lush_3d's avatar


4 points

Hi, I believe you flop bet is a bit fishy, that's probably why BB felt provoked and raised to 5x. But he shouldn't have much more than a flushdraw (+ some K pairs in worst casea scenario like K8s-KJs), and 33. Small Axs and Kxs should be 3betting pre, also 64s, 45s IMO. When the 3 hits the river It's just less likely he had a set of 3s and I think you are only beat by some slow played KK (unlikely), Quads 3. But lots of draws bricked. Easy call.

June 28, 2020 | 6:18 p.m.

I don't think strong hands like overpairs are checking that flop, Qx only calls, unless It's something like AQ or KQ, not just Qx. 9x for merge reasons? what do you mean? Why would he ever want to put a 9x hand in a c/r range if that hand has good showdown value and the higher EV play is to check? Gutshots I agree may do that so a J or T might be a part of his range.
So you say people don't raise flush draws when the turn gives them 1 to a flush? I've catched lots of river bluffs were ppl c/r turn hitting the 1 to a flush draw and misses the river, so they feel the need to keep bluffing, I have to disagree here.

June 9, 2020 | 12:54 p.m.

So what do you think is the bluff range here and value range? Like I said, I believe all Hands 2p+ are probably c/r flop, so what hand checks flop and c/r turn? slow played 77 or 99? maybe AQ? . BTW I think having a club is bad here, not good, since I want him to have clubs in order for him to be bluffing, J8 also blocks many hands that want to c/r turn as a bluff. So if I block many bluffs (meaning he doesn't have many?) here whats the value range?

June 3, 2020 | 11:15 p.m.

Blinds: t15/t30 (2 Players) SB: 1,300 (Hero)
BB: 1,700
Villain vpip (ip 35bb+) 64 pfr 55 Limps 8% Villain seems TAG and kinda trappy.
Preflop (45) Hero is SB with 8 J
BB raises to 90, Hero calls 60
Flop (180) 4 7 9
Hero checks, BB checks
Turn (180) 4 7 9 Q
Hero bets 120, BB raises to 420, Hero folds
So here I go for a bluff reping Qx and get raised. I can see getting called by Qx but the raising range is what confuses me. I think all value hands are betting this flop since is kind of drawy, so what kind of hand is checking flop and c/r Q turn? Something like Q4 maybe or AQ-KQ? And my hand is blocking many bluff raising hands so I'm a bit confused about how rages are behaving in this scenario and what is the right play here, maybe just checking the turn?.
Final Pot BB wins 420

May 30, 2020 | 4:24 p.m.

I go last, if I check flop we go to the turn

April 18, 2020 | 3:42 p.m.

Thank you Juan, Yeah, I definitely belive that the pool is value heavy. One question, how do you know how many bluffs he needs in order to force a call??

April 18, 2020 | 12:13 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: NL16 facing river bet 2nd nut
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $19.75
SB: $18.16 (Hero)
BB: $22.52
UTG: $17.35
MP: $12.92
CO: $55.68
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is SB with 9 Q
3 folds, BN raises to $0.48, Hero calls $0.40, BB folds
Flop ($1.12) J T Q
Hero checks, BN bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80
Turn ($2.72) J T Q 3
Hero checks, BN bets $1.95, Hero calls $1.95
River ($6.62) J T Q 3 K
Hero checks, BN bets $4.74, Hero calls $4.74
Villain goes for 3 streets of value, is this a fold at some point? I feel like I shoulded folded the river, but I think he could be value betting some trips or two pair
Final Pot BN wins and shows a straight, Ten to Ace.
BN wins $15.38
Rake is $0.72

April 17, 2020 | 2:58 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: NL16 called 4bet flopped fd+gustshot
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $16.00
SB: $23.60
BB: $25.36
UTG: $35.31
MP: $29.51
CO: $16.00 (Hero)
Villain is 27 vpip 27 pfr 20 3bet
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is CO with 8 7
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, BB raises to $1.28, Hero raises to $2.96, BB calls $1.68
Decided to 4bet here given villains high 3bet freq
Flop ($6.00) 3 4 5
BB checks, Hero bets $3.44, BB calls $3.44
I believe this is a bet, but IDK about the bet sizing, trying to make non club broadways to fold. Prob should be a bit smaller to prepare the shove on turn.
Turn ($12.88) 3 4 5 3
BB checks, Hero bets $9.60 and is all in
I think the shove, on this particular turn is not good, since i could be drawing dead to a fullhouse. Should I just check and fold to a shove?

