Really miss the Tariq vids! By far my favorite coach on RIO - really appreciate the exploitative thinking style, and think it's very applicable for American sites+live games. Something I want to shift more towards
Sept. 11, 2022 | 5:59 p.m.
Know this is very old thread, but I think there is nothing wrong with quitting a good game and sticking to a routine. Not always easy, but think the steadiness pays off in the long term.
You sacrifice short term ev at times(like when a whale is present), for long term life ev. Maybe you do sacrifice your bottom line financially(I also think not as much as some may think), but I dont think money is the only factor in the equation. Happiness and all the things outside poker are also important, and probably more so. Being happy also will help your poker game.
Sept. 9, 2022 | 5:26 p.m.
Q9ss - 11:44 - think you missed a value bet vs the rec on river. seems like a good spot to just explo size targeting calls from Tx and maybe weaker. like 33% on river probably is very good even if it isnt a thing GTO or balanced with any bluffs vs this particular player
AK - 30:33 - very glad you went for the thin value here
KQdd - 37:47 - vs a rec, you might be able to get a 33% bet in here on river looking to get called by TT-QQ, some KJ, KT, K9s, 9x etc
A3dd - 43 - Are you sure flatting A3s on bttn is a good idea with high rake+aggressive 3betting from blinds? 6bb/100 rake is higher than most 50NL games, and even at 50NL R/F strats are pretty good given rake
Good job BTW, pretty cool to see how far you have come over the past couple years!
Aug. 30, 2022 | 3:13 p.m.
Where do you play LiveCashGuy ? are you a fellow Floridian player? your structure sounds like the hard rock
Hunter Cichy why do you think straddling is profitable? UTG seems like it probably isnt, but possible Bttn is. I see other regs doing it, but I have never done it myself. the 200bb/100 seems really hard to over come so I just stay away from it, but clearly some people(including you), think it is a good idea
Aug. 26, 2022 | 2:50 p.m.
A8s - exactly why I think 35 is to small - If I want to play 5 way, I think I prefer to limp than make it $35
when you say "giving up 18% equity", you are referring to times they have a FD I guess. I suppose with AJ, I am pretty confident I can go bet turn+riv and get called by Ax often, so that seems like something I want to do. While with weaker Ax I am content getting one street on river
i guess it is possible that getting called "light" by way way more hands on river does out perform just given the increased FQ. Probably very close spot EV wise
Aug. 26, 2022 | 2:44 p.m.
on the A8s hand at 18:10 - what do you think about using a larger RFI sizing? I think I would typically raise closer to $40-50 as my standard sizing, and view the $35 as a bit small, encouraging pots to go multiway more often. I'd also consider limping button if the players arent too wide/are very sticky/have an aggressive 3-bettor in the blinds.
what are your thoughts on this?
AJo - 887Axxss turn - I think with this strong of an A, we are a bit incentivized to bet turn, and check back weaker Ax. It also alludes to a point you mentioned later - if you are giving them free equity with a check back, I think you need to be confident they turn stuff into bluff on river, otherwise you are just letting them realize equity for no purpose - so for this secondary reason especially vs Rec players, I think I want to bet the turn with AJ and consider checking with some weaker Ax
Thanks for sharing
Aug. 25, 2022 | 5:46 p.m.
pretty sure I was referencing the Turn decision - maybe not using this specific combo(but maybe still some), along with a range for say 1/3 on turn.
think I was just surprised to hear you using a 2/3 or check strat on turn more than anything, because thats a spot I might use some 1/3 is all
River I agree, not much point going small unless playing vs a rec for exploitative reasons
Aug. 4, 2022 | 9:27 p.m.
21:14 - 54s - is there a reason you only play 2/3+check there? seems like a small bet could be effective strat to have in there, or do you think that OOP range is so well protected that the small bet doesnt achieve very much and you are playing more polar from turn and less merge bets for equity denial
seems like a spot I would consider a small bet with parts of range, but also possible I like this because of people having more unprotected checking ranges at small stakes
July 30, 2022 | 1:50 p.m.
Do you not think its possible your small river raise might encourage a lighter jam from 8x? when you use this size, it seems to eliminate J8/KJ from your range a bit from my perspective, so seems possible. But maybe this doesnt actually happen enough in game and people just take the call option not trying to get you off of a 8x hand.
