Dr.Hans
10 points
Idk if there's a 2nd edition by now, so make sure to read the erratum. There are a couple of small mistakes in it.
June 6, 2020 | 6:46 a.m.
Better board for him. He has A8s, ATs, TT, which we never have. I don't like the re-raise. When we get called we're crushed. He will fold the gutshots that he raised you with, but I don't think that happens often enough to justify this line
June 1, 2020 | 4:59 p.m.
Reasonable ranges?
Villains 3-betting range:
TT++
AK,AQ,AJs,A5s,A4s,KQs,KJs,KTs,QJs,QTs,JTs,T9s
Our calling range:
66 to JJ
AQ,AJs,ATs,A9s,A5s,A4s,KQs,KJs,KTs,QJs,QTs,JTs,T9s,87s,76s,65s,54s
May 28, 2020 | 9:03 a.m.
Since there are really not many good turn cards for your range at all, you should fold 9s to even small c-bets. OOP Player is ahead by a good bit! I agree with wwt2104 that calling here depends on villains 3-betting behaviour, but really against most (unknown) players, you should fold the flop (basically always).
May 28, 2020 | 7:13 a.m.
i wonder if shove would have been better
Really depends on what we think villains range is. CO calling preflop against MP-open is rather unusual. His range should normally be almost 100% 3-bets. Could be middle pocket pairs, but also middle suited connectors type hands... I agree that more pocket pairs will call here. Suited aces and some suited connectors would rather 3-bet preflop.
The more we think his range leans towards pocket pairs, overbetting a good amount of the time seems reasonable. Shoving maybe not so much ;)
May 26, 2020 | 10:08 a.m.
Against unknown villain, I think this line deserves some credit. He can have some bluffs though. Calling sometimes is definitely fine. Well played imo, although I would go for a larger sizing OTF.
May 23, 2020 | 1:12 p.m.
Thanks!
May 14, 2020 | 8:23 p.m.
Great video, thanks a lot.
A bit off-topic: What programm is displaying the pot odds and SPR? And which RNG is that?
May 14, 2020 | 7:37 p.m.
I ran the solver again with no raising ranges and now it continues betting the turn 75% of our range while making a 150% overbet with AhTh.
When it goes check check OTF it c-bets the turn 100% of our range while choosing only a 50% bet... On the flop though it still never chooses a large sizing!
The strategies change drastically, depending on whether villain has hands that he will raise to our c-bet. When I think about it, it might have been better not to give villain a raising range...
May 13, 2020 | 7:36 p.m.
I gave it
30, 50, 65% OTF
30, 50, 70, 100, 120, 150% OTT and
30, 50, 80, 100, 120, 150% OTR
for both players
and also 50% raises for each, so they have a raising range as well...
OOP Range:
AA,KK,QQ,JJ,TT,99,88:0.5,77:0.5,AK,AQ,AJs,ATs:0.5,A9s:0.5,A8s:0.5,A5s:0.5,A4s:0.5,A3s:0.5,KQs,KJs,KTs,QJs:0.5,QTs:0.5,JTs:0.5
IP Range:
TT,99,88:0.5,77:0.5,33:0.5,22:0.5,AKs,AQs,AQo:0.5,AJs,AJo:0.5,ATs,A9s,A8s:0.35,A7s:0.35,A6s:0.35,A5s:0.8,A4s:0.8,A3s:0.35,A2s:0.35,KQs,KQo:0.5,KJs,KTs,QJs,QTs,JTs,T9s,98s:0.5,76s,65s,54s
It chose the 30% raise OTF 93% of the time and check OTT almost 100%
Solutions were calculated to very high accuracy.
Maybe I made a mistake.... Would be very interesting to find out why we come up with different strategies in the same scenario!
May 13, 2020 | 6:43 p.m.
I agree... and even a 3bet might be called by loose fish on the button, which will invite the blinds to get involved. KQo is always a fold for me in this spot.
I think my calling range here is ATs :D
May 13, 2020 | 3:05 p.m.
Yeah, the ranges are adapted from a 100BB 6-max monker solution (with slightly differnt sizings and also differnt weighting). Average villain's range will be different! :D
...Yeah 8 is a horrible card for us
IP EV on different turns
OOP EV on different turns
May 13, 2020 | 10:55 a.m.
OOP Strategy OTF. With standard bet sizes PIO chooses to c-bet 30% pot 93% of the time
OOP Strategy OTT when IP called our bet. Strategy here is to CHECK 100%. Bet sizes provided were 30, 50, 70, 100, 120 and 150% pot
This is IP's assumed raise/call range against SB 3bet
I wonder how your solver come up with 2nd barrel OTT here. Were the ranges you used very different from mine? Very interesting deviation.
May 13, 2020 | 10:13 a.m.
Well played imo. I dont think BBs squeezing range is very narrow at all, especially if he's a reg!
May 6, 2020 | 8:13 p.m.
Yeah, can't fold otr ever. Well played imo. Checking the flop would also be fine I guess.
May 4, 2020 | 4:22 p.m.
With more or less standard ranges its at least double EV for IP-player, even if we assume passive villain isn't 3-betting enough from the BB.
After he calls our flop bet we are in bad shape though.
May 4, 2020 | 6:58 a.m.
We have EV and equity advantage and especially against weaker players I think we should bet close to 100 percent of our range. More than 50% of his combos he will just fold, although this player type might continue with any weak Ace as well, so maybe a little less than that.
When the turn comes Ah I would definitley check. When villain checks to us on the river again either a large overbet like 200% pot, or checking is fine imo.
Villains range otr will never be nothing, so sizing should be chosen big to generate enough fold equity, but I would honestly just check it down after he calls the flop bet.
I agree. According to GTO solution, this is what BBs calling range should look like (yellow combos call). This is with slightly different sizings, but you get the point.
10% call VS 3%(!) in your assumption of his range.....
June 18, 2020 | 9:08 a.m.