Also, on a related note, I am seeing some spots where pio choses a particular action more frequently than the other but its actually not the most optimal option if you compare the EV of the available actions.
For example, in a given spot, its calling 65% of the time but has negative EV compared to folding which obviously have EV of 0.
So I am wondering why its playing a negative EV strategy ? does it have something to do with balance ?
March 2, 2019 | 2:21 p.m.
I have just started to use PIO to improve my understanding of the game and have trouble understanding mixed strategies which is usually the case with PIO outputs.
For example, I am in a 3-bet OOP SBvsBU as PFA with AA and flop is J78dd
It seems PIO bets this hand very frequently on the flop but if we look at the EV of betting and checking
The EV's are super close.
Does this mean
* In a game where there is absolutely no need to balance, It doesn't matter at all whether we bet or check since the EV of both actions is the same and we should look for other exploitability factors when deciding between betting and checking ?
March 1, 2019 | 8:35 p.m.
1k hands is ridiculously small sample, you might as well not play this limit at all.
It will be 30k-50k hands which is when you will start to know whether you are a winning player and some idea of your winrate.
Feb. 22, 2019 | 3:58 p.m.
My feeling is that this varies person to person, I have also found it very useful for me to write the hand down with some title that will leave a very clear image of that hand in my mind. Otherwise its much likely that I will just forget the hand especially when I am playing a lot.
Feb. 22, 2019 | 3:46 p.m.
Hi Peter, great video, I also have an issue with my redline even though my WWSF and WTSD% seem to be in the reasonable ranges.
Any other ideas you can give what else could be the reason for my bad red line or if there is any material on RIO you can refer to which can help me improve in this area.
Feb. 1, 2019 | 12:24 p.m.
OTT, I prefer 1/3rd bet. Since the villan is quite unpredictable, his range includes all the legit hands that are ahead of you, mainly Jx (excluding super strong hands that would x/r), 8x and draws. By doing a 1/3rd bet OTT, its a cheapest way to showdown by charging the hands that are behind and not giving free river to them and also not loosing too much when you are actually behind.
And my take generally on bet/x/bet line is value heavy.
Jan. 17, 2019 | 1:58 p.m.
I am not sure what kind of reads are in play here but in general, this is a thin value raise OTR by hero because of flushes and full houses possible, I would raise to something like $1.0 or $1.25 max but fold to a raise as I do not expect the villan to go crazy with anything less than a full house TT or JJ.
Jan. 14, 2019 | 11:28 a.m.
Since I have started playing online and studying, obviously I am spending a lot more time sitting than usual, I feel sluggish after some time. Are there any particular exercises you guys find useful while playing to keep active ? For example, some kind of a 2-3 mins workout after every 45 mins or something ?
Dec. 1, 2018 | 5:14 p.m.
I have a few thousand hours live NLH cash experience and recently switched online 6max cash with live MTT (& cash) high stakes long term end goal in mind. More on my goals here:
But thats long term, In the short/medium term,I am focusing on building a strong base with 100bb cash game and started at NL2/NL5.
I am looking to work regularly with a coach who can help me move up the stakes(for 6max Zoom).
I have pokertracker/H2N/PIO edge and have played about 67k hands so far.
Please PM if interested.
Nov. 22, 2018 | 2:26 p.m.
When I got introduced to poker in 2012, I was told I have missed the train, online poker is completely dead and live poker is slowly dying as well, people are going to do something else etc. If all of that was true at that time, 6 years would have been enough for the game to completely die
Well, guess what 6 years later
* there has been no change in the negativity surrounding the future of poker
* there are games where ever you go, online/live/MTT/NLH/PLO and people who are out-working their competition are still making money
OK, some of the games are not as big as they used to be and now you have to work harder to be ahead of competition but thats the thing with everything in life in general, you got to put in the work.
People who will put in the work and have all the ingredients for success in poker, WILL always make money
My 2c :)
Oct. 31, 2018 | 12:15 a.m.
I have now made the switch, quit live poker and started studying (started with sorting out my preflop ranges and being a proficient PIO user)
So any advice with my end goal as described in orignal post will be greatly appreciated ! :)
Oct. 28, 2018 | 10:22 p.m.
