If you beat Stars 100NL then you should have no problem beating the 1-3 games in Vegas.
You can probably beat the 2-5 games as well but you will obviously need a much bigger bankroll and you will need to shop those games a bit more too.
There is a significant difference in the 2-5 level verses the 1-3 level however, the level of play at 2-5 is nowhere near the level of play at Stars 500NL. (Its probably not even on the same level as Stars 100NL tbh.)
Sept. 22, 2015 | 11:12 a.m.
Games should be pretty standard everywhere at that stake. You will find games from amazing to crappy at just about every spot. 1-2 nlhe is the most abundant game in town so just explore a bunch of spots and pick the one you like the best.
Also, install the Bravo Live Poker App. It will tell you what's going on everywhere as well as all the room promotions and rakes.
Sept. 20, 2015 | 4:59 a.m.
Can someone tell me what the best way to get money onto Bovada is? Phil hinted on this at the beginning of the vid and I am seeing some difficulty as well.
I am trying to get around paying Bovada 4.9% and then paying my bank another 4.5% for the currency exchange. Paying close to 10% to get money on the site seems ridiculous.
I live in the States and actually have no problem depositing; I am just trying not to pay 10% to do so.
If someone has any insight please PM me or post it here.
PS Great vid as always Phil, and Congrats on another bracelet!
June 16, 2015 | 8:28 p.m.
Just wanted to say run good fellas.
June 2, 2015 | 12:57 p.m.
If you put the 55 in the middle, you kind of cap yourself at not getting into fantasy. (Or at least you are making the fantasy possibility much, much, more difficult.) Plus, as you mentioned, now when you get an Ace, it just sucks.
I think a better way is to put a 5 in the middle and the J up top. You are not capped and your hand becomes much easier to play.
March 15, 2015 | 8:01 p.m.
"I will 3-bet button and everyone will call."
Kind of why I wouldn't 3 bet this hand. (you should just pot it too)
"I also very rarely lose big pots because I am only getting raised by basically the nuts."
Is this ^^ what is happening here? Or maybe he is a "one and done" type and you can own him on scary turns because:
"he will bet flush or straight cards mostly only if it makes his hand and bet a king or a jack only if he makes full"
As played I would call and evaluate turns. Let's not forget that you have the second nut blocker. (Qh) I would probably bet a non pairing heart as well as the straightening cards if checked to.
I think your 3 bet pre put you in this really awkward spot and I think you really need to know villains strategy as well as factor in all the previous game dynamics to make an accurate decision here.
I think In a vacuum, I would probably just fold because the best case scenario looks like you are getting free rolled by the same hand. However, this is not a vacuum so lets go HAM and see what happens.
Feb. 17, 2015 | 5:20 p.m.
I would suggest that you figure out your standard deviation and win rate and go here:
You will be amazed at the results.
Playing live is very misleading in terms of the timeframe, especially PLO. Let's say that you play 120 hours a month, at "maybe" 25 hands per hour. That's only 3,000 hands; which is nothing when it comes to the EV of playing a high variance game like poker.
That calculator also has a 1 million hand sampler that looks at downswings. My results showed that 70% of my downswings will last 5,000 hands or more!
Poker is a sick game... Welcome to the jungle.
PS My longest downswing lasted 3 months. It was basically breaking even but it still sucked.
Feb. 17, 2015 | 3:48 p.m.
First of all, great video. The 2 table format is much better.
19:00, right table... Im curious as to what range you put Villain on here?
He checked back flop 4 ways when you are the OR and only one behind him to act. This makes sets, top 2, and even 78T or 357 pretty unlikely. He then snap calls your very strong turn bet. You block 35 and 22, and I don't think he snaps with either. He then bets pretty big on a pairing river when you check to him?
This line is very strange to me. It doesn't seem likely that he is betting a bare 6 or an over pair on the river. Bottom 2 with a turned nut flush draw is like the only hand I am coming up with for value. Maybe a very strangely played set or a tricky played 35? This looks like a missed nut flush draw or a 78 with a flush draw type hand to me. (Even though we block diamonds.)
