SB: 205,600 (Hero)
Jan. 11, 2019 | 11:15 p.m.
BB: 21,361 (Hero)
Jan. 11, 2019 | 11:10 p.m.
I think it all depends on what you perceive villain to be doing. If he is limping 95+% of hands and he is folding to your raises more than he should, I think raising absolute garbage is fine as an exploit.
However, I agree with you that in a more balanced strategy it would stop making sense, and rather on should start raise bluffing more playable hands postflop.
Jan. 11, 2019 | 11:02 p.m.
Jan. 11, 2019 | 10:51 p.m.
Great video. Two questions:
In practice, how often are you really 4bet shoving 60bb? Is this a strategy you only tailor to specific opponents who might be playing a similar strategy or should this be taken as merely an illustrative example?
I would think that the main argument to not 3bet as many broadways/suited Ax/low suited connectors as suggested in this sim, is that you want to play more postflop vs weak regs/recreationals and exploit them in a lower variance way. At which MTT stakes or against how good an opponent do you consider the strategy presented here to be the superior option?
Jan. 3, 2019 | 3:47 p.m.
10/10 video series. Top notch content and really well articulated.
In the QQ hand at 10.00, you use the PIO solution as a reference, which I think is a decent option in a chip EV environment vs a reg. However, do you really think an unknown reg is bluffing in this spot enough to justify the flop call? You even have him covered, so my impression would be that he is not even bluffing his stronger draws (flushes), and you are blocking his most likely weak broadway bluffs.
Dec. 3, 2018 | 7:52 p.m.
BB: 21,116 (Hero)
Nov. 26, 2018 | 9:05 p.m.
They should at least compensate you with whatever value the number of chips you had when you were in 14th position was worth, since they froze your account for no reason apparently.
The Old Pokerstars would probably have been more reasonable, but in this era there is nothing else you can do to get your money back. The only thing you can do is stop playing on that dumpster site, but since you live in Spain you probably don't have many options.
April 23, 2018 | 5:30 p.m.
Can you guys recommend any good MTT coaches for people who are already professional MTT players? Do any of the RIO guys also do private coaching?
I even considered getting a staking/coaching deal, but I have zero references in the poker world, so I guess I need to start
with some private coaching.
April 23, 2018 | 1:03 a.m.
Last week I was playing a final table on iPoker. I was the massive chip leader with 77BB and many short stacks were left. After a few hands, I got disconnected from the software, and could never reconnect for the whole duration of the tournament. I tried to reinstall the latest version of the software, I tried to log in from a different computer and to restart everything to no avail.
Then I called support. After 2 hours of them trying to help me, I could still not log in. They would send me a new password to my email, but the software would not allow a password change, preventing me from going back to my tournament. They told me that there was nothing else they could do by now, and that they would contact me later to talk about compensation.
A few days later I got an email, saying that since I won more money than the buy in of the tournament, so I was not going to get a refund.
I was unable to play out a final table because of a technical problem on their part, which costed me about 1000$ in EV. I can't find any specifics on this subject on their T&Cs.
What do you guys think the poker room should be obliged to compensate me with? Is this entirely dependent on their T&Cs? I pay money for them to offer a service, which they obviously didn't.
Dec. 7, 2016 | 3:07 a.m.
With a high frequency probably, but def not near 100% of the time.
Sept. 26, 2016 | 4:19 p.m.
Given the positions, the only hands that you could raise that river for value are JJ and 99, and since he has JJ is only 99. Unless you decide to turn Jx and missed FD into a raise bluff on t he river, you will never have a bluff in this spot, and I think most people won't either.
Now, from what I've seen from DP he does not approach things from the more exploitative side of things, so I am not sure what he would call to a raise on that river. If for example, he thinks calling river with AA and KK with no clubs is the correct play, then there are indeed hands that he calls that we beat, and if we can find enough combos to get value from, then 99 becomes a raise.
Sept. 26, 2016 | 2:49 p.m.
BB: 22.02 BB (VPIP: 16.20, PFR: 11.51, 3Bet Preflop: 5.74, Hands: 288)
Hero (UTG): 31.8 BB
UTG+1: 38.35 BB (VPIP: 31.43, PFR: 20.95, 3Bet Preflop: 2.27, Hands: 106)
MP: 18.48 BB (VPIP: 26.11, PFR: 14.03, 3Bet Preflop: 4.60, Hands: 228)
CO: 15.56 BB (VPIP: 21.67, PFR: 14.23, 3Bet Preflop: 6.96, Hands: 265)
BTN: 41.53 BB (VPIP: 25.96, PFR: 18.27, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 211)
SB: 43.74 BB (VPIP: 21.35, PFR: 19.54, 3Bet Preflop: 7.34, Hands: 271)
7 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.2 BB) Hero has 9s Ts
Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 6 BB, fold, Hero calls 4 BB
Flop : (13.7 BB, 2 players) 3c 5c 9d
SB bets 7 BB, Hero ?