I am new to PIO and ran this sim at 34:11
Basically, we 3bet 7d7s vs BU open, BU call and we face a flop Qs2d6s
I tried to simulate the instructor's simulation on my machine (using a rough estimate of the PF ranges by looking at the yellow area in the range section in the video). Initially I was getting results that were way off for example, in the instructor's sim, solver suggests OOP betting 87.24% OTF but in my sim, its suggesting less than 50%, I made a few changes in the preflop range (which I think are minor) and I manage to bring the betting range for OOP on the flop to 78%
What I have also seen in this case is by only removing the 6 combos of QQ from IP player's range, it makes a huge difference and that makes me wonder how only 6 combos out of 255 total combos makes a huge different to the strategy advised by the solver.
I do appreciate, with these solvers the solutions are only as good as the assumptions you input and in the above case, QQ is an important combo on Q22 flop but it makes things very hard when you are trying to analyse a hand and assuming ranges.
For example, if I had this spot in real life vs an opponent that I either know or a complete stranger, a lot of the times it very hard to say whether he has QQ in his 3bet calling range or not, and if that is going to make such a huge difference to the output solution, how am I ever able to trust the solution.
Either I am missing something in running the sim or I need some advice on practical aspect of the assuming preflop ranges of opponents we don't know, do we just assume they are playing GTO ranges pf (when they are clearly not especially incase of microstakes where people are making random plays everywhere) ?
Oct. 19, 2018 | 7:01 p.m.
Very good video ! A couple of questions though
In the table at 21:30, you do not have anything for SB vs IP ?
Secondly, can these stats help us finding the leaks in our game, the sample size for each category would be too small to determine whether its a leak or not.
Oct. 17, 2018 | 12:49 a.m.
Completely agree with above two comments. Trying to copy certain players is not going to do much for you in the long run. Yes you can get hand histories, but there is no way to find out why certain player made a certain play vs someone, the conclusion will be very subjective and will not help you build a proper foundation of the game. The best way to learn any format of poker is
Work out the basic strategy in any spot > Solvers
Learn how to deviate from that basic strategy using exploits > Studying your day to day opponents
Oct. 13, 2018 | 10:51 p.m.
I play live 2/5 PLO have a winrate of 11bb/hour over 700 hours.
I always start with 500 and What I have experienced in all these hours is that
its way more easier to spin up the stack from 500 to 1500-2000 but winning anything beyond
that is very extremely difficult. I cannot remember many sessions when I won 1500 in the first
1-3 hours, continued playing since I have an edge in the game and ended up winning even more
but it routinely happens that I have won 1500, continued playing and ended the session either breaking even
or even negative few hours later.
So I have come to conclusion my winrate at a certain point in the game depends on my stack size.
i.e. with a stack size of 500 its best and it gets worse as my stack size increases eventually
reaching a point where I have very minimal edge in the game.
Either above is true or this is my fallacy. If its true, the following could be happening
With deeper effective stacks, its becomes harder to realize equity in some situations
An average player makes much bigger mistakes in 100bb effective stack situation than the one in 400bb effective stack
When I sit down with 100bb, most players at the table are covering me and its much easier to find a plus EV
spot to get the whole stack in, such as with AAxx
So I just wanted to get opinions if there is any truth to above or I am just fantasizing :) I aware it could be possible that I biased because of my recent results but I routinely experience this and thats why deciding to post it here.
Oct. 13, 2018 | 10:44 p.m.
Looking into adverts from some good players, I am seeing insane markups for example on pokershares website, I see some top players charging a MU of 3 ? I wonder how is this justified and who even buys this kind of action ?
Generally, I am seeing from top players like Adrian Mateos/Fedor Holz etc,
main events (5k-10k) MU of ~ 1.5
High Rollers (25k) MU of ~ 1.1 to 1.2
SHR - MU of @ 1.02 to 1.05 (1.1 in some cases i.e. SHRB ?)
How valid are these numbers for top players ?