April 16, 2020 | 5:34 p.m.

I believe It's better than calling

April 13, 2020 | 3:27 p.m.

This is why you shouldn't be 3betting UTG opens with 109s. 240bb deep Villain is only 4betting prob with AA (cause he's got no inf on you, right?), so his calling range I think is still very strong. If you have a read on villain being loose and a station maybe could work.

I think the main point here is that you think villains calling range here is weak, but 240bb deep UTG open / calling range contains everything you want to represent, except maybe AA.
Also he doesn't have any info on you, so he's probably playing even nittier.

That being said, once we get called on the flop we need to think about his range again, what hands are floating and what hands are waiting to get value. I'd probably fold 66 and 44 to the pre flop 3bet of unkwown players and diamond draws are unlikely, so there's very few hands that can call a 3bet and call the cbet.

I don't like the size of the flop cbet. If we are trying to get better hands to fold (right?) you should bet bigger, also, If you have a K in this scenario, we should be giving flush draws bad price to draw or at least 25% (half pot bet) that's the break even point to a flush draw.

I'd say KK, KQs, AK as value hands and AQd QQ,JJ, 1010, 99 bluff catching/floaters.
Against this range you hand have 30% EQ.

So once the turn comes Js, I'd defintely put the breaks and try to realize my EQ by the river.

You are risking 13.37 to win 9.65 with 30% EQ. The ev of the play is (0.3x9.65)-(0.7x13.37) = -6.464 usd.

As long as bluffs for shoving here,I just dont see any. I don't belive villain is doing this with 99 or 1010 or AdQd It's just too spewy, given how much strength you are repping.

April 13, 2020 | 2:56 p.m.

The play is -EV. You will loose 15.45 dolars every time you make that play assuming he pays TP+ (66,77,88,AA, AJo+and, A10s+) folds drawing hands and bluffs (KQs,KJs,KTs, QJs,QTs, random air) which I think It's a fair range for a turn bet.

You have 45% EQ against this range.

so (0,45x69) - (0,55x183) if he's calling every time = -71usd

(0,45x69)-(0,25x183) calling half of the time = -15usd

But to be honest, his range consists a lot more of value hands than bluffs, so probably EV of the play is even worst, but again he might fold some aces to a shove.

On the other hand, if you just call, you call is +EV

(0,45x69) - (0,55x26) = 17,3

April 11, 2020 | 8:55 a.m.

I didn't see 79s here, thnxs, It's four more combos. The thing is that at this level people are not jaming here for bluffs, it's not like he's going to take 77 and jam river knowing he's beat, so it's a good exploitable fold at this level (altho I payed him this time) IMO

April 8, 2020 | 5:15 p.m.

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $9.32
SB: $10.19 (Hero)
BB: $16.69
UTG: $31.67
MP: $9.32
CO: $15.11
No reads
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with 9 J
UTG folds, MP calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20, MP calls $0.20
Here a small mistake, I didn't see the limper and open raise to steal. Prob I'd just fold this with a ep limper
Flop ($0.90) T Q 6
Hero bets $0.52, BB calls $0.52, MP calls $0.52
Being the preflop raiser I tried to take the pot down right there with the OESD.
Turn ($2.46) T Q 6 A
Hero checks, BB checks, MP checks
River ($2.46) T Q 6 A 8
Hero bets $2.15, BB raises to $8.80
Here I make my straight. so I bet it to extract value from some pairs or two pairs. Trips T or 6 shoulded have raised by now prob. I get raised 4x whichs give me the impression of KJ or some rivered trips with 88. 12 combos of KJ vs 3 combos of 88 was pretty clear fold until I realized there's also the posibility he's value betting the same hand that I have. There's 9 combos of J9 plus three combos of 88 gave me also 12 hands that Beat or chop. What do you guys think, is this a call or a fold?? thnxs!

