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GeoPur

8 points

Post | GeoPur posted in NLHE: Standard deviation

So I saw my standard deviation/100 hands for NL5 on 28k hands and it was I think 74. Is the sample size good enough in order to tell that this is my true standard devation? If not then how many hands do I need?

May 18, 2019 | 4:53 p.m.

So we have to memorize certain percentages to improve as a player, right? I am taking some flops recently like Ace High with two low cards, or baby boards and I memorize the percentages for how often various ranges hit like a 33% flatting range or a 13% range so I can get a feel on how ranges interact with different textures. I saw a lot of percentages on a book written just for playing AK from Splitsuit. It had from what I remember percentages of AK vs various ranges. Exactly what you are talking about basically.

May 16, 2019 | 3:43 p.m.

No, I am not saying this. I say that let's say that we're BTN vs BB again and we studied the hand where BTN cbet flop and then turn and river. Now we're done with the hand but we want to explore a hypothetical scenario where they checked flop. It can't be 100% of their preflop range here since they have a cbet range. Do I need to enter this manually again? That's what I did last time and everything got messed up since I've added weights and many filters as well. In the end I got very frustrated with all of that and closed the program.

May 14, 2019 | 3:48 p.m.

Post | GeoPur posted in NLHE: Question regarding Flopzilla

Lets say that we have a hand of BTN vs BB and we want to create a cbet range for the BTN in a specific board. We create that range but then if we want to explore BTN's strategy when they check behind. Do we need to create this range from scratch again? Or is there any option than can invert between the combos you selected which pass the filter and the ones which do not? This would be a really useful feature. Thanks!

May 13, 2019 | 3:55 p.m.

How many hands would be good?

May 10, 2019 | 5 p.m.

So for 9max(most of hands are from NL2, some are from NL5) my BTN winrate is 33.84 at almost 12k hands and MP winrate is 9.69 at alomost 21k hands. Is the sample size good enough?

May 9, 2019 | 3:38 p.m.

So my defeault range from the CO is 28% and my bet sizing is 3bb. I see some people use 2.5x instead and I would like to use that. What sizing would be best to use for CO in NL5?

May 8, 2019 | 3:46 p.m.

I am currently playing at NL5(played until now 13k hands but I've lost 9 buy ins. The sample is too small though) as I had said you. I just wanted to study situations with limpers and I read the chapter on Grinder's manual where he said to open my database and filter for situations like this to study. It just happened to be a hand from NL2.

May 7, 2019 | 3:38 p.m.

Ok. Thank you! :)

May 7, 2019 | 3:32 p.m.

You confused me a little. Do you mean that you iso same as open when both conditions are met or at least one? What do you mean by saying normal rec?

If we play vs a player who is fishy but we don't know what trype of fish they are, what range do we iso? Let's take this spot for example. Let's say that we dont know that CO is a fit and fold fish. In this case do we iso the same range of hands like we would do if he was a sticky fish?

May 6, 2019 | 3:42 p.m.

If we play vs a player who is fishy but we don't know what trype of fish they are, what range do we iso? Let's take this spot for example. Let's say that we dont know that CO is a fit and fold fish. In this case do we iso the same range of hands like we would do if he was a sticky fish?

Also do you limp behind weaker aces or fold them here when CO is fit and fold?

May 6, 2019 | 3:41 p.m.

Yes, I need to not overestimate players at these stakes. Sometimes I play vs some regs and I think they are good players, only to see later that they do silly mistakes in a certain spots

May 6, 2019 | 3:27 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: What range do you isolate here?
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) BN: $2.44 (Hero)
SB: $1.96
BB: $2.12
UTG: $2.00
UTG+1: $2.57
MP: $2.08
MP+1: $2.00
CO: $3.36
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is BN with A 6
4 folds, CO calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.08, 2 folds, CO calls $0.06
Flop ($0.19) K A 5
CO checks, Hero bets $0.14, CO calls $0.14
Turn ($0.47) K A 5 4
CO bets $0.22, Hero calls $0.22
River ($0.91) K A 5 4 A
CO bets $0.44, Hero calls $0.44

May 5, 2019 | 3:42 p.m.

