The absurdity continues. 124 BIs under EV over 85k hands.
This with an EV wr of 15bb/100.
With my strd dev its a probability of 0.06%.
Yup. Ill need to find a real job and quit poker. Because my mind is getting raped from this.
April 3, 2019 | 9:20 p.m.
Dont know if Im going to laugh or cry.
The runbad continious. This month Ive played 16k hands and Im down 15 BIs. According to the EV line I should have been up 20 BIs. So, 35 BI under EV for march so far. Im litterarly going insane. 80 BI under EV over a 56k sample. This is not normal.
March 10, 2019 | 7:25 a.m.
Im in the middle of the worst downswing of my poker career.
Over the past 3 weeks Im down 78BIs over 40k hand sample(45BI below EV). My game is PLO small- mid stakes.
Ive played poker on and of for about 10 years, but went pro for about 8 months ago. Ive had long b/e stretches or small loss stretches before, I think the worst stretch was about 60-70k hands.
But this is a whole other beast for me. It feels like the last 10 years runbad is stackin up at one single period. Every single session I play ends up in loss of 7-12 stacks it seems. No matter what I do, I get stacked in the most gruesome ways.
What I really want from you guys Is some tips how to handle this mentaly.
Ive tryed going down in stakes, play shortstacked to reduce variance(and of cource adjust strategy accordingly), taking several days of, switch sites, play less tables etc etc.
I just feel like Im out of options.
Ive also reviewed my sessions. But it has come to the point that im almost stoped beleiveing Im a winning player anymore.
Im also afraid that this runbad is making me do adjustments to my game that is horrid. Im not there just yet, but im not far from begin to overfold etc because "they always have it" in spots were they should have bluffs etc
What should I do?
Feb. 25, 2019 | 11:59 p.m.
What kind of BRM should you use if you play a short stack strategy?
The levels I have in mind is PLO 200 and PLO 500.
Since the variance should be lower with 50 bb, how does something like 60-75 BI sound? So, like 6 000-7500 dollars for PLO200 and 15 000 -18 750 dollars for PLO500?
Given that you are beating the games by a fair margin.
Is this reasonable or is it playing the games way to thin?
Aug. 26, 2018 | 11:39 p.m.
Another 1 h long session. Felt really, really great. Didn´t peek even once on the graph during the session. Two in a row!
Having a bit of a cold right now, so will not play any more today. But, I´m in no rush too collect my sample of 50k hands for this level. One rule that I will stick too during the challange is only to play when I´m in condition/mood to do so.
Current Bankroll: 59.71 $
Feb. 1, 2018 | 8:41 p.m.
I´ve set myself up for a little challange. I will play NL Zoom at PokerStars, at the bottom level of NL2.
Starting bankroll: 50 dollars.
Starting Level: NL2 Zoom
- At the start, I will try to play 4 tables of Zoom at once. Pure for volume. At the earlier stakes (NL2 & NL5) there shouldnt be that many though spots.
- Will take a 5 BI:s shot for the next level when I have 35 BI:s for that level.
Play 50 000 hands at NL2 Zoom for starters. Depending what the condition om my BR will be at that point, maybe I will start playing NL5 Zoom. Time will tell. Going to transfer too NL5 when my roll is at 175$. Going down when it reaches 150$. As a rule of thumb I will play at least 50k hands for each level before moving up. Regardless if I reach my goal of 35 BI:s for the next level.
Play 500 000 hands of Zoom Poker by the end of 2018. Totally doable.
The update frequency of this journal will be 1 post per session. I will share my session graph. Won´t go into hand analysis until I feel it will be necessary.
Good luck at the tables!
Jan. 30, 2018 | 9:35 p.m.
Have given myself a challange. I will try to beat the Zoom games from scratch. I'll start from the basement floor and try to climb all the way up to high stakes.
Yeah, yeah, I know what you all think. It sounds impossible, right?
