zinom1

transaction done. no problemo

I think on river villain should value blockers rather than call a linear range. Given you are repping JT, villain might favor calling KJ instead of KQ or K9 or smthg. Therefore, to counter this strat, jamming some top pair hands might make sense. Im gonna sim this to see if this is a real thing.

Post some stats or a video of you playing so we can commentate.

maybe its not important how much you bet

yes Xraising 54 is super standard. What doesnt seem standar is the IP 3 bet. followed BY oop 4 bet etc

Removed 43s, 53s and 54s from OOP range and now there is 0% 3 betting so I guess it has something to do with that.

6 max is full ring but the 3 players in ealier positions have folded. Thats it

If you run this spot in a solver Im guessing on turn your hand is close to 0ev when facing turn barrel so probably look at your hud and try to exploit

I think block betting turn is best because you are representing a polarized range and trying to reduce the ev of villain. By jamming he gets to fold way more and obv always calls Kx. if the reason to block bet turn and shove river is not obvious you should whatch sauces video on multistreet polarized games. Ofc in reality equity shifts on river so its no exactly the same but I think the board is still dry enough to try and play turn and river instead of making it a 2 street game.

Lets say villain has 30 value combos(JJ+ ). he should probably bluff with hands that block your best bluffcatchers(QQ and JJ) so he should bet his KQ, QJ, JT and QT on the turn and then jam river. Usually he should choose to unblock clubs and maybe hearts.

this could happen if Spr is very low for protection. There is a hand at a scoop/wcoop final table were LLinus calls a 3 bet oop with 99 and then x shoves teh flop with an overpair

If OOP folds too much when holding spades IP can exploit by bluffing more often when unblocking spades. The counter to this is for OOP to start calling some combos with spades.

you wwsf is indeed crazy. if I was playing vs you I wouldnt fold a single bluffcatcher ;)

Im guessing IP doesnt have 22-44 in his range, The 9 gives Ip a bunch of backdoor straight draws so that might be it. The 5 shoudnt interact much with his range so...

These sims were considering pre flop rake?

Could be that on flops such as AQ4r OOP wants to x raise some bottom pair because otherwise his flatting range becomes too bottom pair heavy which increases the ev of IP's bluff on turns.

I didnt check turn

BTW villain has to shove any Ax on the river and can only shove Busted F draws 22% of the time so I guess Its very likely some people are overbluffing this spot

So i ran a sim and 20% block bet is used on river quite often but not with JJ. JJ is always checking river and calling the shove about 50% of the time.

DNegs98 I have 4.3k hands on villain. After running some sims with nodelocks I realize that I should def be golding river vs this player type because on turn theres a fex combos that are non intuitive to bet aswell low equity draws such as gutshots which vilain is probably no barreling. I didnt even nodelocked the river. Just the fact that he gets to river with such a lack of air hands makes it a fold

nice! But how low does his wwsf need to be for you to want o fold? Would you still call at say 38% wwsf ?

Why do you assume that their range is polarized just because of the big sizing. Its entirely possible that its linear and that sizing is just what they chose to use for whatever reason

DNegs98 Right because villain is suppose to bet turn with a bunch of no equity hands which then bluff this river. If villain only bets turn with good made hands and F draws then it becomes closer I guess

just ran a sim and folding QQ is pure shoving turn with average ev of 11,83. Btw flop 75% cbet is better and 33% sizing is unecessary

Just ran a sim and my combo is x raising flop 50% of the time. On the turn after callin g flop its a pure check call on that turn and on the river is mixing between call and x raise! the ev on the river of that combo after Vilain bets is +84 BB. So folding is tremendous mistake in equilibrium,but I guess we already knew that

Great analysis! Ty