Secondly, lets say someone sells 67% for an event on 1.5 MU, they are essentially free rolling for 33 % for the winnings ?
Aug. 27, 2018 | 12:29 p.m.
Why would an MTT player get staked to play a bigger buy in event when he is going to be in for the same dollar amount as the smaller events ?
For example, if I have a rule of 200 BI's and I am playing 1k event with 200k BR, why not just keep playing with my own money rather than getting staked to play a 2k event and only be in for 50% ?
The reason why I ask is we see now a days SHR pros who will play as big as possible when in theory they should personally be invested in for the same dollar amount regardless of the size of the event (which obviously depends on their BR).
Aug. 5, 2018 | 6:28 p.m.
Still up to date? has anyone read it recently ?
I am looking to read it but I am a little concerned the stuff might be outdated.
June 8, 2018 | 1:55 p.m.
I am looking for advice from experienced online players and high stakes live MTT players please.
Over the last few years I have been playing a mix of live NLH cash with some MTT and some PLO.
I have come to point in my career where I am looking to decide on one format which is live MTTs as my long term goal
and commit myself to study the game really hard as I have been guilty of not working on the game enough
while playing live poker.
I am looking to basically quit live poker and start to really work on my NLH game over the next 1-2 years
and get a lot of experience which is obviously only possible by playing online.
So my question here is for a someone in the future who is himself a high stakes MTT crusher and who is potentially
going to provide backing for live MTTs (5k+ events) and providing mentoring/coaching
What would you want to see in my poker CV 1-2 years (or however long it takes) from now, very good online CG experience
or MTTs or both ?
I am thinking with cash games, not only the results are more tangible but also provides a better way to learn the fundamentals, is that right ?
Should I start with 6max NL CG on stars and really learn the fundamentals for few months before even touching MTTs ?
I am planning for a very much focused effort with the long term goal in mind which is live MTTs but I want to put in all the work and prove myself capable before jumping back into the live scene so I need to know what it takes to make my CV impressive enough to be considered competitive in live high stakes MTT scene, for example being competitive in NL500 on stars ?
May 29, 2018 | 12:09 a.m.
I have recently transitioned to PLO after playing live holdem for about 3 years. I have started by playing about 50k hands at PLO2/PLO5
and now testing the waters on a live game(1/2) but I need someone to help me out with making proper adjustments to live games as I find the dynamics between live and online massively different.
So I am looking for a coach who primarily plays live PLO. Please PM if interested.
Jan. 19, 2018 | 4:07 p.m.
I have recently transitioned to PLO and basically started from scratch, playing .1c/.2c on starts. Currently I have played around 4k hands and loosing about 7 buyins but I don't know how meaningful that sample is as I am new to online play.
I think I will greatly benefit by talking to someone about my game and going through some of my hand replays with a coach.
So if someone can point me to a decent coach, I will appreciate.
Dec. 11, 2017 | 1:54 p.m.
I have a question regarding a player development process when they successfully reach high stakes.
I know we are all told they 'work on their games' really hard but I am curious to know exactly what forms of study
Let me expand this a little bit, when we are improving as a small/medium stakes player, there are plenty of methods
such as RIO videos,forums etc/books/talking to players etc and these methods are good enough to beat these stakes
but when you reach high stakes, everyone already has a good grasp on publicly available materials and from there
on, my understanding is you are on your own to further improve your game to gain an edge on the high stakes population.
So what is exactly these high stakes players are doing when they study ? For example, I heard Ben Sulky in a podcast something
along the lines of working on our range in every spot that beats our opponent range and putting ourselves in opponents shoes
and try to beat that range again and so on. So this kind of of thought process in less commonly found at small/medium stakes
(or at least my experience with poker learning materials).
So I am interested in what other things are high stakes players doing 'on their own' that gives them an edge on these
games and differentiates them from small/medium stakes players when it comes to study habits.
Nov. 11, 2017 | 7 a.m.
What is a typical staking deal for most of the high stakes live MTT regs ?
I believe a deal with 100 % backing with split of profits (50/50 ?) is quite common in low and midstakes. Is that also true for high stakes ?