April 8, 2020 | 3:17 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: 10NL AK 2 pair facing shove 2 draws
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $16.42
SB: $12.40
BB: $13.66
UTG: $14.10 (Hero)
MP: $10.46
CO: $12.66
no reads
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K A
Hero raises to $0.25, 4 folds, BB calls $0.15
Flop ($0.55) K 7 2
BB checks, Hero bets $0.25, BB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.25
Turn ($1.55) K 7 2 A
BB bets $1.48, Hero raises to $3.86, BB raises to $12.91 and is all in, Hero folds
So he min raises me on the flop and leads for pot on the turn, Me holding the A of hearts makes me believe it's more of a made hand instead of a draw. The flop min raise is also weird kinda provocative to get action. I think my turn raise is a mistake too if I'm not calling a shove. Also we were more than 100 bb deep to get it in on the turn with just 2 pair I don't think he is shoving a heart draw here. What do you guys think? Were can i imporve my play here? Thanks!

March 21, 2020 | 2:41 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: Leading wet board with TPGK
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $2.97
SB: $5.43 (Hero)
BB: $5.55
UTG: $5.09
MP: $5.28
CO: $10.37
No reads
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is SB with Q K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.15, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10
Is it ok to just call KQo from sb? Isn't it better to 3 bet to either fold to 4bet so you dont play dominated?
Flop ($0.45) 7 8 Q
Hero bets $0.39, BB folds, MP calls $0.39
Here I decided to lead, just to charge draws, following the principle to bet when worst hands will call. Snowie is checking 100% of his range, why is this?

March 12, 2020 | 12:07 a.m.

Fold turn

Dec. 31, 2019 | 10:51 a.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: Check Shove spots?
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $13.64
SB: $5.37 (Hero)
BB: $5.40
UTG: $5.19
MP: $10.20
CO: $7.27
Villain seems to be TAGish
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is SB with Q A
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, BB raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.40
Is this good spot to 4bet bluff here?
Flop ($1.20) K 9 T
Hero checks, BB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00
Turn ($3.20) K 9 T 9
Hero checks, BB bets $1.50, Hero raises to $3.77 and is all in
He bets again bit more of half pot. I felt he had some sort of a King or QQ. I could easly have QJ here and also i took a shot at reping the 9 some of the times like A9 i have. Is this a goos spot to shove? Thats what id do with all mi trips and boats also.

Dec. 14, 2019 | 3:12 p.m.

Is it to nity to just fold on the flop? I mean, what is he bluffing here really. The flop hits us pretty hard with suited stuff and broadways, doesnt make much sense tu bluff here IMO.
J10d is the only bluff that comes to my mind, but that shoulded folded pre 100bb deep.
But C/R for value, there are many combos like QQ, AA, KQ.
I think having the Ad is actually not good, since it's less likely he's going for the flush draw, so what is he going for as a bluff?

I'd fold, yesss

Dec. 5, 2019 | 1:59 p.m.

I'm having a hard time coming up with a range here. Tell me if I'm wrong, but all the hands you gave villain should have folded to a squeeze if only 100bb deep right? Or 3bet de button. Except 1010., I guess you can play 1010 like this.

Dec. 4, 2019 | 2:48 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: NL16 KK facing agression, no draws
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $29.94 (Hero)
SB: $16.00
BB: $32.04
UTG: $16.24
MP: $30.93
CO: $17.17
Villain is 18 vpip/3b 0/attack 15 over 73 hands. No real reads.
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is BN with K K
UTG raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.40, CO folds, Hero raises to $1.90, 2 folds, UTG calls $1.50, MP calls $1.50
Flop ($5.94) J 5 9
UTG checks, MP checks, Hero bets $2.40, UTG folds, MP raises to $6.32, Hero calls $3.92
So, when you get raised on this spot and there are no draws, it's pretty much only a value raise right? Trips or air. What else could you be calling a squeeze with that is not JJ?. Q10s should be folded pre or am I being too nity? I know some bad players would do this with air and then give up too. So I called.
Turn ($18.58) J 5 9 2
MP bets $22.71 and is all in, Hero folds
Anyways, is this fold too nitty?
Final Pot MP wins $17.74
Rake is $0.84

Nov. 17, 2019 | 11:29 a.m.

