i'd probably c/c flop and turn. i dont think its a good idea to bloat pots with medium hands being oop. if he fires by river you have an easy fold. if it goes c/c turn and river, you might value bet, thing is, i dont think you can get 2 streets with this holding.
July 30, 2019 | 2:43 p.m.
i think by the turn you are getting called by 88-10, maybe a non beliver AK, so you can get value from worst hands. the thing is you need to pot control being oop and villan having in his range overpairs and nuts, so id like to check too.
July 30, 2019 | 2:38 p.m.
I think the line is fine. Being with TP TK oop you can actually start by checking thisflop, leaving some strong Aces in your checking range when you also 3bet with some suited hands. Galfond talks about this in his NL videos.
Value range wise, i think theres a lot that could beat us. Pre flop he could raise/call w QQ(6combos),AA (AA 1combo altho you block this, also a posibility), 66(3combos), 1010(3combos) AK (6combos), AQ(9combos), A6s (4combos)Mybe a KJs(4 combos) with BDFD, altho id probably c/r on the flop with this. 36 value combos by the turn.
For air, some J spades, like J10s(4combos), J9s(4combos), Ajs(8combos), A5s(1combos),A6s(1combos),A8s(1combos),A9s(1combos). 20 combos.
Almost 2 value bets per 1 bluff. Plus you 3beted pre and the board is an A high board, he should expect you to have Ak a lot. And he bets into you.
So I dont think he is bluffing enough in this spot and id probably fold.
July 30, 2019 | 11:09 a.m.
I dont like turn call, i dont think villain is betting twice into you when you can have overpairs. Which means either hes got an AA (calling a 3 bet with AA can be done, since AA doesnt need much protection) or trips (no 2 pairs here), since turn is a Brick. No draws on the board, clear value bet by villain, what air is he betting there?.
I'd cbet AA ->KK , 2 pairs or trips here. If you hit a ten prob you can get 1 street value in a 3beted pot, but mostly you should try to keep pot control.
Villan missed a clear value bet at the river i think, id go 1/3 pot.
July 29, 2019 | 7:58 p.m.
BB: $6.65 (Hero)
July 18, 2019 | 1:55 p.m.
Without any info i'd just call here. The thing is tho the turn donk seems fishy, villain just might be playing unbalanced at these stakes. Looks very much like he hited a 7 on the turn for 77. I'd say 9 10s its less likely, cause most of the time you want to 3 bet these hand to be profitable oop.
July 15, 2019 | 10:21 a.m.
So, villain range at the river seems to be very narrow . Your river checking makes a bit transparent i think the fact you have a strong pocket pair afraid of that Ace, also maybe a busted draw. So this may feel like hes taking advantage of that. But what bluffs could he have here? QJd, KTd,KJd,KQd, maybe 77-1010. 28 bluff combos. The fact that you dont have any diamonds makes a bit more likely that he might have some busted draws.
66 and AA(AA is in the flatting range of many because it has no scare cards)
6 value combos
AKd-A5d dont think those are shoving here, just value betting, the shove means boat or air to me.
You are getting roughly 2:1 which means you need at least 33%eq here with AA and 66 for value and QJd,KTd,KJd,KQd,77-1010 for bluff and equilab says against this range you have 40xcent eq
so in paper it might be a break even call, but i dont think population is bluffin here enough with almost no value range, so i think its a fold.
July 12, 2019 | 11:40 p.m.
BB: $10.71 (Hero)
Is this shove with over 50xcnt eq?
BB lost and shows high card Ace.
CO wins $8.90
Rake is $0.39
July 5, 2019 | 7:57 p.m.
BB: $8.19 (Hero)
Bluffs Maybe some gutshot draw + flushdraw like 9 10h, Q10h, 79h. KQh, KTh. Much more bluffs than vale bets in my eyes.
Rake is $0.13
July 1, 2019 | 8:06 p.m.
At first sight, i'd fold too, given the fact that i dont think population is bluffing enough this spot, and we ourselfs could be playing AK, AcKc like this or 89c, trips QQ, Trips JJ.
But, for the same reason, i dont think he is reping here a straight or trips, its a flush or probably some mid pair turned into a bluff. KQ, KJ, AQ, AJ, 2 pairs and trips are all checking here, so its 89c for me or a bluff, wich would make me call at the end. Altho bluffing range is hard to see, maybe some 88, 99, J9s, Q9s, KTs. A competent player may do this noticing that you dont have the flush, wich is pretty obvious.
I runned this throug snowie and snowie checks the flop :). But as played (flop cbet), is betting turn too and calling a river shove.
June 24, 2019 | 4:04 p.m.
SB: $52.52 (Hero)
BB wins and shows two pair, Queens and Nines.
BB wins $24.93
Rake is $0.75
May 7, 2019 | 1:01 p.m.
Rake is $0.63
May 3, 2019 | 5:24 p.m.
SB: $58.28 (Hero)
Rake is $0.75
April 24, 2019 | 1:03 p.m.
