Have built a cash study plan for the next two months. It's ambitious, but I think I can do it.
Most impportantly, it's modular. So if I find the goal unrealistic, or something comes up, I can quickly adjust.
Hyped to get working, as my next "poker week" starts tomorrow night.
Nov. 27, 2022 | 12:52 a.m.
Great video. Seth Davies battling the guys I struggle against when I play my biggest MTT
Played a $1500 at the borgata on Friday. Field was tremendously easy to play against but the structure made the game volatile.
I regged early — apparently a mistake because (1) all the nj regs seemed to come late, and (2) all of the early spots where multiway, which means they were high EV but not high equity.. High variance in a spot where definitely having a threatening stack pays off as the field tightens up (they always do)
I blasted off one bullet in tighter spots and re-regged with about 50bb effective. Chipped up, chipped down, lost a flip to a shorty, won a flip for more than a stack with AA. Lost a “flip” to a guy whose 3bet size was a 40bet rejam with AK vs AQ. Rigged IMO
Made three very savvy cash decisions. (1) Played 500NL for a few hours after I busted and got a few hundo back rampaging over a loose field. (2) Woke up early to play PLO against the guys who were up all night and one another few hundo back. (3) found a weird spot where I got my money in in a $2k pot as a lock 75:25 or better (villain either had overpair with a one card flush draw or set because of how tight he was pre, and I jammed a flush turn with all of the flushes exclusively in my range) and lost when he insisted on running it once and binked his boatercycle. Double rigged IMO. I do want to solve it to see if i get overbets on the turn with the flush exclusivity but I havent.
Swings up and swings down but -2700 for the trip.
I have been watching the Dhruv videos, FTGU PLO and This is PLO, and studying in Vision. I have been bumhunting 100 and 200PLO on the NJ sites. Some concepts are a lot clearer to me. I think am generating a ton of EV AND know I am running well. Sample size in PLO is beast though.
I have fulfilled my poker goals in terms of play this month but have not been studying as much hold ‘em as I planned to. Possibly because the source material I was initially using (from another site, won’t advertise but by all means message me if you want to know), did not finish as strong as I’d hoped.
Mental Health Monday is going strong. I’ve been hitting a lot more of my goals than I’d expected this month. Therapy works, my friends.
For next month, I’ll double down on NL cash game play and study for a few months. I wonder if maybe live cash has weakened my brain a little, so I will focus on online play and study.
In keeping with the theory that “everyone should have a secret project”, I will spend a little time every week studying PLO and playing a little too. Mental Health Monday will continue as always also
So for the time being, I will bid adieu to tournaments. I’ll get back to them in the leadup to wsop. Probably starting in late March.
Nov. 20, 2022 | 6:40 p.m.
MTT BVB is a spot I have limited insight into. On your high roller hand:
Ks Jh 7d sim —
Why does IP size small on the flop when checked to? Is it to attack the bottom part of the ranges continues? (T5s, etc). And there’s no value in going after the stronger limps because many of the hands that attack it are raising anyway?
Nov. 20, 2022 | 6:19 p.m.
1) Great to see you battling some of the guys I run into since i moved up into the $100-$500 stakes.
2) I love this format of reviewing live play and breaking out to go to the solver. Adding in the trainer was a great feature too. More videos like this would be great.
Nov. 2, 2022 | 5:32 p.m.
I’ve been working a ton and only playing two live sessions. They were at lower stakes for live, both cash and mtt.
It’s gone frustratingly poorly, and I feel much more intensely disappointed about it than any effect it’s had on my bankroll. I made two hero calls into guys bluffing with the best hands*, I lost my share of flips, I punted a little in a large pot, and I lost to a rivered one card flush when I had the flush and got all in on the turn. Mostly bad runouts but a little bit of bad play, or at least questionable from an “exploitative” strategy view..
I think November may be an 80-90% study month. I’m sure I'm going to spend more time studying but the question is “how much?”. I bought Rabichow’s course. I’m eager to start “The Game Plan” for sure.
*Both said they were value betting, which really undermined my confidence in bluff catching them, but the first guy was new to the table and seemed bluffy and the second guy actually cringed when I called him so I was giving him waaaaaaaaay too much credit for understanding how bluffs work.
Oct. 23, 2022 | 7:49 p.m.
Live play update.
Went to Rivers in Philadelphia as planned to play 1/2, get a massage and watch my friend become a live crusher.
Wa's getting the hang of live play - it's cool to see - I think he's much better at cash than most of the people I know so I think getting him to 2/5 will yield huge rewards in terms of bankroll.
I had three errors, but otherwise got a lot of value.
