I agree with all of these points, and I'd like to add that I don't think the A3s @ 1:33 is a defend GTO-wise. Unless you meant an occasional 5bet-shove, but my understanding was that you were considering a call.
Also, I think the 33 @ 4:45 should be a turn bet to get value from AcX, broadways with a club, 9x, 88/77, 65s, 55/44 and to not let our opponent freely realize his equity w/ A5/A4.
Aug. 19, 2018 | 4:39 p.m.
Great video! I'd love to see more videos like this, but with other spots in which the population significantly deviates from the equilibrium strategy.
Is there any video you can recommend that has more information on node-locking in PIO?
July 21, 2018 | 10:47 a.m.
This is a good video. For me personally I feel like the fear of making mistakes and the self-criticism that follows afterwards is part of the confrontation you mention. But instead of a confrontation with another player it is a confrontation with the critical part of myself that I try to avoid.
Oct. 22, 2016 | 7:14 a.m.
Really liked the session pre/review stuff, very helpful.
Small observation: you really use a lot of filler words: "you know", "so", "like", etc. There is nothing wrong with a brief silence to gather your words and thoughts.
March 14, 2015 | 2:48 p.m.
Your blocker isn't that relevant when ranges are this wide.
Also you seem to contradict yourself as you obviously also block some of his Ax bluff combos and not just his value Ax combos. Not to mention that contrary to what you are saying you are actually using the result as a justification for the call.
It seems like you are grasping for reasons to justify this play while in fact the turn should be a fold. You aren't getting the right price against his entire range. Even if he bluffs you off a better hand some of the time that is fine as our range here contains a lot of stronger hands that we can call with.
Nov. 22, 2014 | 6:54 p.m.
In order to play GTO in the spot that you mention we need to make our opponent indifferent between calling and folding with his weakest bluffcatcher. Indifferent because if either calling or folding has the higher EV he can choose to call 100% or fold 100%. When we are properly balanced and our opponent either calls or folds more than he theoretically should we will gain EV from his mistake. In this case it is also irrelevant for us how often our opponent will fold since he can not unilaterally change his strategy to increase his EV.
Because our opponent gets 2:1 on his call here we need to have 2 value bets for every bluff in our range.
May 9, 2014 | 7:43 p.m.
So what exactly is the problem here? River looks like an easy fold against this villain.
With us having this narrow of a range there are going to be some runouts where we end up in tough spots. River decision should depend on whether villain bluffs enough for us to get the right price to call but without any clear indication of that this is just going to be a meh fold with our entire range imo.
May 7, 2014 | 7:04 p.m.
I think villain will rarely have enough bluffs here for us to call the river. Besides this hand is in the bottom of our range and should not be a problem to fold.
I'd rather add this hand to our bluff 4bet range, especially if villain is capable of putting us in these kind of spots frequently postflop.
Feb. 6, 2014 | 9:58 a.m.
I think this is fine.
Personally I would get to the river with more Axhh hands that we would bluff the river with, so AA would definitely need to be in our value range.
Also villain will probably will get to the river with JJ, maybe TT. This shouldn't matter much for our decision here though.
Feb. 6, 2014 | 9:48 a.m.
No offense but what are you doing on 400NL if you don't see the problem of folding JJ here?
You presumably plan to call down on every runout to keep villain's range wide, and when the perfect bluff card comes off on the river you want to fold the top of your range, which is also basically the 2nd nuts.
If you really think he is so insanely nutted here that you should fold JJ then I don't understand why you don't just get it in on the flop.