Onkleb's avatar

Onkleb

849 points

When to play and how to prepare to your session are highly personal choices imo. Some like to study before playing, some do 1 hour long warmup and some just jump into tables. I noticed that too long / complex warmup doesnt work for me.

So id suggest you try different stuff out and see how it works. If you feel your current warmup is too much, try a lighter version for a month or so and check if that works better.

Jan. 14, 2020 | 4:17 p.m.

Thank you sir! (:

Havent really decided my goals yet. I'll try to map my goals when i get back from my holiday. About blogging im really uncertain. Havent been able to write anything interesting really lately. Also im trying to check my results as little as possible this year, so there isnt even many graphs to post (: . But lets see...

Jan. 13, 2020 | 8:34 a.m.

Comment | Onkleb commented on Mobius Poker Blog

Good post again. Its really nice for reader when writer puts real effort on his posts.

About checking results: Id still avoid random mid month checking as much as possible. Even though you could manage your expectations (which is almost impossible, at least for me) you lower the threshold for checking them again. So one check leads to another and then you notice you are back with your old habits checking them after every session or something like that.

Good way of putting results into perspective is to always check them with bigger sample. So lets say you play 50k hands in one month. Rather than only looking them separate from anything else, check your last 500k hands graph or so and see if your reactions are justified. Usually they arent.

Dec. 21, 2019 | 8:59 a.m.

Thanks. :) Nah im harmless vs regs so nothing to worry.

Dec. 19, 2019 | 8:56 p.m.

Hi guys.

Last two months went quite well. Had pretty descent routines and i was in good place mentally almost all the time. Results werent that impressive but still happy on my overall performance.

But now its time to recap 2019:

STAKES 2019 GRAPH 2019

Whole year went pretty smoothly actually. I really enjoy my new routine for playing one long session in the morning and then taking rest of the day off. Earlier i used to play one session in the morning and another in the evening. It was really hard to get my mind off from poker, so id spend whole day thinking about poker on some degree. But with new routine its easier to clear your mind and fully focus on other stuff after playing. Yea might be that im sacrificing some EV when skipping evening games, but in bigger picture in ready to do that.

About my game; I did end up chaning my strategy quite a bit trough out the year, which you can see from the graph. Lots of calibration back and worth which was quite challenging time to time. Its easy to forget stuff that works when you are trying to develop other part of your game. For ex. i really tried to focus on finding spots where to bluffcatch more. What happened was that i forgot the right solution to most spots, which is to overfold like crazy. But you really cant learn if you dont try stuff out and make mistakes.

About results; All in all in pretty pleased on my results. Sure winrate isnt anything special, but its still descent. Also the swings are actually quite small, which indicates that I might be doing something right on small to medium pots. I managed to pull out pretty good volume for my standards, given that I spend one month totally off from poker and took lots of days off during summer. I felt I had the more balance between poker and other life that I have had in many years.

So lets check how i did on my goals for this year (from my first post):

No something concrete:
550k hands [check]
Most of the volume @ 200z [some nl2 in mix but check]
Keep mind open for moving up and/or playing regular tables at other sites [crushed 500z so check. also regtables was a joke i think...]
Winrate goal 4-10bb/100 (around 95% chance w current winrate) [check]
Monetary goal 44k-110k $ (same as above) [check]

So whats next? I dont know. First i take few weeks off on holidays to really reset. Than i start to dig whats the direction i want to take with poker. But well see.

That all for now. Merry christmas and happy new year and gl at fishy December tables.

Toni

Dec. 18, 2019 | 10:01 a.m.

Yea some guys are for sure :D

H5. Quite standard triplebarrelbluff vs unknown one tabler. After this hand i took a note and will never bluff this quy again otr.

Dec. 2, 2019 | 8:05 a.m.

forCarlotta

That script sounds pretty cool. I barely know what scripting is so i have no competence making such a thing. :D Also only places that might reveal my results are cashier when i buy in and active session tab on HM2. So there isnt much to use willpower really.

Dec. 2, 2019 | 8:03 a.m.

PrankCallRiver

In theory, both hands are pure bets. So there has to be an exploitable reason for villains to check.