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) SB: $4.07
BB: $5.00
UTG: $5.00
MP: $1.99
CO: $5.07 (Hero)
BN: $1.85
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is CO with A A
UTG checks, MP folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 3 folds, UTG calls $0.15
villain seems fishy but I dont know if we are sure about that here. I have very few hands on him. Only 6. Another stat also I have is the limp% which is 3 out of 3 times
Flop ($0.47) 9 6 5
UTG bets $0.15, Hero raises to $0.45, UTG calls $0.30
Turn ($1.37) 9 6 5 4
UTG bets $0.65, Hero calls $0.65
River ($2.67) 9 6 5 4 Q
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.50, UTG raises to $3.00, Hero folds
So here he could have 78s, 73s or 32s(For the last 2 hands I think he does not have them often). He may also have 99, 66, 55 and 44 and 2pairs like 96s, 65s, 54s, 64s, Q9s. I exclude QQ or any overpair since those are a raise for sure pre. I triple barreled and he raised on my last bet. I think almost always this is for value. Now I think he would do that with hands of 2pair +. If he had sth like AQ or KQ here, I think he would check call. Also if he had AQ or KQ here it would be only 2 combos possibly(those of the missed fds but we block the one). I dont really think he would call 2 streets with just Ace High + No FD or King High.

Lastly he may not even have AQ here when he checks because he might have opened that preflop.

So straights are 12 combos, sets are 12 combos and if he raises KQ of missed fd on the river, that's only 1 combo vs 24 that crush us. I think we need to fold this one(and I didn't even include the combos for 2pairs.)
Final Pot UTG wins $5.43
Rake is $0.24

May 4, 2019 | 3:25 p.m.

Villain's 3bet might possibly be smaller than 4.8% in this spot. Isn't the 3bet stat the average 3bet for all the scenarios combined?

So whatever the range % he has in this spot, do you think it will be linear or polarized? You wrote a linear range but I 3bet a polarized range here of QQ+ and AK. Should I adopt a different strategy? I think 3betting KQs here is too loose for Value imo but I might be wrong.

May 3, 2019 | 3:47 p.m.

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (9 Players) MP: $8.12 (Hero)
MP+1: $5.16
MP+2: $2.91
CO: $5.00
BN: $8.08
SB: $9.60
BB: $6.17
UTG: $5.00
UTG+1: $5.00
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is MP with A J
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, BN raises to $0.45, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.30
villain at 590 hands at 9max has overall vpip/pfr of 16/12. 3bet is also 4.8. cbet is 54%. fold to steal is 83% and fold to cbet is 81%(13/16 times). Seems to be a reg but from the tighter ones.
Flop ($0.97) J 6 6
Hero checks, BN bets $0.55, Hero calls $0.55
Turn ($2.07) J 6 6 8
Hero checks, BN bets $1.25, Hero folds
Preflop he raised an early open so he is going to be very tight. I think he 3bets QQ+ and AK. Do you think he could 3bet more stuff? I dont think he 3bet stuff like JTs or AJs. I dont think he 3bets any live cards with one jack in them so I dont believe villain can have top pair here. We are against an overpair. Now I dont really think he can have here AK as a bluff. He could have it on the flop but the turn is a brick, he might slow down here. I think folding is best, but I also think that folding top pair to a 2barrel is nitty. What do you think?
Final Pot BN wins $1.98
Rake is $0.09

May 1, 2019 | 3:36 p.m.

What do you mean by saying you have to go the distance? Sorry my english is not my native language.

Btw I forgot to include stats for utg +1. I am pretty sure that when I checked that hand yesterday, he was fishy with stats similar to raiser. I think that was the reason I made the call because I expected that utg1 would call a lot here and thus I would want to call more hands to get postflop with his weak range.

April 25, 2019 | 4:48 p.m.

I think I have seen this name you have here on Stars (or some similar name anyway). On Stars my name is DribPur and I have a picture of a man with beard.

