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23 points

Comment | Rogbey commented on KJ, hate river call

Folding river here is pretty bad considering prie we are getting.

Dec. 15, 2014 | 11:53 p.m.

Interesting poker story. I am also reading Matthew Jandas book and it has opened my eyes to alot really enjoying it. GL sir I will be following.

Oct. 30, 2014 | 10:42 a.m.

Comment | Rogbey commented on Tilting for a living

Yeah I lived in Guatemala for nearly two years and speak fluent Spanish, you should definitely take classes it is well worth it. In fact, when I started learning I got classes of a really nice Colombian girl called Claudia in El Poblado. If you're interested you can find her at the 'Black Sheep' hostal. I would recommend it even as something to do away from poker to be able to switch off. Anyway, Cartagena would be nice but expensive I'd imagine, I wouldn't be so sure about Lima though. I have been there a few times and didn't really like it. Northern Colombia along the coast is beautiful and I would say your best option if you are looking for good weather. GL

Oct. 23, 2014 | 9:39 a.m.

Comment | Rogbey commented on Tilting for a living

Gl man! I love Medellin best city in South America by far. Hope you are enjoying 'Las Paisas' Oh and nice graph!

Oct. 21, 2014 | 1:39 p.m.

Comment | Rogbey commented on close please

GL, I am interested to see how this goes for you. I play 6 max NLHE and would like to one day start playing PLO.

Oct. 15, 2014 | 3:22 p.m.

Gl man! Keep the updates coming :)

Oct. 15, 2014 | 3:08 p.m.

Comment | Rogbey commented on 200 Zoom (and up?)

I just found this thread, nice work Steve I'll be following.

Oct. 14, 2014 | 12:37 p.m.

Hand History | Rogbey posted in NLHE: NL50 AQs in 3b pot facing 2nd barrell.
UTG: 67.54
HJ: 101
CO: 50.20 (Hero)
BN: 15.77
SB: 59.16
BB: 50
Villain is playing 25/19 over 4.9k. He has a 3b squeeze of 9.3%, CB in 3b OOP is 81%, CB turn in 3b OOP 0%(2).
Any other stats I need to be looking at in these spots?
Preflop (0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q A
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to 1.50, BN calls 1.50, SB folds, BB raises to 6.50, Hero calls 5, BN folds
Against this Villain that squeezes quite wide I think this is fairly standard.
Flop (15.25) 3 7 Q (2 Players)
BB bets 7.37, Hero calls 7.37
Turn (29.99) 3 7 Q 4 (2 Players)
BB bets 13, Hero calls 13
I think OTT he is still continuing with a wide range that includes FDs and some GSSDs but also some value like AQ, KQ, 56s( I seen him squeeze this hand previously), some 7x also. Should I just be shoving here or calling and calling most rivers? If I call are there any rivers I should be folding?
River (55.99) 3 7 Q 4 9 (2 Players)
BB bets 23.13, and is all in, Hero calls 23.13
Final Pot
Hero has Q A BB has A 2 BB wins 98.75

Aug. 31, 2014 | 12:41 p.m.

Hand History | Rogbey posted in NLHE: NL50 AA on the river bet for value or not?
CO: 43.80
BN: 58.08 (Hero)
SB: 94.96
BB: 28.30
HJ: 53.55
Villain is playing 25/19 over 4.9k hands. His fold to 3b v Hero is 48%, call 3b in MP is 40% and his RFI is 16%. His fold to CB in 3b pot is 50% but I expect him to call a bit wider versus me as we have quite a bit of history.
Preflop (0.75) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt A A
HJ raises to 1.50, CO folds, Hero raises to 4.50, SB folds, BB folds, HJ calls 3
Flop (9.75) 9 6 9 (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets 5.50, HJ calls 5.50
Flop is standard as we can get value from a lot of his range and I'd expect he to call some of his AQ, AJ type hands here.
Turn (20.75) 9 6 9 7 (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets 12, HJ calls 12
I bet a little over half here setting up a river shove and still trying to get value from TT, JJ and some FDs he has.
River (44.75) 9 6 9 7 Q (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets 36.08, and is all in, HJ calls 31.55, and is all in
This is were I am not sure. Even though we have history and he has seen me bluff him I am not sure if I am betting for value, what sort of hands can he have here? I know TT, JJ are in his range but it is a tough call on this river so AQss, KQss?? But then he also has 99, 9Ts & 89s... so what is the best play?
Final Pot
Hero has A A HJ has 9 9 HJ wins 104.85

Aug. 31, 2014 | 12:24 p.m.