In order check to be higher EV than bet few things have to be true.

  1. Hero is overfolding massively on boards / runouts like this.
  2. Hero is checkraising balanced range otr making calling a raise with those hands 0EV.

I think those are too big assumptions to make to justify deviating massively from equilibrium.

I think BDFD completing is quite a big concern.

I think this is quite common though process leak. Focusing only on one part of players range and weighting it incorrectly. Like in example hand, sure OOP has flushes but they are only 10% of total range. So 9/10 times OOP doenst have a flush -> so your xb wins around 90% of time.

Sure if you are an excellent note taker and you have really specific reads you can justify a checkback otr. So if you have a read that your villain overfolds massively on flush/bdfd rivers (around 70-80%) AND at the same time checkraises balanced range then fine. If your reasoning for checking back river is "omg, flush hit, he has it, hes going to see i have a set and cr me, i check." then its not enough.

Dec. 2, 2019 | 8 a.m.

Hi guys. Time for another month recap.

But kind of hard to recap much since i decided not to look my result before the year is over. But what i can say is that ive played around 60k hands since last update. So im keeping up with my goal for reaching 100k hands on these last months. Also i managed to play whole month without checking my results or even my stats. Not looking my stats because they might indicate how im running. Also i had bad habit of checking my WTSD, WWSF etc. between sessions to see how im doing.

Pretty crazy to think that its almost the end of 2019. 13 playing days and im ready to wrap-up this year. Im pretty confident im able to book another solid year, unless something crazy happens on these last few days. But more on that later, lets first finish this year strong.

Since i have no graphs to share lets end with few funny hands:

1 No respect

2 Regs like to raise thin

3 And valuebet

4 And again. This guy is even a winning player as far as i know

5 But i do know my valubets

Thats all for now, have a great weekend :D

Nov. 28, 2019 | 1:56 p.m.

Good question. One big reason is that 500z runs pretty seldom when i play. Also wasnt feeling that confident and ready mentally to play there last month. And playing there isnt the top thing on my goal/priority list.

Nov. 1, 2019 | 6:38 p.m.

Few days off from poker really helped. Feeling really refreshed mentally. Only two month left for 2019, so my goals for rest of the year

  • Volume: 100k hands. A bit low for two months, but im going to take long break on Christmas
  • Stakes: Mostly 200z, 500z when pool is good and im confident in playing there
  • Results: Somewhere between breakeven and 13bb/100

Other goals:
- Meditate every day
- Check results first time after last session for 2019

Thats enough to get things started. Lets hope i can finnish 2019 strong and book a solid year. Gl.

Oct. 31, 2019 | 2:35 p.m.

Nah im exactly like you with this one. No need for checking results if im winning, but if i lose and even worse make mistakes suddenly urge to look is way bigger.

For that i think we both should look deeper why thats the case. So reflection, writing stuff out and meditation seem good places to start.

Oct. 28, 2019 | 2 p.m.

Thank you sir. (:

Just looked my results for this year and i have one breakeven month and longest breakeven stretch is 100k hands. But all in all variance has been pretty kind to me. Also i think my playing style and big edge vs funplayers helps to reduce variance.

Well i have to agree with their description. :D But seriously, my poker philosophy is trying to seek spots where i can exploit as much as possible. Of course im wrong quite often, and when i get "caught" it looks stupid as hell. But as long as my plays work vs majority of the pool im happy. Even if streaming regulars think im bad and spewy, i think im able to live with that.

Quick tips, hide all your results as well as you can. Delete results stat from HM2, hide cashier, filter all stats for wrong month etc etc. Start with small steps. If you are type that checks results after every 5bb+ pot, try first to play whole session without looking and see how you feel after that. Then slowly work to increase length you are able to do. And notice how it makes you feel.

In bigger picture, try to change your perspective as long term as you possibly can. How does your next 1 million hands look like and how big impact this session has on that. When you think in really long term your mistakes, lost pots and variance doesnt feel so big and relevant. This is the part ive been struggling with lately. In the moment your playing and making decisions its super easy to forget big picture and put huge weight on individual hand or action.

I have no idea if i even answered your question.. :D

Oct. 28, 2019 | 1:24 p.m.