April 25, 2019 | 4:39 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: NL5 - Did I play this one well?
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (8 Players) MP: $4.88
MP+1: $5.48
CO: $2.09
BN: $7.39 (Hero)
SB: $5.78
BB: $11.08
UTG: $5.00
UTG+1: $4.45
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BN with 5 6
UTG folds, UTG+1 checks, MP raises to $0.24, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.24, 2 folds, UTG+1 folds
So today I decided to take some shots at NL5.
So, mp at 88 hands in 9max has overall vpip/pfr of 42/7. And also has limped until now 23 times.
Flop ($0.62) 5 K Q
MP checks, Hero bets $0.44, MP calls $0.44
Here he might decide to check call with KK, QQ, 55 and KQ althoughI think if
he checked here he would do that with the intention of raising.

Some other stuff that he could check call here:

Fds like AJ, AT, A9-A2(if he has those) and stuff like JT, T9. Calls also oesd of JTs
Turn ($1.50) 5 K Q 3
MP checks, Hero bets $1.20, MP raises to $2.40, Hero calls $1.20
They raise all of flushes . Because
we hold the 65 of diamonds, they cant have flushes like 65, 54, 64. We beat 0
combos from their flushes. If they check called 33 at flop they could raise that
now I think. Also fds with the A like AdJx, AdTx maybe. I dont think they play A9o or
worse pre to include more aces. Could bluff with JTs(3c) also. Could bluff raise
with AxJd and AxTd.

The size at river is silly and I had to call. I think I played it well. What do you think?
River ($6.30) 5 K Q 3 6
MP bets $1.80 and is all in, Hero calls $1.80

April 24, 2019 | 3:56 p.m.

Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (7 Players) CO: $1.20
BN: $2.04 (Hero)
SB: $2.18
BB: $2.03
UTG: $1.27
UTG+1: $2.00
MP: $2.00
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is BN with K J
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $0.05, MP folds, CO calls $0.05, Hero calls $0.05, 2 folds
utg1 stats for 9max: overall vpip/pfr is 14/10 at 700 hands. 3bet is 4.1.
Flop ($0.18) J 7 K
UTG+1 bets $0.14, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.42, UTG+1 raises to $1.95 and is all in, Hero calls $1.53
Here we are going to need about 38% pot odds to make the breakeven call without rake. I think he shoves here KK(1c), 77(3c), JJ(1c). Now I am not sure if he would 3bet shove with 2pair of KJ which is 4 combos. Neither I know if he would ever bluff here with a hand like QTs which he probably opens preflop. One thing I did not think in the table when I made the call and I saw now is that he may have folded KJo from that position pre(it is not like a clear open). Same also for QTs. I think we should have folded here.

Let's say he has KJ here then our equity vs sets and KJ is 28%. Still a fold. If we add QTs also then it jumps to 40%. About a breakeven call here. So do you make the call?
Turn ($4.08) J 7 K A
River ($4.08) J 7 K A 5

April 22, 2019 | 3:47 p.m.

Yes it's a 4bet, I did a mistake. I didn't think about this with the rake. Thank you for the answer! :)

April 22, 2019 | 3:29 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: Do you call this huge shove preflop with QQ?
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) BB: $2.00
UTG: $2.25
UTG+1: $2.00
MP: $0.80
MP+1: $1.58
CO: $2.02 (Hero)
BN: $2.23
SB: $2.09
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is CO with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.06, UTG+1 folds, MP calls $0.06, MP+1 calls $0.06, Hero raises to $0.34, 3 folds, UTG raises to $2.25 and is all in, MP folds, MP+1 folds, Hero calls $1.68 and is all in
I did the math and we need 40% pot odds in order to make the call. Villain at 600 hands at 9max has overall vpip.pfr of 17/13 and 3bet is 5 but the sample size is 11 times out of 221 times. I think 11 times is not a big sample in order to take this stat very seriously.

