rosaaa's avatar


4 points

Yeah. That's what I meant. I'm asking because a lot of times villains bet with hands they shouldn't even bet

April 11, 2022 | 6:27 p.m.

but I didn't say anything about overfolding vs an opponent who overbluffs.

April 3, 2022 | 11:21 p.m.

So let's say there is a villain and he's overbluffing. Let's say I'm in a 3 bet pot with him and villain x raises with with a hand he shouldn't even have, he's overbluffing in a lot of spots. Let's say I have a hand that in theory folds to a x raise. Does it mean that I print money long term by folding in spots like these? Logic tells me yes but I want to hear more from more experienced players.

Now let's talk about overfolding. Let's say there's a hero who plays good theoritical poker and doesn't adjust in a pool that players slightly under bluff. Then, there's a hero who overfolds in this pool. Like I said, they SLIGHTLY UNDERBLUFF. So who prints more money here? A hero who overfolds or hero who doesn't adjust at all?

March 28, 2022 | 8:45 p.m.

Hand History | rosaaa posted in NLHE: 4b bet pot nl25
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $40.85
SB: $25.41
BB: $7.79
UTG: $35.18 (Hero)
MP: $25.68
CO: $60.79
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG with A K
Hero raises to $0.62, 2 folds, BN raises to $2.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $6.25, BN calls $4.00
Flop ($12.85) K 4 9
Hero bets $4.05, BN calls $4.05
Turn ($20.95) K 4 9 Q
Hero checks, BN bets $10.21, Hero calls $10.21
River ($41.37) K 4 9 Q 8
Hero checks, BN bets $20.34 and is all in, Hero calls $14.67 and is all in

March 13, 2022 | 6:38 p.m.

but i can't be exploited because I just started playing on pokerstars, like 2 days ago and it's zoom.

March 4, 2022 | 10:42 p.m.

It's not about the pool being clairvoyant. The worst thing about this is when I go into poker streams on twitch and I've seen a few challenges by the high stakes people on micros. They always get paid when they have value and they hit hands like a lot. They have a set? Villain is x raising. Calling 4 bets with 65s and flopping the nuts against AA etc.
It seems like I can't get paid when I have it. The only pro I've seen with downswings on micros is weazel.

March 4, 2022 | 8:40 p.m.

I don't x raise much. If we're talking about exploiting me, its impossible. I just switched sites to pokerstars 2 days ago and I'm playing zoom. They play exactly the same way on ggpoker. I open 44 and up, 56s and up, all suited Ax, K7s and up, J9s, standard opening range from HJ. How do they react when I c-bet? When I have air, they call and when I have a made hand, they fold. lmaaao

March 4, 2022 | 6:05 p.m.

The thing is that I actually check made hands, that's the thing. I check most of the time OOP with almost all my hands. The same with sb vs bb spots, I check a lot with made hands and with air and they almost always bet.

It generally looks like that:

When I have a made hand(a top pair or better): hero x, villain bets, hero x, villain x and I usually try to bet small or big on the river, depends on the board. I sometimes x but they are always gonna check behind with that line.

When I have a 2nd pair: hero x, villain bets, hero x and villains bets big and now I have to fold. It's like they always know what hand I have.

When I have air: hero checks, villain bets and I have to fold or hero x, villain x and hero bets 1/2 on a good card for his range, villain calls and villain happens to have broadways of some sort.q

One more when I have for example an Ad8d and flop comes AhQc3h: hero x, villain bets, hero calls and checks. Turn comes 2s and villain bets big, hero calls and river comes 2c, I check and villain of course big and there's no way in hell I'm calling.

It's honestly isn't about folding AK, AQ etc. It's just annoying when board comes good af for me range and they still bet, no matter what. They bet because checking is only weakness to them, they don't care about 'protecting checking range'.

It annoys because I can't get any value when I actually have a hand. BUT WHEN I BLUFF, they wake up and they call out of nowhere. I can compare it to having AA pre flop. You have them but everyone snap folds when you open.

March 4, 2022 | 5:05 p.m.

So there's a lot of flat calling the button against any position with pocket pairs, off suit broadways and some suited and non-suited connectors, basically a lot of hands. A lot of times I face a bet and it's a 1/2 or 3/4 bet when I check, no matter the board.
Few examples:
A72 rainbow and I have KQo - I check, villain bets and I have to fold.
672 and I have AKo - I check and villain bets and I have to fold

It's really annoying to me because I see a lot of hands like this and I have to fold. The worst thing is that they bet with everything. Now my question is: Aren't they losing money by doing this if they bet with anything on any board? To sum it up, I know I have to fold in theory but it pisses me off to fold good hands. lol

March 4, 2022 | 2:09 p.m.

Comment | rosaaa commented on sample size and winrate

I know but I see people saying something like 'I played 50k hands and I beat stake xyz' which is bullshit. You can't be certain of your winrate after that amount of hands.

Feb. 6, 2022 | 11:41 a.m.