Are you putting Villain on a different range than I? Or maybe this is a case where you know this is a strange line, but because of the lower level, history, player type, etc., you just see Villain having it here?
Dec. 11, 2014 | 12:15 a.m.
"Are you looking at absolute combos or reduced combos given the flop?"
Yes, this was it. Thank you.
As far as the ranges, just follow the link Midori posted above. Click on the download all ranges and follow the instructions. You can then use the Poker Juice syntax in Odds Oracle to get the Poker Juice cleaned up ranges. ($FI40, $3b6i, $4b3, etc.)
Oct. 27, 2014 | 11:48 p.m.
Messaging page is not working for IE, Windows 7. You click on it from the title bar / pop down menu, and a screen with only the title bar and the bottom bar with the about us etc. comes up.
Also, in the forums... on the old site when a new comment was added to a thread, the title of the thread would turn red again and move to the top of the page. This was nice, but is not there anymore.
Oct. 27, 2014 | 3:28 p.m.
I have Odds Oracle with the Poker Juice macros and when I plug in Villain's preflop range, 90%!$4b3, I get a ton more combos than you did. (like 50,000 more)
Any ideas as to why this is?
Also, why do i get a different number of combos if I write 90%!$4b3, as opposed to 90%!($4b3)
Oct. 27, 2014 | 3:19 p.m.
No volume adjustment for either video player. (Chrome and IE, Windows 7.)
I also think that the majority of the videos need to be louder. I know this is probably a recording issue, but if there is something you could implement, it would be very nice. (maybe an eq?)
Oct. 23, 2014 | 10:14 a.m.
Have couple issues using Internet Explorer (Windows 7):
Cant scroll down or see comments in the forum posts. Can only see the original post. If the original post is too large, it is cutoff and you cannot scroll down it.
Cant maximize videos in either player and cant scroll down to see comments. (just like the forum problem.)
Oct. 21, 2014 | 5:34 a.m.
WSOP $1500 PLO
On Bubble... Literally. (Don't 100% know this at start of hand, but know its very close. Board updates during hand)
118 left. 117 paid.
15 Minutes left in the day. (But the floor has told me we will probably play until the bubble breaks.)
Min Cash is $2480
I have 25bb in mid position.
Early open from chip leader (120bb) to 2.2bb.
Shorter stack (18bb) nitty guy flats.
On me (25bb) with AAJ2ss
I 3bet to 10bb. Chip Leader calls. Nit Folds. (Pot is 23.5bb.) Flop KQ4dd. He leads all in. (I have no diamonds)
When I 3bet, Floor announced that we were hand for hand. As I am stalling on his lead shove, some players from my table tell me that someone from another table has gone all in and is out, so we are in the money. I try and get the floor to confirm the bubble break, but they will not answer me. Finally, after about 7 minutes, the floor makes me act, I call and lose. (Obv.)
I have no problem calling here, especially if I am in the money. I only need like 26%, but I am not sure if this is correct in terms of ICM or other MTT considerations.
I also think I can just fold pre.... but ughhh, that's tough.
I end up chopping the min. cash with the other guy who was out before me. ($1240)
So what do you guys think?
June 22, 2014 | 7:31 a.m.
How about some more info?
How deep are both of you?
What is Villains perception of Hero?
If Villain had a combo draw on the turn, is he likely to raise you or flat?
Throwing out big value chips as opposed to small is a classic strength tell. Do you think Villain knows this?
March 6, 2014 | 8:04 p.m.
I hate these strange lines...
Here are some thoughts:
If Villain has AA / KK + hearts, it is likely he would have just bet the flop.
If Villain holds nut hearts, it is more likely that we have a boat, so 2 barrels is strange.
If Villain has air, he would probably chk / raise the turn, or just give up.
If Villain has a boat, it is likely we have hearts, so 2 barrels makes sense.
IF Villain has 2 pair on the flop, I think he plays it this way when we are this deep.
If Villain has a set on the flop, I think he goes for chk / raise when we are this deep.
I would unhappily fold the river. (probably while using expletives)
March 4, 2014 | 9:12 p.m.
