SB: $5.37 (Hero)
Dec. 14, 2019 | 3:12 p.m.
Is it to nity to just fold on the flop? I mean, what is he bluffing here really. The flop hits us pretty hard with suited stuff and broadways, doesnt make much sense tu bluff here IMO.
J10d is the only bluff that comes to my mind, but that shoulded folded pre 100bb deep.
But C/R for value, there are many combos like QQ, AA, KQ.
I think having the Ad is actually not good, since it's less likely he's going for the flush draw, so what is he going for as a bluff?
I'd fold, yesss
Dec. 5, 2019 | 1:59 p.m.
I'm having a hard time coming up with a range here. Tell me if I'm wrong, but all the hands you gave villain should have folded to a squeeze if only 100bb deep right? Or 3bet de button. Except 1010., I guess you can play 1010 like this.
Dec. 4, 2019 | 2:48 p.m.
Rake is $0.84
Nov. 17, 2019 | 11:29 a.m.
UTG: $73.95 (Hero)
Could you point out the flaws on the analysis or if I am missing somehting? Thanks in advanced!
Note: Snowie would fold on the flop c/r, would fold on the turn bet and would fold on the river shove.
BN lost and shows high card Queen.
UTG wins $31.15
Rake is $1.47
Nov. 13, 2019 | 12:19 p.m.
BB: $31.91 (Hero)
CO lost and shows three of a kind, Kings.
BB wins $64.32
Rake is $1.50
Nov. 13, 2019 | 11:48 a.m.
SB: $45.95 (Hero)
Nov. 13, 2019 | 11:06 a.m.
CO: $20.79 (Hero)
Oct. 31, 2019 | 2:04 p.m.
MP: $15.56 (Hero)
Oct. 31, 2019 | 1:47 p.m.
It's a size that acomplish several points. 1 start building the pot. 2 keep players with eq in and fold others. Induces monkey play, since it's a very dry flp and it's very unlikely that anyone have somth, so some people tend to raise.
Oct. 11, 2019 | 11:09 p.m.
SB: $5.30 (Hero)
1. Why would you fold here if villain is cbeting with all of his range.
2. What's wrong with calling and keep villans range wide letting him bet his bluffs.
3. And is this really a good spot for a c/r against a non capped range of villains? I also don't have a heart so i can bluff the turn if a heart hits so i doesn't look very good to me.
Sept. 27, 2019 | 6 p.m.
SB: $6.43 (Hero)
Sept. 2, 2019 | 6:54 p.m.
UTG: $5.00 (Hero)
Sept. 2, 2019 | 11:15 a.m.
CO: $7.51 (Hero)
Aug. 29, 2019 | 11:18 a.m.
Aug. 29, 2019 | 11:03 a.m.
Aug. 29, 2019 | 10:49 a.m.
UTG: $5.92 (Hero)
Aug. 24, 2019 | 12:56 a.m.
Aug. 24, 2019 | 12:51 a.m.
i'd probably c/c flop and turn. i dont think its a good idea to bloat pots with medium hands being oop. if he fires by river you have an easy fold. if it goes c/c turn and river, you might value bet, thing is, i dont think you can get 2 streets with this holding.
July 30, 2019 | 2:43 p.m.
i think by the turn you are getting called by 88-10, maybe a non beliver AK, so you can get value from worst hands. the thing is you need to pot control being oop and villan having in his range overpairs and nuts, so id like to check too.
July 30, 2019 | 2:38 p.m.
I think the line is fine. Being with TP TK oop you can actually start by checking thisflop, leaving some strong Aces in your checking range when you also 3bet with some suited hands. Galfond talks about this in his NL videos.
Value range wise, i think theres a lot that could beat us. Pre flop he could raise/call w QQ(6combos),AA (AA 1combo altho you block this, also a posibility), 66(3combos), 1010(3combos) AK (6combos), AQ(9combos), A6s (4combos)Mybe a KJs(4 combos) with BDFD, altho id probably c/r on the flop with this. 36 value combos by the turn.
For air, some J spades, like J10s(4combos), J9s(4combos), Ajs(8combos), A5s(1combos),A6s(1combos),A8s(1combos),A9s(1combos). 20 combos.
Almost 2 value bets per 1 bluff. Plus you 3beted pre and the board is an A high board, he should expect you to have Ak a lot. And he bets into you.
So I dont think he is bluffing enough in this spot and id probably fold.
July 30, 2019 | 11:09 a.m.
I dont like turn call, i dont think villain is betting twice into you when you can have overpairs. Which means either hes got an AA (calling a 3 bet with AA can be done, since AA doesnt need much protection) or trips (no 2 pairs here), since turn is a Brick. No draws on the board, clear value bet by villain, what air is he betting there?.
I'd cbet AA ->KK , 2 pairs or trips here. If you hit a ten prob you can get 1 street value in a 3beted pot, but mostly you should try to keep pot control.
Villan missed a clear value bet at the river i think, id go 1/3 pot.
July 29, 2019 | 7:58 p.m.
BB: $6.65 (Hero)
July 18, 2019 | 1:55 p.m.
Without any info i'd just call here. The thing is tho the turn donk seems fishy, villain just might be playing unbalanced at these stakes. Looks very much like he hited a 7 on the turn for 77. I'd say 9 10s its less likely, cause most of the time you want to 3 bet these hand to be profitable oop.
July 15, 2019 | 10:21 a.m.
So, villain range at the river seems to be very narrow . Your river checking makes a bit transparent i think the fact you have a strong pocket pair afraid of that Ace, also maybe a busted draw. So this may feel like hes taking advantage of that. But what bluffs could he have here? QJd, KTd,KJd,KQd, maybe 77-1010. 28 bluff combos. The fact that you dont have any diamonds makes a bit more likely that he might have some busted draws.
66 and AA(AA is in the flatting range of many because it has no scare cards)
6 value combos
AKd-A5d dont think those are shoving here, just value betting, the shove means boat or air to me.
You are getting roughly 2:1 which means you need at least 33%eq here with AA and 66 for value and QJd,KTd,KJd,KQd,77-1010 for bluff and equilab says against this range you have 40xcent eq
so in paper it might be a break even call, but i dont think population is bluffin here enough with almost no value range, so i think its a fold.