ryanspicer's avatar


153 points

use assisted. maybe place chair below you and assist yourself to build strength. Also building strength with free weights and pushups probably helps as well( if you cant do pushups just go to your knees at first)

July 14, 2019 | 8:14 p.m.

I broke down his range in word, and it seems very close on the river after the line I have taken. It seems very close and will vary a little bit depending on the actual range he shows up with, but I think we can bet like $150-$180 on the river if we expect Qx to fold close to 100%.

In the hand I checked and villain showed down KQo. If he is flatting all of these preflop, theres a good chance AJo will be bet at the very least a higher frequency than KQo(obv), and given how close my calculations seem to indicate this is, I think him having potentially extra KQo combos in his range would make betting the river here a bit better than just check/giving up. If we bet close to pot I expect most people to fold Qx, although its possible we do get heroed occasionally, and against that type of villain we would just want to check riv.

July 14, 2019 | 8:11 a.m.

Post | ryanspicer posted in NLHE: Live 1-3 Large Straddled Pot

Hero covers table

Bttn straddles $5 and has a $400ish stack
SB calls and has a $250 stack
3 other players call and have between $200-$300 stacks

Hero has KJhh CO and raises to $36(often would make it $40, but thought we could shave a bit off and have similar fold equity)
Button calls pretty quick and is a passive player from what I can tell. I expect him to flat things like AK preflop, maybe even JJ or QQ(at a lower percentage), think he will cold calls things like AQo as well as mid pocket pairs and maybe some KQ and AJ.

SB calls and is a loose aggressive asian that is a losing player from what I can tell.

Others fold and it's 3-way to the flop

AQ3 rainbow with one heart

SB checks
Hero checks
Button checks

Pot = $110
Turn 3
SB checks
Hero bets $50
Button calls
SB folds

River 2
Pot is $200
Button has around $300 behind, maybe a little more

On the flop, I wasn't confident I had much fold equity getting called in two spots with a 12x preflop open size, and this lead me to check the flop. I could see maybe C-betting around 30-40% however, but if I go any bigger I think it begins to bleed money, and I do not think either player has a capped range

On the turn after it checks through, and the SB checks again, I bet in a 45% turn bet to fold out mid pairs, and maybe miscellaneous hands that got sticky preflop(maybe a hand like T9s for example.)

When the button calls, I think he can certainly have some AJ in his range, maybe some AK/QQ that slow played the flop as this is a thing that happens in live games. I do think most AK would have bet the flop, but I would account for him having maybe 1 or 2 combos in his check back range on a dry board. Also think he could have like 1 combo of QQ, however this may not be 100% accurate. AQ I would guess exists at a low percentage as well. Think ATs is likely in his range, maybe some A9s, but think it begins to get dicey once we drop below ATs. Think it's pretty common for players to flat at least half of the AJo and KQo combos tho in the games I play in

I considered betting the river 75%-100% pot, but opted on a check because I wasn't confident villain would fold Qx 100% of the time after I checked the flop, which is a pretty big issue.

July 14, 2019 | 7:51 a.m.

From middle position, I would drop things like 87s, 98s.

From HJ, Think you can def open Axs+

From button, think you can def go wider, including all Qxs, 98o, 87o, T8o, Q8o, J8o, 53s, 63s, etc. Specifically the button you can go ham because people way under 3bet in live. I'm pretty tight from earlier positions, but go super wide from button and CO. Think too since people limp so wide, you can also isolate very wide, including things like 98o etc. I have a good friend who crushes 2-5 and he will isolate things like 53o from the button. I don't take it this far, but it seems to work for him pretty well.

I have another friend that plays live and has kinda a ridiculous winrate ($62/hr) at 1-3 over a large sample, and he advocates going even wider. Saying things like ATo, suited gappers being profitable in some line ups from UTG in live games. I haven't really tried it out, but it makes sense because people are rarely playing back at you postflop, meaning we can make really good folds post flop, and we realize alot of equity when people only 3-bet JJ+ and AK only half the time.

July 12, 2019 | 5:47 p.m.

Why not just flat this preflop?

As played, I would check river. Turn is interesting, but probably a check as well, but maybe could bet small. I just wouldn't know what to do vs a raise and an unknown, so I'd prob be conservative and check the turn

July 12, 2019 | 5:39 p.m.

well i guess now you know what I think of you :p hahaha I'm kidding

But nah, this guy is certainly a rec. Almost always has a beer in front of him and see him lose very often/take silly lines.

response to others
I don't like checking too much here as the games I play in are kinda on the passive side, but with the short stack involved, its actually a pretty good play I think.

as for preflop, yeah, I would go bigger if I consistently got a ton of action, but $12was getting me heads up or 3 way at the time, more a random occurrence.