Ok, I only have flopzilla. I'll check out Poker Ranger and EDVis now.

Aug. 18, 2014 | 9:33 p.m.

Well done arizonabay. You're really putting in a lot of work on your game it is great to see the hard work is paying off. I am one of those 'on the fence guys' looking at getting a coach so I might just give Nick a shout. I noticed in one of your previous comments you said you had improved your knowledge of ranges and when you have a range advantage, I would be interested in hearing what you did to improve this..

Aug. 18, 2014 | 9:05 p.m.

Hey Guys,

I am looking for good video series for 6max small stakes or even what coaches normally do videos for these limits. Any help would be greatly appreciated.


Aug. 3, 2014 | 9:33 p.m.

Thanks guys for the input, some good advise there. Is how I under repped my hand which would leave his range much wider with value hands I beat and bluffs. 

I would sometimes 3b this hand but definitely think it is just a call, I would never fold this hand pre as I think this is way too exploitable. 

July 27, 2014 | 9:18 a.m.

I would normally 3b this hand pre but villain 4bs quite wide. You could be right to take a 3b/fold line...

July 24, 2014 | 6:34 p.m.

Hand History | Rogbey posted in NLHE: NL50 Nut straight on wet board.
HJ: $99.50
CO: $50
BN: $89
SB: $53.44
BB: $50.75 (Hero)
UTG: $62.13
Villain is 24/19, WTSD 33, W$SD 50, COuo 26. I have played with villain quite a bit we get into a lot of 3b, 4b battles pre but have never seen him too out of line post flop.
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt J Q
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $1
I don't want 3b this hand as he 4bs quite a bit and not sure if it is a profitable shove.
Flop ($3.25) 9 8 9 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.16, Hero calls $2.16
I call flop hoping to hit a T, J or Q and with the intention of c/r some turns repping the nine.
Turn ($7.57) 9 8 9 T (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $5.04, Hero calls $5.04
I definitely think I should be raising here as there are plenty of draws here. If I did raise here and he shoves do I have to fold?
River ($17.65) 9 8 9 T 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $13, Hero folds
Really wasn't sure when this river hit what to do. I can only really see value hands in his range. I can only see some 7x & Jx that could try bluff here. Anyway what do you guys think? Is it exploitable to fold a hand this good in this spot?
Final Pot
CO wins $16.77

July 23, 2014 | 9:42 p.m.

Yes but you can't just do an equity calculation and give him one hand. You have to give him a range of hands. A standard reg is going to be playing 40+% of hands on the BTN.

July 19, 2014 | 9:29 p.m.

Well it would be a good example to run through Flopzilla but when you think of their range they have a much wider range than we do so they are going to have a lot more air. If villain double barrels a lot it might be a good spot to c/r turn. This looks like a very strong line and you have some outs if called. Also, I think you should try think of their range more and how weak it is than worrying about what we have.

July 19, 2014 | 3:45 p.m.

I wouldn't be 3 betting vs. this villain if he doesn't fold to 3b's and doesn't fold to CB's. You want to 3b with a linear range so that when he calls you have a strong range going to the flop. A5s is fine vs. a villain who is capable of folding and we have some decent equity if called but not vs. a villain who never folds. As played I check back the turn to try hit our straight.

July 19, 2014 | 1:26 p.m.

No, I would play this a bluff catcher especially if villain likes to double barrel. You can't expect to be called by worse so essentially you're turning your hand into a bluff and we don't want that as it has good SD value. Just c/c 2nd pair hands especially BB vs. button.

July 19, 2014 | 1:17 p.m.

Yeah I'd imagine the coaches are playing at a higher level where you wouldn't get away with it but at 50nl when some are opening 50% OTB and CB'ing 60% they are going to have a lot of air in their range and this can be exploited. You could definitely increase that 8% without being too out of line.

July 18, 2014 | 7:11 p.m.

Ok, well if you have a good winrate from the button its not too bad. Judging by your non showdown winnings it seems you are playing a bit passively postflop. Maybe try find more spots where villain is CB'ing a tonne and folding to c/r's a lot when you call from the BB. I think this spots can be quite profitable when you have GSSD's and backdoor FD's. What sort of ranges do you 3b from SB & BB?

July 18, 2014 | 6:41 p.m.

You say you are not too worried about your fold to 3b because you are opening 100%, they fold too much and only 3b 8%. Are you taking these stats from their overall stats? Maybe have a look at their 3b stats vs hero. Opening 100% and folding to 70% of 3b's is extremely exploitable.

July 18, 2014 | 5:43 p.m.

Jaacsin, I bought it directly from, the book is called 'Elements of Poker'. I downloaded it to my ipad and read through the iBooks application.