Post | rosaaa posted in NLHE: sample size and winrate

How can we know our true winrate if we have sessions 5 buy in down, long break even stretches etc. I just don't see how it's possible unless we play something like 500k hands lol. Let's take 50k hands for example, we can run like shit or hot for 20k hands and lets' throw break even stretches in there. How is it possible to even assume what the winrate could be?

Feb. 6, 2022 | 1:15 a.m.

As the title says. It seems like you need to win big pots without showdown to have a good redline. Thin value betting is not gonna skyrocket your redline,, you need to win big pots. Am I thinking right? When I looked at my last session, my redline was quite goodl, then I won a big pot with a shodown and my redline started going downhill. How in the hell some people have a positive redline? Overbluffing?

Jan. 2, 2022 | 7:15 p.m.

Post | rosaaa posted in Chatter: love it when every session goes bad

it's always like this. I'm up 3 buy ins and out of nowhere I can't hit anything in 3 bet pots, runouts are terrible and literally can't do anything. It's like that everytime and everytime my session ends breakeven or slightly losing and it seems like it's never gonna end. I simply can't catch a sunrun which is sad. Just a little rant. :D

Nov. 29, 2021 | 12:08 a.m.

I checked redline based only on 3bet and it's skyrocketing, the same when I RFI. When I filter out by the blinds, it's going down.

Nov. 15, 2021 | 9:11 a.m.

Today I played 2k hands and I won a lot without showdown in 3b pots, some double barrels but still my redline was going down. It seems like you need to bluff every hand to have a good redline. Or is it because of blinds?

Nov. 14, 2021 | 11:40 p.m.

So I play nl10 and I don't know how to react against a small 3b sizing OOP and me holding a hand not good enough to call.
Hand 1:
Hero opens 2.5bb A5o on button,
BB 3 bets 7bb

Hand 2:
Hero opens 2.5bb KQo on CO
SB 3 bets to 8bb

I just have no idea how to play this. If ggpoker would allow custom huds, I could see their fold to 4bet and then it would be quite easy to play against. I imagine that in a second hand, I should call against that sizing but what about first hand?

On the other side, their 3bet sizing IP is big, something like 8bb, 9bb against 2.5bb open sizing. Is it even profitable to call against 9bb when you're OOP? Let's talk about BTN vs CO. AKs, AKo, KK, AA, AQo, QQ, JJ, TT - 4 bets. What about hands that are good to call with? Like KQs, AJs, 99 etc?

Nov. 11, 2021 | 8:10 p.m.

confident where? 50k hands is literally nothing and he could be sunrunning and he probably does.

Oct. 28, 2021 | 2:42 p.m.

I would post stats but I don't know how to make custom ones in trial version of pokertracker.

Oct. 27, 2021 | 5:35 p.m.

If I only knew how to make this stat in pokertracker trial version.

Oct. 27, 2021 | 5:35 p.m.

I study theory in poker everyday because I want to know what I deviate from when I try to exploit. I'm not a master at it, of course but I know how gto would play when it comes to stacking off because I studied these spots and that's why I created this thread. I just have a dilemma if stacking off like that in micros is profitable if their 4 bet range is tight. It seems like it's lighting money on fire.

Oct. 27, 2021 | 5:26 p.m.

But how do you want to win if their 4 bet range is so tight? You barely get any folds because their range is so strong.

Oct. 26, 2021 | 6:05 p.m.

Yeah, it sounds all nice when you're talking theory. Today I was up around 4 buy ins and guess what. Stack off AKs bb vs btn, the villain 4 bet with AA, stack off with QQ on sb vs btn and guess what he had after he 4 bet, of course aces and running KK into AA like always + a lot of small pots lost because of runouts etc. and I'm down again and it's like over and over and over, it never ends. It's never ending cycle, up 5 buy ins and next day I'm running into aces when I'm stacking off and buy ins are flying away. I had 150k hands at nl10 in 2 months and I'm under 15 buy-ins in ev + annoying KK vs AA pre flop and stacking off with AK against AA and KK. You will sometimes run into QQ, JJ maybe TT but is it really worth it? I'm basically playing theory correct poker just to play theory correct lmao. It just seems that it doesn't make sense to stack off. There's not a hud stat on ggpoker which shows 4 bet % which honestly sucks because a lot of times I see reg villains with high 3bet % and it seems like they only stack off with KK and AA.

Oct. 24, 2021 | 8:56 p.m.

Like the title says, it just isn't worth it to be theory correct at those stakes. Stacking off with AK, JJ, QQ btn vs sb? I'm done with that. It's just -ev to stack of with those hands in the long run. You're gonna face AA, KK, sometimes AK and very rare QQ. So when you stack off with AK, you're lighting money on fire. Theory poker says to stack off but theory poker doesn't know that people 4 bet ranges are so tight at micros that it's -ev. If you want to stay forever at micros, enjoy playing gto. The best way to play is to exploit by deviating from theory poker. Then you can start playing theory correct at higher stakes.