July 10, 2019 | 11:41 p.m.

this is a good point. something I used to be very mindful of, but kinda forgot about honestly lol thanks for the reminder

July 10, 2019 | 11:37 p.m.

Comment | ryanspicer commented on Eat, Sleep, NLHE

Are you able to play live games in your country? If you are beating 25 and 50NL, you can probably do well in live 1-2 or higher. I read earlier about 400 not being much at 25NL, but thats actually 16 buy ins. 16 buy ins at 1-2 live is 3200. And people in live games are making massive mistakes, so over a similiar sample, you could be making alot more. It may not be an option for you, but I played online at 100NL and a bit og 200NL for a long time, and playing live has been way more lucrative, even at 1-2 and 1-3 stakes

July 9, 2019 | 4 p.m.

Are you able to play more live games? Sounds like playing at all on WPN is a losing decision, as americas card rooms game are tougher on average and are allegedly full of bots. If you are beating the microstakes online, I imagine you can beat low stakes live games, and this would be where I would focus my attention if I wanted to earn a living with poker. I dont know if its an option for you, but ignition has some of the best game IMO of all the online games.

July 9, 2019 | 3:53 p.m.

yeah i just folded, and it felt very strange lol

July 9, 2019 | 12:46 p.m.

On the K64hh texture with ATo, I think an exploit could actually be to use a 40-50% c-bet and expect alot of PP's to fold the flop, especially the 22-55 region, still think 77+ might make a call. If we do this we probably cannot barrel turn as effectively, but it would give us more immediate fold equity from a good chunk of hands, and since he already has quite a wide range, we can still expect him to be way overfolding and us to not be losing out on much by using a slightly bigger sizing

July 8, 2019 | 4:51 p.m.

thats probably assuming heads up, which definitely is not happening often. Even though I am not being squeezed, we will be getting loads of overcalls. Also, theres a big different I think in play here between his games and mine. Lower SPR generally, and a much higher rake structure. Think most high stakes games are a time structure, with low to mid stakes being a percentage

July 8, 2019 | 3:10 p.m.

A situation that comes up quite often in live games, that I have no idea how to assess, is when we are facing a raise, maybe a call in between, and we are in the CO/HJ w a hand like Axs. In the 1-3/2-5 games I play in, people are literally squeezing QQ+ for the most part, and very rarely AK(15% or less), and JJ maybe half of the time. Because I don't get squeezed off my equity much, I think I can be cold calling quite a bit more. I still reserve my cold calls mostly for the button and CO(when I look left and it looks like the button is going to fold), and have a fear of calling too loose, having no idea how to assess this; I don't want to just start calling super wide and it get out of control and then I am just spewing.

It seems like we can't go too overboard with hands that draw to non nuts like 98s, but hands like Axs that generally draw pretty clean, seem to have alot of merit.

I guess what I am asking, is do you have a methodology you use to assess cold calling and what kind of considerations do you take into account when deciding on whether or not to make cold calls preflop from Middle positions

July 8, 2019 | 2:54 p.m.

Post | ryanspicer posted in NLHE: 1-2 Live BB decision preflop

1 limper ($60 stack)
Loose player, but not that loose, who usually makes it $7 raises to $12 ($110 stack)
2 calls ($150 stack, and a $100 stack)
Hero has AcTc on the BB, I look left and don't think the limper is going to jam

Basically, I'm wondering what the bottom of my range would be here. When we call, there will be a pot of $53, and an SPR of around 2 with most players, making our draws way less valuable, and our top pairs are probably not very good either. I don't like squeezing too much with the low SPR, because do we really want to squeeze GII for 50BB w ATs(likely behind alot)

I would probably fold something like A9s and below, and squeeze things like AQo+, TT+, AJs+, KQs+, and im tempted to just throw this as a squeeze too. I mean we probably do get enough folds based on the amount of money in the middle for what we are risking. Would it be that bad to just fold preflop?

July 8, 2019 | 2:46 p.m.

Post | ryanspicer posted in NLHE: 1-2 Turn Decision Live

1 Limp
Hero raise KdKc to $12
3 calls
limper calls

5 way to flop
Pot = $53
Hero C-bets $25
CO calls and is a semi-thinking player, definitely not great, makes alot of mistakes with poor open raise sizing(raising to like $12 at 1-3 w 4-5 limpers w medium strength hands), poor hand selection, occasional no equity bluffs in multway pots
Bttn goes all in for $38
Hero call
CO calls

Turn Ah
$150 in Pot
co has $125 behind
Hero checks

Wasn't certain what I wanted to do here when this came up. I elected on a check because I thought CO has things like Axs that bink top pair, his single pair type hands aren't very likely to call a bet here(I considered using a 1/3 size bet)

Issue I see with checking is allowing draws to get there, and I don't expect to get bluffed at much with a dry side pot. Using a 1/3 sizing doesn't really do anything to his draws as they just get the right price. So it seemed like we weren't getting called by much worse with a bet, losing money to the part of his range that is top pair plus, and weren't effectively charging draws. So yeah, I like the check.