Worst punt was a I snapcalled a jam to be shown quads in a spot where it was quads, bad mergey value/bluff that I beat, or chop, but I learned this punty villain (Imagine about a 55/40 preflop) starts to overbet with strong hands and calls down with garbage, inelastically. -$170, but lesson learned.
Major hand of the night:
~$420 effective. Eight handed. Punty villain opens UTG7 to $15 and it folds to me on CO with AA. - 45 to go. Folds back to the wild whale. He calls.
($86) - AJ9 rainbow.
Villain checks to me. Knowing hewill continue wide, I don't quite block value the way I would against someone else. Also all straight draws are in range. I bet 60, villain doesn't even tank - he just jams. I say a silent "please don't have queen-ten" to myself and flick in a red chip to call.
Villain rolls... J9o.
Turn 8 (Thank you for no QT!)
River A for the revenge quads. (In your face QT)
... and that also made me the high hand jackpot for an additional 500.
I tipped the next dealer $5 for forgetting to announce seat open for an extra 10 minutes when the guy went to get more money, but he left and never returned.
Next time we go, it'll be Wa's turn to cash huge.
Oct. 7, 2022 | 6:46 a.m.
It’s going to be a slow-ish poker week. Did some mental game study today - Jan Philippi and Elliot Roe. The Jan Philippi videos are truly excellent if you haven’t seen them. Highly recommend.
Tomorrow I’ll get back into the technical analysis. Hopefully will get to grind a little at night but I also have to clean my house and have a ton of late afternoon/early evening stuff to do.
Thursday, going to the casino with Wa so he can continue to try his hand at the art of bankroll building.
Friday I’ll get a grind on.
Saturday I’m going out in the evening.
Sunday is half price sunday on stars, so I may be in the mtt streets. We’ll see how my energy levels are.
Also I plan to buy the KRab course this week, but it’ll take me about a month to get to it.
Oct. 5, 2022 | 4:44 a.m.
Thanks for the follow up in this series, this is some of the most lucid discussion of continuation betting I've ever seen.
I had spot that is not clicking.
@ ~36:45 -
You discuss A765 vs A766 vs A7TT on AJ7 - you discuss how the pocket pair influences the decision to barrel.
You noted that both A7TT and A766 barrel more frequently than A765 and A7TT does it a lot more.
I am guessing that the powerful blocker effects of TT add to equity and equity realization substantially and favor a bet to get villain's other Aces with some equity to fold. Do I have this right?
And how does AJ66 fit in to this increase in frequency?
Sept. 25, 2022 | 9:49 p.m.
I would just mass table $10-$100 tourneys and see how you do.
There’s not enough tables and jurojin doesnt work on one of the sites to keep them organized so I’m capped at about 12, but even that is a stretch. People talk a lot about keeping the bankroll in play though. Maybe I’ll add ACR or something.
I don’t do a lot of jumping up and down in stakes, though. In my heart I am a nit who hates losing. I’m overrolled for every game I play.
Sept. 25, 2022 | 5:26 p.m.
I put in two more nights of poker. Friday I took my friend Wa who doesn’t drive down to Parx to show him live poker and Saturday I put in my last MTT grind.
Friday went well, I made a set at the end of the night to scrape out a little profit. My brother came out as well. Always good to see him at the tables.
Saturday morning I spent relaxing instead of studying - I am actually pretty tired from the MTT nights and long live nights. And then Saturday I went back into the MTT streets again. 3 decent cashes on PartyPoker, a couple of bounties to soften the blow on PokerStars, and then a 6th place cash in a $250 to end the night, putting me in profit by about $1k.
Work is hellish this month, so if I get any time for poker next week, I’ll probably only use it to study, so that officially brings the heater to a close. Or in the very least, puts it on pause for a week or so.
This has been my most profitable month ever, and aside from the NJCOOP win, it would STILL be my most profitable month ever. I played only 7 nights, but that probably amounted to 60 hours of warmup and play because these large field MTTs are long and the WSOP ones start late.
I just wanted to make a list of what I learned from all of it.
My study time for the WSOP is still paying dividends.
Something changed about my approach to tournaments after studying for and playing the WSOP events. I visualize ranges much better, both preflop and down through the streets. Although I have not studied it as much as cash, I feel like my intuition for ranges on later streets in MTTs is slightly more keen and the betting decisions are way easier because of it. So as I plan to continue to play more MTT (see below), I should continue to study it.
Tournament poker events have very high ROI
Granted I am playing better than 6 months ago and I am on a complete sunrun, but there’s just no way I would’ve found these fields as profitable if there wasn’t an event. There were a lot of $30BI regs and fun players everywhere in these fields. I think being able to play these things - putting time into understanding MTT theory and short stack range decisions (particularly rejams) - and being available to play these events is +EV for any reg in the NJ online pool.
