joseph ressler

at 11:55 when you 3b KQo if villain jams wide at all its either neutral ev or a very slightly +ev call. Thoughts on passing it up at this stage of tourny?

Stevie great vid, thanks. In situations similar to the one vs Dark C, where you're the opener and facing a rejam for say 75% of your stack or more, how much are you taking into your tourney life into consideration when deciding on some of the closer +ev calls? IE lets say you're in drk C's shoes and you open JTs, and you're facing what is a clear 33% rejam for close to your entire stack. JTs is a +ev call, but feels super icky to call off with most of your stack on the line. Especially earlyish in tournaments are you just taking all of these spots and calling? Sorry i know this is a loaded question.

Loved the video, thanks! CREV is super confusing at first glance, Sauce any chance you could do a more detailed video on how to set up a basic decision tree? Maybe with a simple hand example?

why can't we call?

A lot of super weird comments to this great post. I really don't read any of this as depressing, you seem to be realistic and making life decisions involves being realistic, pragmatic and making compromises. My dad always said to me "find something you love to do, find someone to pay you to do it." Thanks for sharing.

<3

ambitious

I would check raise the turn smaller if you are trying to induce a bluff. Then call the turn 3 bet and check call the tiver. He will probably perceive your range as lower flushes and sets so no reason to think he wont throw it all in on the river if you check. Wtith the way this pot has been built the fold NF frequency is very close to 0 imo especially since money is going in on the turn.

This isn't even a bluff catcher, against most competent opponents your second nut flush beats over half of his value betting range. So, we are often calling this down 100%. Completely different if we have jt with no clubs in our hand.

Also, feel like you shouldn't post results for the future.

I would not bet this river in relation to your opponents range I really don't see the value. Given the action you could easily show up with a number of monsters, so I think I would fold it is tough though. But don't bet.

villain bets [$1675.50 USD]
hero calls [$1675.50 USD]
villain shows [Ks, 5h Th 3s ]
hero shows [8d, Ac As 9s ]
hero wins $5026.50 USD from main pot

"I am not interested in this to make my game better at all" what's the point then?

I'm gonna take a shot at this, but I would encourage you to post more of your own hand histories. I think it can be more helpful in improving to look at your own game.

I'm guessing it probably doesnt matter what ronny has. We don't have the details here but lets say that Ronny has a SPR of .75 whereas Sauce and ZIG are on a SPR of 3.0. Jamming for Ronny with any equity is basically a no brainer because zig has to be worried about sauce or zig can isolate and block out sauce. Eitherway Ronny has increased FE because of the dynamic between two deepstacks, while still actualizing his own equity when called or isolated.

Hey Thanks for the responses. My Thoughts.

Shoving:
I didn't really consider this because lately call/evaluate (when deep) has been sort of hammered into my head. Anyways, I played around with this idea using the assumption villain has three types of hands; Value hands where I have 30% equity, semi bluffs which I have 65%, and Blocker bluffs where I take down the pot 1120 + 200 ( Im going to add a bit more equity here because some of these hands like 7754, qj88, etc could likely spazz call off). Against the Value hands and semi bluffs I will be risking 2440 to win 3560 (i might of rounded these who cares). So as long villain's turn insta donking pot range after calling a 3 bet and ch/calling Q56ss flop isn't for straight up Value 67.8% or more of the time then shoving is profitable! I think it's safe to say that shoving is an easy profitable option in this spot.

Now how profitable exactly is shoving? Well if villains donking range is 50% value hands we will be making 14bbs and villains donking range is 10% value hands we will be making 57bbs. So depending on how we are weighting his value range we rate to make 14 to 57bbs. Not bad.

Evaluating the equity of calling is much more complicated. These are my less precise thoughts. Drastic board texture changes are going to both greatly benefit us (we have nfd, gutty, and overpair) and also encourage villain to continue betting with either his improved hand or bluff. On blanks like the one that came villains optimal bluffing frequency is gonna be 33% but when I call and this specific villain has initiative with uncompleted draws how often will he actually be bluffing?

How does Villain perceive me?
A lot of people asked this question. Im not too sure and don't think it's that important the villain is just playing his game. I think we can assume he thinks im aggresive not for actual reasons just because I am at all his tables and 3 bet him a few times, i doubt he is using a HUD so probably all the info he has. I guess read into that what you will.

When starting the thread I asked what stats people like to use most in finding a solution here and nobody really responded directly to that ARG!? Instead alot of people stated that the villain ch. call flop to donk turn indicates made hands not draws given the information of our nine pairing and him having a propensity to want ch.raise for stacks with combo draws. Those points didn't really hit home with me especially given his high aggression factor so if you could explain why you think that it would be helpful.

Thanks for taking time to answer in the thread!

Can you talk about what you used to arrive at these numbers?

If you look at the bottom of phil's post he states hh's for 1/2+ and videos 2/4+ so midstakes i guess.

cool thanks dudes!

I second

How many months have you been having these results? Also give us some more background such as how you track your results, what you are doing to improve, and your online poker experience? The one thing so far you've said that sticks out is you don't want to make millions just grind out 50-100k a year. I think if that's your aspiration poker is probably better off being a serious hobby. In my opinion making 100k a year at poker is worth the equivalent of a 60k a year salaried job given the tax responsibilities, insurance, lifestyle, retirement, potential upward mobility etc.

lately, i just listen to this song courtesy of the hbo show 'girls' on repeat.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=frDUZGd3vwM

I've never been but have some friends that are regulars and believe in burning man's power. Anyways, this is my favorite burning man video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahv_1IS7SiE

Lets assume the sb always has aaxx or some good kings. I dont think he is necessarily always check folding more likely check deciding. In situations like the one above where you bet and btn jams he will get out of the way but if he sees the pot going heads up he will stick it in. For your hand since the pot overlay is not big enough I think you should be check deciding as well. If the button bets and sb jams you can fold, if btn bets and sb folds you can decide (most likely go with it), and if the button checks thats fine because seeing more cards isnt gonna hurt us.

if he knows your pretty nitty i would expect him not to believe you connect with this flop that often when you are flatting in the small blind. I dont think the 4 bet is necessarily bad although overall i would prefer making this move with like just the Ac kind of annoying to not see your equity play out. Anyways kudos for getting out of your comfort zone.

He just calls bc his opponent can not call with those gut shots/ overpairs so when he ships hes just isolating other sets and the straight. By calling he gets value from his opponents floats which he stated is very likely given the sizing of his flop check raise. Also when his opponent has one of the made hands he doesn't have to worry about not getting value bc his opponent will bet for him on the river. Another thing is that protection is not very important here since you are either way ahead or way behind.

I saw this and wanted to post a response because i really like live plo but phil nailed it. Only thing I was thinking is that you mentioned 3 betting this hand. That does have deception clearly but that is outweighed by the times you get 4 bet by one of the limpers or pfr, which would be super awkward and you could potentially not realize your value. Also, this hand is just such an awesome hand to play multiway. But umm on the bright side you lost the min!

Hey Sam really like the river bet sizing and I think overall you played the hand well. In the beginning of your post you noted you are learning/frequently lost. I'm not sure if you have considered it but I would begin learning by buying in short. You can get more comfortable with equities, ranges, and unexploitable play.