River came off an 8
At this point I checked, but I don't think we are going to be bluffed at, because again, dry side pot. Maybe we could develop a 1/4 river bet range just to get crying calls from mid pairs like 99-JJ, He will have a few 8x in range, but think we can easily fold if we face a raise.

July 8, 2019 | 2:35 p.m.

Comment | ryanspicer commented on Ah9h on Tx5h6h oop

seems like given theres no way to clearly play this hand well post flop makes me really like folding preflop :p

July 8, 2019 | 2:11 p.m.

Tyler Forrester

I don't think said villain would call everytime in the scenario. I think that against a loose aggro recreational, and he may have been moody that day/he was defending his straddle haha. I pointed that out to state that he can definitely have a wider range than you might expect however.

I guess if our standard open is going to be mondo huge tho to exploit people calling way too light, we would tighten up preflop like crazy. Only issue i see with this, is we force all the other fish to play more correctly. going bigger might be good, but in my game, theres usually no regs or maybe 1 max, so i dont want to push out every one. but yeah, if someone is calling super wide ill keep in mind to tighten up and increase raise size to maybe 7x8x preflop

thanks for time

June 27, 2019 | 1:08 p.m.

i feel like im being stubborn on this one, but im still thinking a small bet is slightly better than a check here. Do you have a strong preference towards a check, and why?

Im concerned my use of sticky may be misleading a little bit. I'm very much referring to stickiness preflop more so than post

June 25, 2019 | 2:32 a.m.

Saulo Ribeiro

you prob would've been pretty good. A lot of Yugi "pros" have transitioned to poker and do it full time.

June 25, 2019 | 2:09 a.m.

I really think this is close. without the backdoors i def agree with c/f flop. It just seems even 4 way the flop is close if we use a small bet, but having the backdoors is icing and lets us continue aggression on turns. I've heard it go both ways. A friend i respect alot agreed on a bet, but getting much differing opinions here. It's also possible that the player tendencies in our pools are altering our perceptions.

June 25, 2019 | 2:07 a.m.

*sticky preflop. I think that these players will play fit or fold on the flop for the most part, only continuing flop w a full piece of equity like a gutter or showdown, and folding things with only backdoors. Kinda why I was thinking with the backdoors we could bet this hand and continue betting on turns where our equity increases or when we hit a "scare" card

June 25, 2019 | 2:04 a.m.

Solid play and explain.

Did you play Yu-Gi-Oh! competitively?

June 24, 2019 | 9:55 p.m.

are you saying you prefer to bet AQ?

June 24, 2019 | 8:36 p.m.

Post | ryanspicer posted in Other: Harrahs Cherokee

Hey guys. Last minute booked a trip to stay in Bryson, and will be doing some hiking/poker at the harrahs Cherokee. If you’re in the area maybe we can meet up!

June 24, 2019 | 3:01 p.m.

Comment | ryanspicer commented on Ah9h on Tx5h6h oop

I think with $180 in the middle w a $150 bet and a $150 call, you can just jam the flop. I Think you have fold equity, and if you get called you still have significant equity. 150x3= 450+150 = 600+180 = $780, and you're risking $900. I dont think its that crazy of an overbet and I wouldnt want to use a smaller sizing.

As for preflop, I honestly dont know. I think with the shallower stack depths its more of a fold with dominated Ax and low SPR, but if everyone had 1k behind its prob an okay call. You could actually squeeze it preflop unless you think the 6x raise is stronger on average

June 23, 2019 | 7:25 p.m.

I think a $300 raise and a jam have similar fold equitys. You can raise to $300 and give up turn if you dont think he has many folds. You could also use a slightly smaller flop raise and jam turn. Really depends what you think he is raising flop with. I think in general I would call because he can still have NFD type hands in range, and if he is a whale then Im trying to make a hand and value bet him more than just bluff raise/bluff shove turn(although prob not that bad given amount of equity you have)

June 23, 2019 | 7:16 p.m.

also no. We have button straddle. Button straddle and SB calls. other two cold call the $25. We are on the BB

June 21, 2019 | 7:04 p.m.

straddle is only $5. Guess that something I failed to point out

June 21, 2019 | 7:04 p.m.

which is pretty good because if I bet 1/3 of the pot I only need them to fold 25% of the time anyways

June 17, 2019 | 4:16 p.m.

their stickiness depends on whether or not they connected with the board.

I think this is a bet because we have backdoor equity and 2 overs. Without that, I think this becomes a check fold

June 13, 2019 | 5:53 p.m.

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