Its only 4 combos of AK by the river 1Kx4A

Nov. 13, 2019 | 5:18 p.m.

Why would you call, what are you beating?
Your are chopping with 4 combos of AK and loosing to 6 combos of fullhouses for almost 130 bb

Nov. 13, 2019 | 12:39 p.m.

Hey man, thanks for the reply. I'll definetly tighten my 4betting range here if people turn out to be nittier on the BB. I 3 bet a lot from BB given the weak range of the SB I thought it was very common.

Nov. 13, 2019 | 12:36 p.m.

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $16.05
SB: $19.22
BB: $21.63
UTG: $73.95 (Hero)
MP: $13.87
CO: $16.00
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is UTG with A Q
Hero raises to $0.36, 2 folds, BN calls $0.36, SB calls $0.28, BB folds
Villain is an agressive LAGgy reg.
Flop ($1.24) 4 8 Q
SB checks, Hero bets $0.71, BN raises to $2.13, SB folds, Hero calls $1.42
So, for value here there's 6 combos of trips (44,88) and a ton of draws :)
Turn ($5.50) 4 8 Q 5
Hero checks, BN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50
Let me know if my reasoning is wrong. So, if you had trips on the flop, shouldn't you slow down a bit with a 5? also, all flush draws will also bet this card. It completes 67s straight, So 10 combos of value(44,88,67s)....and still a ton of i called
River ($12.50) 4 8 Q 5 6
Hero checks, BN bets $10.06 and is all in, Hero calls $10.06
The 6 hits the board completing clubs flush and some straights. But if you missed your flushed draw, it's the perfect card to bet...also, now trips are out of the question (I wouldnt go allin with trips here), so the only hand that could c/r flop was the flush draw and so i called.
Could you point out the flaws on the analysis or if I am missing somehting? Thanks in advanced!
Note: Snowie would fold on the flop c/r, would fold on the turn bet and would fold on the river shove.
Final Pot BN lost and shows high card Queen.
UTG wins and shows a pair of Queens.
UTG wins $31.15
Rake is $1.47
Villain had 109h

Nov. 13, 2019 | 12:19 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: NL16 Can you fold trips here?
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $7.55
SB: $16.16
BB: $31.91 (Hero)
UTG: $16.00
MP: $16.67
CO: $49.71
Villain is TAGish reg. Stats 24vpip 13%3bet over 70 hands, Tough guy to play, 4 tabling Russian
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is BB with J J
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.40, CO raises to $1.60, BN folds, SB calls $1.52, Hero calls $1.44, MP folds
Weird spot here right away. I elected to just call, I think JJ is just one of the worst hands involved the action being MP raise and CO 3beting. Or should i raise here? I think at best i'm going 50/50 with AK and all other hands QQ+ beat me. Snowie would fold this.
Flop ($5.20) 3 J K
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $2.24, SB folds, Hero calls $2.24
Well, sweet spot here. I know this guy is tight, specially after the pre flop action, I'm pretty sure he had a K or AA. I c/c but snowie points out this as a mistake, giving more ev to a bet. But wouldn't it be too obvious to be leading here into 2 people? I of course he is calling, but i'm not sure i can get the money in on later streets. And as far as Villain goes, shouldn't he be checking this for pot control?
Turn ($9.68) 3 J K K
Hero checks, CO bets $3.70, Hero raises to $7.40, CO calls $3.70
Now Villain hits trips. Here I'm a bit lost. You have trips but what am I paying? Or raising with? I'd never call pre with Q10h or a worst K. So he's either chopping with some other AK or loosing to a full house imop. I chose to min3bet here cause it's provocative, bluffy and build the pot. Anyways, i think it's a call, but on the river you should be able to find a fold right? Villain had AK btw.
River ($24.48) 3 J K K 4
Hero bets $20.67 and is all in, CO calls $20.67
Final Pot BB wins and shows a full house, Jacks full of Kings.
CO lost and shows three of a kind, Kings.
BB wins $64.32
Rake is $1.50

