much more likely that villain has nut flush than nut flush blocker because he check called the flop.
I like a smaller sizing on these boards.
Dec. 12, 2018 | 7:02 p.m.
Dec. 12, 2018 | 1:54 a.m.
Dec. 11, 2018 | 11:25 a.m.
just over limp pre
Dec. 10, 2018 | 10:59 p.m.
Nov. 22, 2018 | 10:26 p.m.
On the turn you have main pot 4.75 * 3 + 4.25 = 18.5 and side pot of $5 each so if your equity is 34% for the main and 40% for the side you would have return $6.29 and $4 so around break even, slight profit
Nov. 22, 2018 | 10:18 p.m.
fold pre. this is a very weak hand. in omaha you want four cards working together.
flop check is good. our draw is strong enough that we don't want to get check raised, but not strong enough where we do want to get check raised. often by checking back villain will end up with a strong hand like straight or flush when we make a flush and we can extract on turn and river. villain might also bluff clubs and we can turn a nice combo hand with ace or king.
turn your sizing is too large. half pot or 40% is better. this is a lock down board, the chance of the river changing the board texture (pairing) is quite small. A set has only around 22% chance of filling up, and two pair is of course much less likely. By betting smaller we make it easier for small flushes to call, and villain could possibly peel with a wrap or two pair.
Nov. 22, 2018 | 10:14 p.m.
don't try to bluff people off over fulls or fulls of any kind. zeebo theorum, nobody ever folds a full house
Oct. 17, 2018 | 6:47 a.m.
river seems like a bad card to bluff. draws missed, the bottom card pairing makes it an appealing hero spot with KK or w/e, and we shouldn't have three of a kind or a boat very often. perhaps this is level 2 (or 20) thinking, it's such a bad spot to bluff villain will never put us on a bluff?
Oct. 7, 2018 | 10:19 a.m.
the best play is to check and fold. villain must have a king to peel the flop, and will not value bet trips on the river.
Oct. 5, 2018 | 11:56 p.m.
fold the flop all you have is a non nut gutshot