Even if you include AJ you are not getting the right pot odds, altho i think its pretty spewy to shove AJ after the BB raise, much less KJ or QJ. Do you really play this hands as shoves? unless you have a read i think you are burning money in the long run. At least math says so.
April 19, 2019 | 3:13 a.m.
I belive is a tough spot, but probably a fold. The thing is villain is not bluffing very much in this spot( this without knowing the dynamics between you two).
You are beating A9h, K9h, KQh, KTh, QTh, T8h, T7h, 87h, 85h for 9 combos of bluffing.
You are behind against 66, 99, J9o, J9s for 16 combos of value.
Against this range you have 32.04% equity vs 67.96% villan
You have to pay 38 to win 18, roughly 1:2 , so you need to be good 66% of the time in order for the shove to be sound.
April 15, 2019 | 11:57 a.m.
SB: $100.70 (Hero)
BB wins and shows a straight, Six to Ten.
BB wins $186.92
Rake is $1.00
Feb. 26, 2019 | 1:50 a.m.
SB: $30.07 (Hero)
BB wins and shows a straight, Ten to Ace.
BB wins $17.98
Rake is $0.94
Feb. 19, 2019 | 11:24 p.m.
partypoker - $0.50 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
Hero (SB): $82.18
BB: $50.00 (VPIP: 38.83, PFR: 27.72, 3Bet Preflop: 9.89, Hands: 2,861)
Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 8h Ad
Hero raises to $1.25, BB raises to $3.75, Hero calls $2.50
Flop : ($7.50, 2 players) 3d Td 2d
BB bets $2.57, Hero calls $2.57
Turn : ($12.64, 2 players) 8d
BB bets $9.27, Hero raises to $18.54, fold
Hero wins $39.45
Minraised the turn on an A high flush to look bluffy, im pretty sure he had som Qd or Kd, but didnt get paid, you think a shove is more likely to be paid?
Feb. 16, 2019 | 4:27 p.m.
I think you are beat. Villan seems to have at least a pair with a flush draw, not to consider trips 444 , he will bet any club or any diamd as bluff and value 2 pair or strips straights and flushes, I don't see how can you pay when you are not beating anything
Feb. 15, 2019 | 7:08 p.m.
I think it's a foldI. Lots of flush draws out there. I don't think he bets JJ + in that turn, only AA. So only AA, 22, 1010, ( I don't think sixes play this way either) , A6s, A10s for combos beating us (18), and 56c +, 75c+.
But I'd probably call if we add some complete air and hands turned into bluffs JJ+
Feb. 10, 2019 | 1:58 p.m.
The river shove is telling pretty much that he has a boat or a bluff. Since spade draws would probable bet the flop, i dont think there should be any draws/bluffs on the river. My feeling is that your hand is super face up and the guy hits a boat on the turn or had a slow played trips that made a boat with the final J.
It'a a fold to me.
Jan. 15, 2019 | 12:25 p.m.
Because J8 is two pair and any two pair would raise the flop with that texture. Same goes for A8 and AJ, trips and overpairs. If you think he has Aces(top pair or two pair) in his range i think you are mistaken, since any Ace will fire that flop to get value from draws, jacks and eights.
Jan. 15, 2019 | 12:03 p.m.
I dont think the BB turn bet is polarized, because since i checked the flop he could be just probing at the turn with any diamond, an 8 (K8, Q8, 10 8s, 98s, 86s, 85s) , a J (J9, J10, QJ, Kj)KQ+ 3bets pre flop and so will 99+, and any made hand ace would donk pot size probably in fear of a draw (Over pair, 2 pair, Ax, trips). He could also have a small pair between 22-77.
Against these range (77-22,KJs,K8s,QJs,Q8s,J9s+,T7s+,97s+,85s+,76s,KJo,K8o,QJo,Q8o,J9o+,T8o-T7o,97o+,87o)
I have a 67 % equity in the flop and 78% equity in the turn.
So he actually does not have a very polarized range and in the turn call there are so many combinations of draws and worst hands, that a C/R made sense to me.
with a 3 of clubs in the river, mu hand has a crushing 90% equity against his range.
But somehow i feel i made a mistake.
Jan. 15, 2019 | 2:41 a.m.
$0.50 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hero Stack 50.85 usd - Villan Stack 70.45 usd
Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 2h Jh
Hero raises to $1.25, BB calls $0.75
Flop : ($2.50, 2 players) Jd 8c Ad
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn : ($2.50, 2 players) 2d
BB bets $1.68, Hero raises to $6.00, BB calls $4.32
River : ($14.50, 2 players) 3c
BB checks, Hero bets $7.00, BB raises to $19.51, Hero calls $12.51
BB shows 7d 9d (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 46%, Flop 48%, Turn 91%)
Hero mucks 2h Jh (Two Pair, Jacks and Twos)
(Pre 54%, Flop 52%, Turn 9%)
BB wins $52.52
Was this a bad river call?