July 29, 2022 | 1:38 p.m.
its pretty interesting - I have thought of doing this very thing in the anonymous pool. having a limping strategy that takes advantage of people isolating to wide. its like you can raise and play against a tight range and make a ton of worst hands fold, or you can limp and get iso'ed by like 20% of hands. Ive talked about this with friends and in my discord server. just never actually did it. interesting to see people doing it.
you say "weaker stables" implementing it. I mean, it could just be a really effective exploit in an anonymous pool. imagine in zoom it could be really good since there is 0 sample there
confident not everyone is as aware as you are about this
July 29, 2022 | 1:21 p.m.
right, if GTO opens if for a 0ev open, I have to imagine the players you are playing are going to make it >0ev somewhere in game tree. Of course you're not perfect either, but I just think with a REC BB, it just has to make up the difference. Could be wrong, but I think we are incentivized to go after REC's when we have at least a decent hand. Anything thats close to 0ev in theory must be better than that if you are playing solid imo
July 29, 2022 | 1:15 p.m.
okay - its possible if they are as tight as you make it sound. Seems like a reasonable strategy on their part. Reminds me of this player on global poker who played kinda like this and seemed to be winning across stakes up to 500nl. Not saying its the highest winning, but yeah, if people do not adjust well then could make some sense. it would be really really hard for me to not iso KJo from the CO lol - but it makes sense when you frame it as 3betting a very tight range(but even then there can be merit to this if they are passive preflop and postflop, letting you over realize equity, and if they play to "fit or fold" post flop)
thanks for the feedback
July 28, 2022 | 12:54 p.m.
Bottom right KJo 39:47- that was 3rd time he limped, and you saw him limp over call the first time. Even if he is a bit tight, having position on someone who is prob going to make mistakes post prob makes this profitable. can just iso 3.5x as well, so youre really not risking much.
same kinda thoughts with A9o - if going to iso, can just use a 3.5x sizing, but kinda think same as you and want to just fold it, primarily with 2 active players behind, and the CO being quite active himself
July 27, 2022 | 7:23 p.m.
worth mentioning, some of those "3x regs", were opening into a field that had a REC player behind/on BB, which I think justifies this depending on the REC palyers tendencies, and the "3x regs" range construction - its a bit different with rec players behind since they wont face as many 3b's, and the recs will call to much with dominated hands/play poorly post
J9s - opening this UTG LJ makes sense with a weak BB IMO - if its indifferent, open it with weak SB/BB, and fold it with only regs behind
July 27, 2022 | 6:43 p.m.
Good question on the NFD as well. Multi-way people are probably less likely to GII with those lower flush draws, so that might not be as relevant, as it would be heads up.
I would think with deeper stacks, there might be incentive for building the pot drawing to the nuts for when you get there, but multi-way, maybe not quite as true, given things can get out of hand and you might end up being blown off equity/get bad price.
Interested to hear Hunter's take, as well as any additional ideas from you
July 11, 2022 | 7:28 p.m.
I think having some low SC at FQ deep will be good. Especially if they aren't having 5-bet ranges, as he suggested in video, you will get to over realize your equity and they will play decent post flop with depth behind
July 11, 2022 | 7:25 p.m.
77 - I'm pretty skeptical the bet/check/bet 1/3 line has many bluffs in it - In my pool I think that would be pretty pure value with no bluffs so I would fold. Maybe people are bluffing that size on stars, but I don't see it happening in my game - think people would tend to bluff bigger and not choose a size that gets called a ton
June 14, 2022 | 2:42 p.m.
Tariq Haji that's super interesting. I mean if you have the data then by all means.
A large sample size can still have deviations, but yeah, hard to justify playing hands when you have clear evidence that they are losing you money.
Cutting it out seems reasonable, but also, it could be your postflop decisions that are affecting that specific combo. Like the way you are perceiving that specific hand class postflop, either playing too aggressively or passively in certain situations will of course have an impact.
Either way, respect you a lot as a player, so I don't take that adjustment lightly. Will encourage me to look in my own database for things like this that may be unintuitive.
May 10, 2022 | 12:22 p.m.
