
BTN: $5.25 (105 bb)
SB: $9.83 (196.6 bb)
BB: $4.40 (88 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Ks Kh
Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, BB folds

Flop: ($0.50) 2c Qh 5h (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.32, BTN raises to $0.90, SB folds, Hero calls $0.58

Turn: ($2.30) 9h (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.15, Hero calls $1.15

River: ($4.60) Qc (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $3.05 and is all-in, Hero folds

villain stats. 45/27 with AF of 2.4 over 125 hands with a 3b of 4.3%

I don't know if 3 betting flop would be better??...

April 11, 2017 | 10:14 a.m.

Post | leadnuts posted in NLHE: AKo turn question..

villain is 26/20 reg. with a F2CB of 29% and a bet vs. missed cbet of 70%.

hand look ok? I think I should of just bet turn myself honestly.

April 6, 2017 | 10:45 a.m.

cbet stats seem high. i would just fold river as played. i would actually 3bet/Fold preflop. 28/23 is a good candidate for a 3bet bluff. hes barreling a ton though so maybe a flat too. 3b/fold AQo and flat AQs? i think 3betting is good because we can win without seeing a flop and we have blockers to his stack off range. ( QQ+,AK) its more likely to succeed with AQo than A5s just for simple fact of combos.

April 6, 2017 | 2:11 a.m.

imo this is close to the bottom of our opening range. its also a flop we will miss a lot. if were opening 25%+ in CO, and only cbet with mid pair+, combo draws, FDs, we still only have like 35% vs Jx. I would probably go for a x/r here as I'm not going to cbet a huge portion of my range on this flop texture anyway. but as played we need 37% to call, honestly I think he could easily have a one pair hand here, as well as a straight, or smaller 2 pair. ( we block that so less likely)
88-77,AJs,KJs,QJs,JTs,T9s,87s,KhTh,QhTh,AJo,KJo,QJo,JTo. I think that's reasonable since its single raise pot and hes IP after raising. i would prob flat and take a turn. raising folds out the single pair hands and that's bad. you could raise to deny equity to a hand like JhTx but i still think flat and evaluate turn is best option to get more money from worse.

April 6, 2017 | 1:50 a.m.

Comment | leadnuts commented on confusing river..

3b as bluff sounds better..i like less rake and it seems like a good hand with decent blocker potential for the top of his range. although if theres a fish in the blinds I will still flat to entice them to come along.

April 6, 2017 | 1:30 a.m.

I would flat to have 2 fish in..trying to iso without a premium isn't good OOP, going to be in a lot tough spots such as this one.as played I'm folding turn..

April 5, 2017 | 5:41 p.m.

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