July 18, 2014 | 5:17 p.m.

Yes maybe it would be best to play some AKs, KK+ this way and 4b AKo for value. Also, is it best to play KQs, QJs, TT-JJ this way also?

July 18, 2014 | 5:12 p.m.

I am not sure if 4bet folding here is going to be the most +EV, surely if we 4b we have to call off against his shove? We are 100bbs deep so if I 4b to 20bb and he shoves we only need 33% equity to call and if he is shoving QQ+, AK I think that is a call. I don't have pokerstove open but I am nearly sure we have the required equity.

July 18, 2014 | 5:09 p.m.

Thanks for input guys. I think checking back is best as I can't see many hands left to get value from. If we check back and villain shoves blank river is that a fold?

July 18, 2014 | 4:47 p.m.

Hand History | Rogbey posted in NLHE: NL50 TPTK facing river shove.
CO: 50.88
BN: 89.25
SB: 60.49
BB: 50.75
UTG: 50.98
HJ: 61.55 (Hero)
Villain is a 24/21 over 850 hands. He is a standard TAG with WTSD 30%, W%SD 47. I think he views me as standard TAG also.
Preflop (0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K A
Hero raises to 1.50, CO raises to 4, BN folds, SB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls 2.50
Villain 3b COvMP 12% and likes to 3b a lot IP but folds a lot to 4bs. My plan is to 4b bluff a lot with A2-A5 type hands. His range is quite wide here and I want to keep all his dominated Kx, Ax hands in.
Flop (8.75) J 4 K (3 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets 4.50, Hero calls 4.50
Turn (17.75) J 4 K 3 (3 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets 9, Hero calls 9
River (35.75) J 4 K 3 9 (3 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets 33.38, and is all in
I pretty much had no idea where I was here. I am not sure if he is capable of running a bluff on this board. What sort of stats should I be looking for to help make this decision in the future?

July 17, 2014 | 9:56 p.m.

It is a tough spot but when we analyse it we can only really beat a pure bluff and what can he call flop and turn with that he can turn into a bluff? I am reading the Tommy Angelo book at the moment and Regularblue hit the nail on the head. This is a perfect example of reciprocality and if we can fold this spot we have a serious edge over other regs at this level.

July 17, 2014 | 9:58 a.m.

Hand History | Rogbey posted in NLHE: NL50 good spot to triple barrell?
BN: $53.95 (Hero)
SB: $51.82
BB: $58.14
UTG: $50
HJ: $57.53
CO: $58.69
Villain is 23/17 over 550 hands. He 3bs 10% vs BTN open.
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt J A
HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $1, SB raises to $3.50, BB folds, Hero calls $2.50
Standard call as villains range here is quite wide.
Flop ($7.75) 5 4 9 (3 Players)
SB bets $3, Hero calls $3
Very dry board and seeing that villain bets 80% in 3b pots this seems standard.
Turn ($13.75) 5 4 9 T (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6.75, SB calls $6.75
A ten turn really doesn't change much, I expect him to keep firing with his SDs here, check call with his mid pairs and Tx and give up on his air. I decide 1/2 pot bet is best to protect my hand vs his air.
River ($27.25) 5 4 9 T K (3 Players)
SB checks

July 16, 2014 | 10:07 p.m.

Hand History | Rogbey posted in NLHE: NL50 180bbs deep with middle set on bad turn.
CO: Santana79: 120.40
BN: lettore: 66.59
SB: joganardolo: 14.32
BB: ys_pex: 89.83
UTG: Rogbey: 93.32
HJ: chief1989: 90.30
Villain is 30/20 over 224 hands. I don't have any real history with him. His WTSD is 20 and W$SD is 67.
Preflop (0.75) (6 Players)
Rogbey was dealt 9 9
Rogbey raises to 1.50, chief1989 folds, Santana79 folds, lettore folds, joganardolo calls 1.25, ys_pex calls 1
Flop (4.50) 4 9 Q (3 Players)
joganardolo checks, ys_pex checks, Rogbey bets 3.50, joganardolo folds, ys_pex raises to 8.50, Rogbey raises to 22, ys_pex calls 13.50
I kind of panicked here as I playing another hand on a different table. I know the sizing is terrible, in retrospect I should be raising to 31ish so I have a near pot size bet OTT.
Turn (52) 4 9 Q 6 (2 Players)
ys_pex checks
Should I be shoving here to get value from 44, AcQx or just checking back and call non club river,8 or K river?
Any other thoughts on the hands like sizing?

July 16, 2014 | 9:18 p.m.

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