I saw you open fold A6o on bttn twice with no action ahead. If you're not opening this, then what does your bttn range look like? If you're dropping hands due to regs in blinds, seems like dropping stuff like Q8o before A6o would be a good idea for the blocker properties.
April 21, 2022 | 2:25 p.m.
30:16 - you pass on QJo in CO with a limp ahead. why.(misclick assumed)
on your PT4 - what setting allows you to see the hole cards? I use HM2 for that function, but didn't know PT4 offered that
AQs hand, first glance I thought that folding is a mistake, as AQ makes sense for population at least to have. But I guess it makes sense if IP is checking back some 98cc, 87cc, 76cc, 65cc, 54cc, and maybe some AJ on turn. because then we really need to find bluffs and even AQ betting full FQ is prob not enough for us to call.
Good to have you back
April 20, 2022 | 12:41 p.m.
I like this. One thing I have learned as I've aged, is that embracing our finite nature starts to put things in place and align perspective.
Jan. 21, 2022 | 11:43 a.m.
A3 hand - i dont love these spots in general of course. its tempting to think that maybe he is jamming with a strong hand to try and "look bluffy" when all the draws miss. But at the same time, given how narrow his value range is, I think that we can just call our best bluff catchers(this being one of them). His value range is pretty narrow, and as you know on bovada, there is an X factor that he can show up with something we truly do not expect. Plus all the natural missed draws like hearts. He is also on the button and could def overcall a bit wider there. so I guess I'd call. interested to hear your thoughts on it after giving it more thought.
something I really like about your approach is you weigh a lot into the bet size villain is using in defining his range.
the AA hand, I mean his value range is again so narrow, and we are getting a pretty great price. I think there's too great a chance a hand like AK or KQ play like this, or that he is doing something weird facing a turn 1/4 turn barrel and doing something odd. I mean I would prob be stacking off here, but I can see it if you have a ton of history and know this is just always the nuts. I def find some folds like this where population is just way out of wack. this one is just hard for me to see since we dont need great odds+i can see AK playing like this/our hand might look weak given the two small bets.(even if standard) but hey, im open to the idea
Jan. 4, 2022 | 12:12 p.m.
JJ is an odd one - I dont think he "should" be jamming KQ on river, as what is calling thats worst? seems like KQ might be too thin on that runout. That being said, if it is being 3 barrelled in practice then makes JJ much better call.
Dec. 23, 2021 | 8:59 p.m.
Yeah I think AA is a defend on turn. Theres quite alot of stuff he can bet turn with we are ahead of - JTs, T9s, AK, maybe AT. I think we gotta play til river and make decision there.
Edit: I mean of course he had it this time, but if you think about his value range, its like 1 combo KK, 3 combo QQ, 2 combo KQs, maybe 2 combos KQo, so 8ish value combos? we realistically need him to have less than 4 or so worst hands/bluffs on turn. Maybe AK doesnt choose this sizing, but we really cant know this, as AK might appear stronger to him after we bet small flop and check turn. And then if he is sitting there with T9s, JTs, ATs, AJs(or AJo right), I think he will feel compelled to bet at least once to make us fold a hand like AQo, QJs, QTs, TT, 99, JJ etc. I also see a ton of unexpected stuff in this pool as well, so I just don't think we can make this fold, even if he happened to have it this time.
If he can have full KQo combos, it does become closer, but even vs two pair we have reasonable equity, and there are still quite a few bluffs for him to choose from. Prob not worth a ton of EV either way, but I see strong reasons to call turn and reevaluate river.
Dec. 14, 2021 | 4:23 p.m.
Peter Clarke dont want it to be confused. I think the characters and imagery is great; I just think the introductions and robot voices were distracting and hard to follow. I think if less time was spent on explaining them and going into detail on that, then it would come together very well. Think you're in the right space for this, just needs a bit of refinement.
Dec. 11, 2021 | 10:51 p.m.
the QJo at around 40 minutes bttn vs 2 limps - do you typically use a 6x iso in these spots? Just wondering if this is a thing you've found to be effective. Makes sense to get it HU more often. I typically go 5x here and find it still gets it HU quite often, but maybe going bigger could be better. since you're playing at a higher stake than me as well, imagine i will see even less 3b's than you would so it should be even more effective.