raiser_burn's avatar

raiser_burn

1 points

Hey James

your on the right page as me.  But my friend  debate was that there was little to no need to play as aggressive at the casino we play at simply because players are super bad there, and that we do not need to balance our bluffs with our values,  they simply don't pay attention to these things.  against tougher villians when we play the bigger game, we tend to balance a little more and increase fold eq with marginals.  but when we are playing the smaller stakes (2-5) he is saying that there is no need to increase your variance because players just dont pay attention there.  


Aug. 12, 2013 | 3:34 p.m.

I had this discussion with a good friend of mine the other day regarding this issue and a hand I played,  he thinks that an overall optimal strategy playing mid stakes is realizing our equity vs increasing our fold equity.  My style is geared more towards increasing fold eq (eg. check raising, barelling on the right cards etc.)  So I want to ask the general public as to what you think.  Is it more optimal to call your draws or bet your draws VS raising them and getting more folds.  I understand that the latter has a little more variance for the times that you are called down light, but the other strategy just seems a little to fit or fold for me,  what do you think?


Aug. 8, 2013 | 7:44 p.m.

as i mentioned before, villian has called off 150 bb with "A (4 kicker)"  he has the ability to call off super light.  so I do not see him folding any turn shoves after he bets 300 with any equity in the hand.  I do however see a downside in shoving flop, because you take away all of his turn bluffing range if you shove flop, any hand that will continue with on the flop will definately continue with on turn no?  My question now is..................... is there any instance where the turn is ever a fold?

June 8, 2013 | 8 p.m.

Post | raiser_burn posted in NLHE: raise, call or fold????

Villian is a agro fish, I have seen him bet 100 into a 75 dollar pot then 200 on the turn and fold for 160 more when he got raised.  I have also seen him call off 150bb with just a ace 4 kicker to what was obviously a better hand.  on a very straight coordinated board.  


we are playing 2-5 full ring

Villian  900

hero 820

other players not so important


Villain opens for 35 utg +3,  one flat, hero flats on button with 88.  

Flop 2d 2s 4d

villian bets 150, fold, hero calls

Turn is a 5h

villian bets 300, hero ?


call raise or fold?  If I call turn, hero leaves himself with 335 on the river.

June 5, 2013 | 3:56 p.m.

Super weird line take by villain. as played call river, and bigger bet you could probably be even more confident that his hand was weighted more toward a nutted hand. Tough spot, make the crying call based on price.

April 7, 2013 | 4:06 p.m.

Just some food for thought

What would the majority of you think a good win rate (hourly) is for

2-5 live?
5-10 live?

what would the top 5% of players be winning in these limits?

March 24, 2013 | 6:08 a.m.

If you consider villian a nit, what gave you the assumption that he was gonna barrel his bluffs into you all 3 streets. by not cbetting the flop turn river, you lose value from all his Kx's as well as his draws. if he was type to bet his draw, which we will assume he's not cause "hes a nit", do you still call his river bet when the draw completes? I would assume you don't have enough bluffs in your range if you dont' think you can get at least 2 streets of value from utg open flat.

March 23, 2013 | 6:12 a.m.

oh BigFiszh, by the way I forgot to mention, it was live but with the video poker machines. So basically it was a mix of online and live, everyone has their own screen and one community screen in the middle,, we still sit around the table and can get physical tells, but there are no chips in play and betting is all done with numbers

March 23, 2013 | 2:44 a.m.

Thanks for the response. I guess its close, like you said 10bb is not huge but it does make that much of a difference in the long haul. Thanks for the post all, made my decision to flat on the turn feel much better now

March 23, 2013 | 1:22 a.m.

Hey BigFiszh I am also curious in the calculation, so how does my hand fair against his perceived range?

fd - we can probably discount about half of them (i.e 26, 39, J2, etc.)
6x
PP - 77-JJ, I feel like hes 3betting QQ+ 100% of time, so we will leave those out.
78 off

Jamming ev?
Calling ev?

and im curious as to what our calling ev is on the river. considering to variables i guess
1) he never jams his busted draws
2) he jams his entire range

March 22, 2013 | 8:49 p.m.

Agreed, but I don't think turn is ever a fold.

March 22, 2013 | 8:38 p.m.

From the sound of it it seems pretty close from all you opinions. I feel there is a lot more value lost by not jamming the turn, because you lose value from all his fd hands which are commited and if it so happens to be a cooler to any 6x at least you still have equity in the hand, why call off when you have 0% equity on river if he does have 6x. The only down side is you push off his pp sometimes, but im keeping in mind that you are not pushing away his pp 100% of the time, so there is some additional value in putting it in on turn.

BigFiszh - after I flat pretty much pot, do you really believe that he jams river with his entire range? I was the preflop raiser and made it to the river with him. I am pretty strong after flatting the turn. And hes not a terrible player. If that is the case then I don't mind just calling the turn. But if hes checking back all busted fd and x/c or c/f his pp then I prefer the turn jam

March 22, 2013 | 1:18 p.m.

Post | raiser_burn posted in NLHE: 5-5 premature jam or +ev jam
We are playing 3handed live

Hero (BTN) - $1700
(SB) - $1200
Villian (BB) - $850

Villian has been playing relatively tight, but is capable of playing back at you, (sb) is very maniacal and opens all (btn). (sb) hasn't been 3 betting too much oop

Hero - 6h7h opens for 25
sb calls
villian calls

Flop
6c6d5c
hero leads for 45
sb folds
villian (bb) x/r to 150, hero calls

Turn
3s
villian (bb) bets 325
hero calls

this is where i feel like I played the hand wrong. In retrospect I think a jam here is better then a call. Villians perceived range is all flush draws, pp 77-10 maybe JJ at best, and all 6x's. I don't feel like he is x/r'ing with a flopped boat here. At the time I felt he was weighted more towards a pp so I did not want to make it tough for him on the turn, and was going to jam all non club rivers, making it looked like i missed, but I regret not jamming simply because if he had a FD he was committed to call, If he has a pp he may or may not call and with any 6x i am basically losing too. Only beating 64 and 62 both very not likely. But I feel that even if he has a 6x I still have some equity in the hand as oppose to a tough spot on river where my equity is 0.

River
Js
Villian jams for $350
Hero after some long thought called cause of the price. Getting slightly over 4-1

Villian shows ks6s

now my question is as played can I fold this river for the price I am getting? Very likely he has 6x now after jamming river or even JJ, don't see him jamming less for value. Maybe a small chance he's trying to push me off thinking i missed my draw.

would jamming the turn been a better play considering stack sizes?
now what if we were deeper, what would be optimal on the turn then?

I appreciate your response

March 19, 2013 | 7:55 a.m.

March 19, 2013 | 7:26 a.m.

No Teddy, I am just trying to manually input it in, but I can't seem to get past the first page. Thx for the response

March 18, 2013 | 6:38 p.m.

I am having trouble trying to post a hand history, please give me a heads up as to how I can do this. I am stuck on the first part of it 1/2, where it says to put my hand in, as I do this and proceed to click next, I get a "invalid hand". Any help would be greatly appreciated

March 18, 2013 | 6:03 a.m.

great post Ben. Would you say that is is more so more important to balance in PLO as oppose to NLHE?

Feb. 15, 2013 | 12:37 a.m.

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