Oct. 23, 2021 | 4:12 p.m.

he literally called a squeeze with 97ss OOP. No matter how much I bet here, he's gonna call with a FD and why would I use a bigger size in spots like these? Don't I wanna get a call from 66, 77, 88, 99, TT, JJ, QQ? Yes, sometimes they can show up with QQ as well. If I bet big, there's a high chance that hands like 77, 88, 99 etc. fold. If we bet big, we only get called by an Ax and FD.

Aug. 18, 2021 | 4:28 p.m.

I put this hand into gtowizard and it doesn't check the turn like ever in this spot.
I will see the mental game videos for sure.

Aug. 18, 2021 | 1:35 p.m.

GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players

UTG: $8.04 (161 bb)
MP: $18.46 (369 bb)
CO: $6.97 (139 bb)
BU: $5.12 (102 bb)
SB: $5.12 (102 bb)
BB (Hero): $7.68 (154 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with K♣ A♥
3 players fold, BTN raises to $0.13, SB calls $0.11, Hero 3-bets to $0.71, 1 fold, SB calls $0.58

Flop: ($1.55) 5♠ A♠ 2♥ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.61, SB calls $0.61

Turn: ($2.77) 2♠ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB raises to $3.80 (all-in), Hero calls $2.30

River: ($10.37) 3♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $10.37 (Rake: $0.20)

SB shows 7♠ 9♠ (a flush, Ace high)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 41%, Flop: 38%, Turn: 91%, River: 100%)

BB (Hero) shows K♣ A♥ (two pair, Aces and Twos)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 59%, Flop: 62%, Turn: 9%, River: 0%)

SB wins $10.17

And no, I'm not result oriented. I squeeze with AKhh for example and board comes 678 rainbow and I can't literally do anything on this board other than check and fold because I'm gonna face a big bet. I have a lot of situations like this, let's say I squeeze with KK and a fish calls with an offsuit ace and ace comes on the flop. People calling 4 bets with offsuit aces, people play terrible and they get rewarded for this. I see fish sitting with big stacks all the time and the worst thing is that when they call me, they always hit hands, no matter what I do against them. Let me not get started with people who flat calls with pocket pairs and show up with sets. The amount of sets I see in a session is ridiculous. Population calls almost every c-bet with literally nothing, with complete air. It's nice to play against fish when you RUN GOOD, it's just terrible when you just can't do nothing against them. And I know that downswings happen etc. but when this shit is gonna stop? I remember when I ad one day of an upswing, only one day when I hit everything and I was up +10 buy ins. After this day, everything is going back to normal, so coolers and bad beats all day long.

Aug. 17, 2021 | 7:49 p.m.

I know that people can find bluffs at nl10. The problem is that it's a very small population that bluff like that. Most of the time they will show up with a set in hand 1. It's just annoying that I try to play theory correct poker and I call knowing that I'm probably behind but the call is correct in theory. I'm just considering to start folding to check raises, especially big ones if the board is dry.

Let's say a nit SB opens, I 3b with QQ from BB, SB 4bets and solver in my situation 5b jams. That's my problem. Instead of exploiting him, I jam knowing that I'm behind but 'it's the theory correct play'.

Aug. 10, 2021 | 11:48 a.m.

Hand 1:
Hero opens Ac Ks from EP, everyone folds, bb calls
Flop: 3c Kh 2h
Hero bets 1/3(its probably more of a check in theory but I still prefer to c-bet), the villain check raises 7x my bet What do I do here? It seems like it's very weak to this check raise but what is he really check raising with? It's most likely a set, maybe nut FD. I of course called.
Turn: 8d
Villain bets 3/4 and now it's a very high chance it's a set. A lot of people just check after they didn't hit their flush. I fold. Shouldn't I just fold on the flop? It's micros in the end of the day, not high stakes.

Hand 2:
CO opens, I 3b AhQc from BB
Flop: 6c Qh 4c
Hero c-bet 1/3, CO calls.
Turn: Jh
Hero bets 3/4, CO jams 80bb, Hero calls. In theory it's probably a call but I don't know about that one or is this spot one of the 'I have to call'? What would you do here?

Aug. 10, 2021 | 9:30 a.m.

Aug. 1, 2021 | 12:57 a.m.

I don't think 30k is enough. What if someone ran bad for 10k hands? What I want to say by this post is that of course you can beat micros in 70k hands but you have to run somewhat good or decent. I played with a guy who had 20bb/100 on nl10 in 50k hands and he was telling me that he's such a crusher. There's no way in the world that it's his true winrate and you have guys like this who tells everyone on the forums how good they are. I'm not saying that micros are hard to beat because they are not. I'm just saying that variance is a real thing and no matter how much of a crusher you are, you're gonna face it or not if you are really lucky. It seems like a lot of people act like variance doesn't exist at micros because they have a big edge over the player pool. You can't run away from getting terrible runouts, from losing all-ins, from coolers, from being card dead. I don't remember exact yt/bloggers names from top of my head.

Aug. 1, 2021 | 12:10 a.m.

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