Well, It wouldnt be mutch of a challange otherwise, would it?
I´m taking this shot more as a fun project, so we just have to see. :)
Starting Level: NL2 and PLO2 Zoom
Will give NL5/PLO5 a shot when I have 175$ in my roll. Will then set a side 5 BI:s for a shot. If I drop these 5 BI:s, I will drop down.
Gonna have this approach for each level up. But, I´m not taking anything for granted. Might already go busto on the first level, haha.
Have fun at the tables!
Nov. 29, 2017 | 5:28 a.m.
Played 123 hands and lost 5 BI:s. Down at 35 $. Nothing really to do about the hands.
1#: KK vs AA, AI pre.
2#: 55 vs 88 on 528Q AI OTT.
3#: AK vs AQ, AI pre, a Q landed on the flop.
4#: AK vs 22, AI OTF in a 3 bet pot, board AK2.
5#: KK vs QJ AI OTR, 23K10A.
March 30, 2017 | 6:01 p.m.
Had a monster session over the last 2 days, playing over 20 000 hands, PLO2z and NLH2z combined. Dropped 85 $ over these hands. Don´t know what to tell ya....
The level feels almost unbeatable. Is it possible that I´m that bad that I can´t even beat the 2 dollar - limit anymore? Feels unreal since I did beat NL25 a couple of years ago.
Bankroll: 45 $
Grinding it down.....
March 29, 2017 | 11:21 p.m.
Played 1431 hands NL2z yesterday with a profit of 11 $(followed the EV to the dot as well).
Bankroll: 130 $.
Will begin to take some shots at NL5z when the roll reach the 175$ mark. Will then set a side 5 BI:s for the NL5 games.
March 28, 2017 | 1:29 p.m.
I would raise river. On this level the overall player pool is way to call happy when they got any real piece of the board.
We are behind to specifically 33. Would asume JJ/TT would 3 bet pre. And even if we include JJ/TT in his range I think he would take the same line with JT/AJ/KJ. And he would call a raise on a very high frequency with those hands as well.
This is NL2, after all.
March 27, 2017 | 10:32 a.m.
The switch to NL2 Zoom proved to be fruitfull. The bad run from PLO has turned into a great upswing for the No Limit games.
My roll is at 118 $, so am actually thinking on focusing primarily on NL Zoom until i have a hefty roll for the 5 dollar games.
By then I will be able to play NL5 and PLO2Z with an overrolled bankroll. Think that will be very good for my mental game. If the swings just put minor dents on my roll, it will be much easier to handle.
EDIT: For some reason im not able to upload pics. Really weird. Anyways, my NL Zoom run went + 10 BI:s over barely 2 k hands.
March 26, 2017 | 9:52 p.m.
That´s a good point. The problem for me is that I´m still really insecure about the basics of the game. This means that when I get myself in marginal spots and on the wrong side of variance I start to doubt myself. I´m I playing this game totally wrong? etc etc.
I hear what you are saying, to only focus on the EV, but it´s harder for me than most I guess. So I think I will mix in som NLH as well. To boost my ego, hehe.
March 26, 2017 | 6:38 p.m.
I´m going to mix in some NLH Zoom games as well. I think it´s crusial for my mental game to play som more low variance games as well. I really feel that during a PLO session that swings the wrong way I´m more prone to tilt and drop down to my B/C game really fast.
I´m way more confident in my NLH game(played reguarly on NL25 and did beat the level).
Think it will be good for me. It will be my base line, that will help me during the rough streatches.
March 26, 2017 | 6:29 p.m.
Honestly guys....this game is messed up. The swings are BRUTAL!
Played about 3 k hands this morning/afternoon and bombed hard. Was down about 7-8 BI:s below EV. Turned it around now in the evening. But still.
Well, I suppose that it´s all part of the game. I fucking hate it. And love it. At the same time. PLO is like the skanky girlfriend that keeps cheating on ya, but you keep coming back because you know that she loves you.