If villain has the range of QQ+ and AK here then we have exactly 40% equity. Such a huge 5bet imo would not be done with AKo and maybe QQ as well(not sure though about that). I think I should have folded.
Flop ($4.42) J 2 K
Turn ($4.42) J 2 K 5
River ($4.42) J 2 K 5 3
Final Pot UTG wins and shows three of a kind, Kings.
CO lost and shows a pair of Queens.
UTG wins $4.04
Rake is $0.15

April 21, 2019 | 3:26 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: NL2- Facing a raise on the turn with TPTK
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) UTG: $1.08
MP: $2.00 (Hero)
UTG+1: $2.22
MP+1: $0.47
CO: $2.16
BN: $1.98
SB: $0.55
BB: $1.31
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is MP with A K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.06, 3 folds, BN calls $0.06, SB folds, BB calls $0.04
BB has overall vpip/pfr of 32/9 at 47 hands. BTN seems like a tag in about 50 hands I have for him. Stats are for 9max.
Flop ($0.19) Q 7 3
BB checks, Hero bets $0.11, BN calls $0.11, BB folds
Turn ($0.41) Q 7 3 K
Hero bets $0.30, BN raises to $0.60, Hero folds
I think its not very likely for him to show up with KK, QQ here since he 3bets those pre. I think he has 77(3c),33(3c) KQ(6c). Now he may have AK, JT. But does he really have those here? I thought possibly no, and so I made the fold. What do you think?
Final Pot BN wins $0.97
Rake is $0.04

April 20, 2019 | 3:53 p.m.

Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) CO: $1.09
BN: $2.18 (Hero)
SB: $1.57
BB: $2.00
UTG: $2.00
UTG+1: $6.09
MP: $1.57
MP+1: $1.68
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is BN with T K
4 folds, CO calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.07, SB calls $0.06, BB folds, CO calls $0.05
SB played 5/15 hands, has limped 3 times. CO in 11 hands has limped 2 times. Both seem fishy.
Flop ($0.23) 9 8 K
SB checks, CO bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, SB calls $0.10
Turn ($0.53) 9 8 K J
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $0.26, SB calls $0.26, CO calls $0.26
I think my bet for value here was very thin. I've made the bet because they are fishy and I would get a lot of calls from worse. But do they really call that much for the bet to be the best option here?
River ($1.31) 9 8 K J Q
SB bets $0.02, CO raises to $0.66 and is all in, Hero raises to $1.75 and is all in, SB calls $1.12 and is all in
Does he call here with anything worse than a straight? Because if he doesn't then there is not any reason for me to shove here. I thought that he would call with sets and 2pairs at least.

April 16, 2019 | 3:15 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: NL2- Tough spot with KK
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (7 Players) MP: $3.07
UTG+1: $1.95
CO: $2.14
BN: $2.00
SB: $2.00 (Hero)
BB: $2.67
UTG: $1.95
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is SB with K K
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, BB calls $0.04
Stats: 3bet: 4.2, cbet: 72%. fold to cbet: 58%, fold to steal: 79%, vpip/pfr is 18/11. Over 1200 hands for 9max

How often do you think villain defends here when he has such a high fold vs steal? I've no idea what range he would have here. I've made a rough assumption that they flat 15% and also they 3bet: JJ+ and AQ+. Their 3bet is close to 4% and combined with flat range gives him a total defence of 19%.
Flop ($0.12) 8 3 9
Hero bets $0.09, BB calls $0.09
Do you think that villain almost always raises their sets and 2pairs here? The board is very wet. I would never just call here. What do you think is the best play here for the villain?
Turn ($0.30) 8 3 9 7
Hero checks, BB bets $0.08, Hero calls $0.08
River ($0.46) 8 3 9 7 4
Hero checks, BB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
I think here if it's ok to call then it is close to a breakeven call.

I've made some assuptions on what villain could have:

#Run1: They bet for value their straights(JTs and 65s, did not include JTo here since I assumed they folded pre but I may be wrong), 2p(97s, 87s) and TT, A9s, K9s. Could also bluff some stuff but I did not include that. Vs this range we have 45% equity. A clear call.

#Run2- The only difference from before is that he checks now TopPairs, but still bets TT though. We have 33% equity.

#Run3- They call on the flop low pocket pairs(77-44, 22) and so they might appear here with stuff like 77 which they hit on the turn. If they did that and the rest of the range was like Run2 then here we have about 29% equity.