Nov. 13, 2019 | 11:48 a.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: NL16 BBvsSB Agressive Villain
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $51.12
SB: $45.95 (Hero)
BB: $16.91
UTG: $16.24
MP: $16.24
CO: $15.28
Villain shows agressive stats but only 52 hands. 16% 3betting, Attack 46, Squeeze 33%. And he actually plays agressive I had him tag as agressive also
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is SB with K 6
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.51, BB raises to $1.53, Hero raises to $3.60, BB calls $2.07
I chose to 4bet here looking his 3betting stats and given the fact that I block AK, KK, KQ
Flop ($7.20) K T J
Hero checks, BB bets $3.84, Hero calls $3.84
Floped tp and bdfd, I thought i had enough eq to call. Snowie would fold here but I think it's just too tight, villain could be betting here lots of draws and complete air in some cases.
Turn ($14.88) K T J 4
Hero checks, BB bets $9.47 and is all in, Hero calls $9.47
And here I think it's ok to call but I'm not happy about it. Snowie would also call, but I feel i misplayed the hand, but I'm a bit lost on how to handle the post flop spot.

Nov. 13, 2019 | 11:06 a.m.

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $22.57
SB: $15.70
BB: $11.60
UTG: $21.58
MP: $43.35
CO: $20.79 (Hero)
Villan is 27vpip on 16 hand sample :(
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is CO with K Q
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds
Flop ($0.75) 9 4 5
MP bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25
Is this a fold? small pairs like 66 will probable bet this and I'm behind, and if he's betting AKs or AQs and K or Q hits ill loose quite a bit. Donking is a bit weird here, looks like a made hand scared of clubs or a draw.
Turn ($1.25) 9 4 5 Q
MP bets $0.89, Hero calls $0.89
So here i hit the Q, but mp keeps betting, maybe because this is a good card to bet? Ax draws will also probably bet this
River ($3.03) 9 4 5 Q 9
MP bets $2.17, Hero folds
9 hits and altho its not a good card for betting he bets 2/3 pot, so i guess its overpairs, 44,55 or AQ, since draws should give up on this card right? Good fold?

Oct. 31, 2019 | 2:04 p.m.

Hand History | lush_3d posted in NLHE: NL10 facing 3 bullets against LAG
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.00
SB: $12.79
BB: $30.42
UTG: $16.34
MP: $15.56 (Hero)
CO: $14.47
Villain is aggro with 25vpip and 25 on 3beting, but only 5 hands on sample :(
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is MP with 7 7
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.23, 2 folds, SB raises to $0.79, BB folds, Hero calls $0.56
Should i fold this anyways, knowing that villain will be 3betting all kinds of garbage?
Flop ($1.68) J 6 2
SB bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80
standard cbet so i called
Turn ($3.28) J 6 2 3
SB bets $1.57, Hero calls $1.57
Turn is a brick unless he's got 45s. He'll probably keep betting Axd, for bluffs, AA-JJ for value, so i called.
River ($6.42) J 6 2 3 T
SB bets $3.07, Hero folds
All the draws get there so i folded, should i have folded sooner?

Oct. 31, 2019 | 1:47 p.m.

It's a size that acomplish several points. 1 start building the pot. 2 keep players with eq in and fold others. Induces monkey play, since it's a very dry flp and it's very unlikely that anyone have somth, so some people tend to raise.

Oct. 11, 2019 | 11:09 p.m.

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $5.23
SB: $5.30 (Hero)
BB: $8.31
UTG: $9.09
MP: $5.30
CO: $5.71
No reads
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is SB with J J
3 folds, BN raises to $0.15, Hero raises to $0.50, BB raises to $1.38, BN folds, Hero calls $0.88
Flop ($2.91) 2 8 K
Hero checks, BB bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10
Pretty standard cbet so i just called here. But in this spot, snowie suggests to fold 82% of the time and a raise 18%.
1. Why would you fold here if villain is cbeting with all of his range.
2. What's wrong with calling and keep villans range wide letting him bet his bluffs.
3. And is this really a good spot for a c/r against a non capped range of villains? I also don't have a heart so i can bluff the turn if a heart hits so i doesn't look very good to me.
Turn ($5.11) 2 8 K 8
Hero checks, BB checks
River ($5.11) 2 8 K 8 9
Hero checks

Sept. 27, 2019 | 6 p.m.

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