I learn a lot about cash from MTT and vice versa
MTTs teach you about all-or-nothing spots and being prepared for them. As in, “this person is not nearly at the equilibrium frequency for bluffing and my life is on the line here, so I fold”. This is a skill that I have been able to carry over to cash more often, as the “ah hell nobody will bluff me and I can just reload” attitude has cost me STACKS over my life. I recognized that it was happening in late streets, but now I see it’s even happened on the flop and preflop as well. MTTs ALSO teach you how to reg battle, pick up tendencies from skilled opponents and exploit them. You do this because you have to do this. You just cannot avoid reg battling in MTT.
Cash games also have a bunch of stuff to show for MTT play. First is how much leverage you can put on people on early streets when stacks are deep. You can set up hands to run out elegantly for you (or often in my case, screw them up so the turn and river get impossible to play). And when the stakes are high in MTT, you can often just click buttons and get profit,, but if you set the hand up right, win the stack. Cash play also teaches you how to get max advantage by selecting your spots (game selecting) and taking advantage of weak players with too many chips that they can’t control.
Studying is a constant process, but the insights can sometimes cause huge jumps in play
I think everyone knows this, you turn a corner and then suddenly everything is clicking. That’s what happened to me this month. I just understand how to get away from tough spots and how to create tough spots much better than I did. I’m punting less and less. I feel like I generally know what I’m doing most of the time postflop in MTTs now weirdly mostly because I have such a grasp on preflop ranges.
Anyway if any cash players in NJ/NV want to talk about why I think MTT are so profitable, hit me up. It’ll be worth the discussion.
Sept. 25, 2022 | 5:22 p.m.
I played a little lower stakes today and finally, finally my luck has run out. I took a beating around the bubble in several tournaments but managed to somehow squeak into second in a small $50 turbo to make up a little for it and got the coveted min cash in one of the $200 tournaments I played
To commemorate the end of the megaheater, here is the best meme in all of poker
+19k on the month so far. I think I’ll take tomorrow off to study.
Sept. 22, 2022 | 4:27 a.m.
Kelly Criterion could be part of your BRM
Not interested in the swings but I think a lot of the good mtt pros put a lot of faith in putting the bankroll to work in high volume ways to buffer variance
I may actually work on increasing volume in the bandwidth I’m at - more satties, more shots. Could consider adding ACR
RunItTw1ce When you move to LV you can also consider online mtts these WSOP games are very good. There’s a Seth Davies vid where he’s just steam rolling the guys I play and he makes it look easy.
Sept. 21, 2022 | 2:36 p.m.
September 20th update
I think I’m done playing at the very edge of good bankroll management for awhile. I’ve made my way into solidly able to play in the 200s and 300s so we will work on our game there for the rest of the series
Also I need to learn satties.
Sept. 21, 2022 | 7:40 a.m.
More details to follow, but last night I took some shots in some bigger MTTs. I tried to satty into bigger events and if I couldn’t, I just played them.
I posted 3 decent scores.
4th in the Party Poker NJ Sunday Night $215
12th in the $500 WSOP bracelet event (So close…)
1st place in the NJCOOP $250 Sunday Championship. I think I’m supposed to get a trophy too. :D
Net for the day was a little shy of +$14k, which relative to my bankroll is an enormous boost.
Feels good. Need to sleep. 12 hours of poker was too many.
Sept. 12, 2022 | 7:42 a.m.
NJ COOP started tonight and while I did horribly there, I got second in a huge $30 rebuy on WSOP and third in the nightly 100 on Party/MGM/Borgata.
Played a ton of buyins, so on the balance up +2.1k for the night, bringing the monthly total to just shy of 2.4.
Sept. 10, 2022 | 5:35 a.m.
Paused the KRab “What’s my course about” youtube video to say something. He points out in NL cash (particularly HU), there’s many many opportunities to go way in depth with studies. But in live play and MTT, there’s more configurations and stack depths so you have to cover things more broadly, I truthfully don’t go in depth enough. Should be my next thing to approach I guess, drilling the db,
Sept. 9, 2022 | 4:48 p.m.
Last week at work was brutal and I have a lot of deskwork to take care of at my job, so I’ve spent much of this week in recovery mode. I played only once, last night. I found myself in a bunch of spots, made a lot of small ev mistakes, but ran ok.
I’ve been reviewing the hands in solvers and the spots are all close-ish, so it comes down more to how the villains behave than splitting hairs over ev loss.
If I can get all my work-chores done, then I will be ready for the first three days of NJCOOP. Then, back to work for a week, then more NJCOOP. To prepare, I’m drilling plays vs preflop opens with 50 or fewer bbs on GTOW. My %correct rate is in the mid 90s, but I cannot string together a 50 win streak like I can on some of the preflop cash drills.