-All those runs did not include any bluffing they might do.

April 15, 2019 | 12:11 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: NL2 - Do you call here?
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) CO: $2.00
BN: $2.56 (Hero)
SB: $1.55
BB: $3.94
UTG: $4.52
UTG+1: $2.13
MP: $2.81
MP+1: $2.77
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is BN with K Q
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.05, SB calls $0.04, BB folds
villain at194 hands in 9max has overall vpip/pfr of 61/25 and fold to cbet: 46 and also limp%: 28
Flop ($0.12) 7 8 K
SB checks, Hero bets $0.10, SB calls $0.10
Turn ($0.32) 7 8 K 7
SB bets $0.16, Hero calls $0.16
Could he donk here with a 7? Does he do that also with 8s?
River ($0.64) 7 8 K 7 8
SB bets $0.32, Hero folds
I think he possibly has trips here so I made the fold. What do you think?
Final Pot SB wins $0.62
Rake is $0.02

April 11, 2019 | 3:03 p.m.

From what I learned, it's bad to open limp because of the huge rake. Now I've read an article which advises to open raise from SB 62%(range below) of the time. It's a few years old article(I think its advise was for Mid stakes, not sure if that's how we need to play at Micros) so I am asking in case things have changed and we need to adopt a different strategy.

April 10, 2019 | 3:33 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: NL2- 4way pot with 2pair
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (6 Players) BB: $2.12
UTG: $2.04 (Hero)
MP: $3.33
CO: $2.54
BN: $2.06
SB: $1.77
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is UTG with J T
Hero raises to $0.06, MP calls $0.06, CO folds, BN calls $0.06, SB calls $0.05, BB folds
BTN has at 3800 hands in 9max:
overall vpip/pfr of 14/11, 3bet: 4.4, fold to 3bet: 47, cbet: 62, fold to cbet: 82
steal: 27, fold to steal: 75
Flop ($0.26) 4 T J
SB checks, Hero bets $0.15, MP folds, BN raises to $0.45, SB folds, Hero calls $0.30
Do you think she would raise here with QQ in this 4way pot? I think she can have here JTs, JJ, TT, 44 and possibly KsQs, AsQs, 9s8s, 8s7s, 9s7s(if she called it pre). Maybe also KQ, 98s but I am not sure. She could have QQ as we said, and also KK and AA(the rare times she decided to slowplay those) but in this 4way pot I think it'd be better to call here with those overpairs.

I am thinking that she's probably raising a very tight range here. She may be calling with JTs instead of raising and also not to raise often draws. What do you think? Should we have called?
Turn ($1.16) 4 T J 5
Hero checks, BN bets $1.55 and is all in, Hero calls $1.53 and is all in
River ($4.24) 4 T J 5 3

April 10, 2019 | 3:27 p.m.

Hand History | GeoPur posted in NLHE: NL2- 3way pot with AA
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players) CO: $1.08
BN: $4.21
SB: $2.15
BB: $2.32
UTG: $0.46
UTG+1: $2.00
MP: $2.29 (Hero)
MP+1: $1.06
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is MP with A A
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, 2 folds, BN calls $0.06, SB folds, BB calls $0.04
BTN has overall vpip/pfr of 87/20 at 30 hands in 9max and has limped 16 times.
Flop ($0.19) Q 3 K
BB checks, Hero bets $0.14, BN raises to $0.28, BB folds, Hero calls $0.14
Turn ($0.75) Q 3 K 9
Hero checks, BN bets $0.72, Hero folds
Do you call here? When I played this one I didnt like the 9 because of the straight that gets completed. Also I get crushed by sets he raises on flop. I think he has 33 on the flop, sometimes QQ(most often he probably raises those), but for KK I think almost always he raises those. Can also have KQ. Maybe also has some weird stuff like K3s or Q3s since his stats are very fishy....

Vs all those hands I am crushed. Also the flop was a 3way pot which means I need to pay attention to his raises even more.
Final Pot BN wins $0.72
Rake is $0.03

April 7, 2019 | 3:44 p.m.

Thank you! :)

April 7, 2019 | 3:36 p.m.

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