Villain is a reg, no reads.
I assume he is cbetting his whole 3betting range on such a board.
If we give him a strong, worst case 3bet range vs utg, TT+, AK, can we ever call flop, fold turn unimproved?
Or is it better to deny the equity of his overcards by shoving the flop?
With such a range, we have 37.7% equity on the flop, and we only need 25% to call. Of course, a more realistic 3bet range would include some bluffs, which would make our call even better.
He could also think we are trapping, and slow down OTT, which makes me think that call flop is a bit better than shoving.
Sept. 23, 2016 | 10:05 p.m.
If he is a good reg, then he probably realizes how good in a spot he is in and is opening close to any 2. In any case, with the info provided, you should 3bet shove, never 3bet to induce with such a mediocre hand.
Sept. 23, 2016 | 2:17 a.m.
What do you expect to get called by? KK,QQ? In the best case you can find a fish too in love with those hands to fold them, but you will run into an ace way more often.
Sept. 16, 2016 | 2:18 a.m.
You missed the positions you are in, so it's harder to know what your range for value on the river would be. I am not sure if AJo would be a value bet OTR. Since like you said it's a spot were the value-to-bluff ratio is very high, you should not be betting an enormous amount. The way the hand play, I think his most likely holdings that value bet 2 streets are AJ and AQ. I would bet a bit under half pot.
From villain's perspective is quite a shitty spot. Would you call any other Ace other than AK and AQ, to a half pot bet?
Sept. 16, 2016 | 2 a.m.
1500 is not enough, unless u are playing small field MTTs. There is nothing wrong with trying to cash, you should just make sure you are not overdoing it. You could post some hands you are not sure about when the bubble comes so people can give you advice.
Sept. 13, 2016 | 3:39 p.m.
Member's HH review? I could send you one if you need it, unless that's what you meant by leakfinding.
Sept. 12, 2016 | 9:04 p.m.
You need to input the hand into an ICM calculator like HRC or ICMizer. Then like you suggest, I would tighten up my calling range vs a table full of fishes, but you need to know the starting point, which is dictated by the math.
Sept. 12, 2016 | 8:17 p.m.
It makes sense chip EV wise if your math is correct. However, you should take into account how far are you to the money, and if you are ITM already, compare the bounty to the current pay jumps to make better assessments. It's true that in PSKO half the money goes into KOs, but I think a lot of people forget about the other half, which is winning the tournament, and you do that by accumulating chips, not spewing them to get every bounty.
Sept. 12, 2016 | 7:32 p.m.
I am also unsure of the best way to approach this spot. I really don't see any hand doing this for value. Maybe he perceived your check back as good showdown value, so he is trying to level you with a monster, but that seems extremely unlikely. In theory he should have some value combos if he is balanced, but with no specific reads on him it's really hard to weight.
I think I would call turn and then see what he does on the river. If a brick comes and he shoves, I just turn off the computer.
This would be a very good topic for a elite video.
Sept. 12, 2016 | 5:03 p.m.
About the FGS, you also need to consider how many hands into the future the simulation is taking into account, since your range will change accordingly. In 1 hand, you will be in the BU, which will only cost you 1 ante. In 2 hands you will be in the BB, which is of course more expensive.
I agree with yCavia's point in putting more weight in other factors, like the button not shoving correctly, and adjust to the dynamic of the table, rather than to a specific hand. Also the time the next level is coming up should be taking into consideration.
There is a video series from Sam Greenwood about the Bayes theorem and its applications to poker.
Sept. 8, 2016 | 10:10 p.m.
I agree with your reasoning to shove Nash or a bit wider. You are the shorter stack, and considering how many blinds you have and that you are 3 handed, Future Game starts playing a big role, since you lose a big chuck of your stack every 3 hands. I would shove a bit wider than nash by default, and then increasingly to any2 depending on how tight I perceive BB to be.
Sept. 6, 2016 | 4:37 p.m.
My standard is to call 40bb deep with TT in that spot. If villain has been 3betting a lot, 4bet gii is another option. Imo this hand is right in border between call and 4bet, so it's hard to say which one has more EV.
Sept. 6, 2016 | 4:23 p.m.
More than paying attention to the stakes, I would pay attention to the number of hands I have on that specific player. If he is a random, I still stack off happily. If he is a regular, it is just a bit of an infrequent spot to bluff with the big blind still to act and your strong cbetting range on that board. Most of his bluffs will be really strong draws which still have a lot of equity, except maybe some KhJh or similar, but that is a small part of his range.
In villain's shoes, does any of you ever have any bluffs in this spot?