"the preflop range of the BB should generally be super thight and a super thight range without AA** includes a lot of double suited combos."
I think this is a great piece of analysis for this spot. Especially since you don't block any clubs.
I also like the idea of betting small. You can make the same small bet when you have the nut flush or hold the nut blocker.
Your never getting jammed on here by anything but the nuts or a spew, so bet / folding is kind of a moot point.
When you do hold the nut blocker or the nut flush, this line is either going to turn into a multi street bluff, or 3 streets of value. By betting bigger, you are either making an expensive bluff, or chasing Villain away.
March 4, 2014 | 8:28 p.m.
Here is a HH for Poker Juice. (not sure if this is correct but I think its close)
Aria Live Hand #1: Omaha Pot Limit ($5/$10) - 2014/03/02 12:15:29 CET [2014/03/02 6:15:29 ET]
Table 'Trondeezika' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: EP ($3000 in chips)
Seat 2: Hero ($3000 in chips)
Seat 3: MP ($3000 in chips)
Seat 4: LJ ($3000 in chips)
Seat 5: HJ ($4500 in chips)
Seat 6: CO ($3000 in chips)
Seat 7: BN ($3000 in chips)
Seat 8: SB ($800 in chips)
Seat 9: BB ($4000 in chips)
SB: posts small blind $5
BB: posts big blind $10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Ah Kd Jh 8c]
EP: bets $10
Hero: raises $30 to $40
HJ: calls $40
SB: calls $35
BB: calls $30
*** FLOP *** [Jc 4c 2s]
*** TURN *** [Jc 4c 2s] [8s]
HJ: bets $100
Hero: Raises $370 to $470
HJ: calls $370
*** RIVER *** [Jc 4c 2s 8s] [6s]
HJ: bets $500
Hero: calls $500
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Hero: shows [Ah Kd Jh 8c] (two pair Jacks and Eights)
HJ: shows [As Kc 9d 5s ] (flush Ace high)
HJ collected $2110 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $2110.00
Board [Jc 4c 2s 8s 6s]
Seat 1: EP folded before Flop
Seat 2: Hero showed [Ah Kd Jh 8c] and lost with two pair, Jacks and Eights
Seat 3: MP folded before Flop
Seat 4: LJ folded before Flop
Seat 5: HJ shows [As Kc 9d 5s] and won ($2110) with flush, Ace high
Seat 6: CO folded before Flop
Seat 7: BN folded before Flop
Seat 8: SB folded on Turn
Seat 9: BB folded on Turn
March 3, 2014 | 12:30 a.m.
This is a hand that a friend of mine recently played that is kind of interesting.
2-5-10 Rock Straddle PLO.
Hero is in early position with: Ah Kd Jh 8c
Hero raises to $40 and get 3 callers from the HJ and 2 of the blinds. HJ is very good reg / pro, and the 2 blinds are tourists. All have Hero covered except for one shorter tourist stack with about $800. (Hero is also a very good reg / pro and the HJ knows this)
Flop ($170) (4 players) Jc 4c 2s
Turn ($170) (4 players) 8s
Blinds check, Hero checks, HJ bets $100. Blinds fold. Hero pots to $470. HJ calls.
River ($1,110) (2 players) 6s
Hero checks, HJ bets $500.
I will start by saying that I don't think the river is the interesting part of this hand. Yes, I am interested in the bluffcatching analysis, but I think the interesting question is: What is the correct play on the turn?
My initial thoughts, (and Heroes) were that we should go for a chk / raise on this turn. However, after thinking about this some more, I like the idea of a lead much better. I think we are just too deep to get in enough money with a chk / raise, and we are also OOP to a really good player who can just own us on every river.
I think if we lead the turn, we are often getting raised by the HJ and maybe the blinds. This makes this option much more attractive as we can 3bet shove and not have to play rivers OOP. If we get flatted, we can give up on rivers much easier as we don't have tons of money invested in the hand.
As played, I like folding the river against this particular villain. Our line has kept his range super wide, but I think he has more value than air.
What do you guys think? (What does the Poker Juice think?)