Ok time to wrap up yet another month: GRAPH STAKES

Really swingy month overall. But still managed to catch some rungood and end up in positive. I might play few more days this month, depending how i feel. Im not burnt out or anything like that, just really really tired and mentally not the best. Doing stuff like checking results and really focusing on short term results. Ive been neglecting mental game study and meditation, which of course affect in a negative way. Also autumm has a big effect on overall energy levels, since its total darkness and rain 24/7.

But on the bright side, good volume, positive month, beer in fridge. Happy days.

Oct. 27, 2019 | 6:52 p.m.

Tough month so far. Playing ok but just getting destroyed in close spots. Probably just variance but still not super fun. On positive side ive played almost 30k hands already, which is huge for me. Seems like im still on track reaching my yearly volume goal of 550k hands.

Also i finally got really into mass data analysis. Yea i have had knowledge on most common spots already, but i havent really done proper study on that subject myself. Also i think its useful to do this stuff yourself. Easier to integrate when you have seen actual numbers yourself, rather than someone tells you about a certain spot.

Oct. 12, 2019 | 12:56 p.m.

I have H2N subscription and its way faster with hand importing and everything else. Actually i should create a hud to H2N and start only use that.

Oct. 4, 2019 | 4:16 p.m.

I agree with most what he wrote. No point in grinding zoom with few bb/100 wr playing 100k+ hands / month and not studying at all. But there isnt of course anything special in fast poker formats that make them less beatable than any other poker format.

Oct. 4, 2019 | 11:58 a.m.

I havent noticed anything. But i dont really poolselect anymore in 200z, i just play my hours. About 500z cant really say much, since it runs so poorly on my hours + ive been playing under 10k hands there :D

Oct. 4, 2019 | 7:37 a.m.

jm88

Basically what other posters said about table selecting. Try stuff out and see what works for you. Im totally biased to zoom since ive been playing it since it launched on FTP.

Oct. 4, 2019 | 7:35 a.m.

jm88 Pretty much what zinhao said. I played 100z in 2017-2018 with over 30vpip and my winrate was around 8bb/100. If id had to play lets say nl25 i would play looser than i play now, not tighter. That because my assumption is that average nl25 player has a bit more leaks than nl200 player, so im able to make more hands +EV.

Oct. 2, 2019 | 6:03 a.m.

jm88

Thanks. (:

I just play every hand that i think is +EV for me to play. I dont know how to assess which +EV open hands are more just better to fold in order to save x seconds. Also i dont think playing few VPIP% tighter would give me that much more hands/h. But in bigger picture could be that id get a bit better hourly like for ex. 8 tabling zoom (4x200z + 4x100z), but i truly think playing fewer tables and really focused is better way long term.

I think that kind of mindset where you start to pass on small +EV opportunities to save time, reduce variance or just to pure laziness is very very dangerous. I might start as a ok adjustment, but how do know when to stop? Because a lot of spots in poker are quite close, so passing on all of them will turn you to huge nit which will bleed a lot of bbs to more aware and active opponents.

Also treating pfranges, as any other part in poker as static is just stupid in my opinion.

Simple example. You have 4 different player profiles opening BTN:
1. Tight passive fit-or-fold funplayer
2. Very loose, spashly funplayer
3. Weak regular who has massive leaks on simple postflop spots
4. Linuslove (or who is good nowadays in poker idk)

How does your preflop range look vs these individual profiles? If your answer is i just play solver ranges because they are perfect then...

Oct. 1, 2019 | 7:09 a.m.

dizelup

Haha maybe some day ... ;)

Oct. 1, 2019 | 6:39 a.m.

September: STAKES GRAPH . Had to use H2N since it seems to work with stars cashout hands.

Good volume for my standards. Was able to play my first sessions at 500z and i actually played pretty well there. Felt confident and followed my gameplan. Results for the month arent great, but still ok and taking monthly variance into consideration nothing to worry about. So i should be pleased and confident moving on.

But my first feelings when i looked my results were disappointed and doubtful on my game. Reason for that was that i thought i did better results wise. I felt that id be close to 5 figure month, so when i saw my results i didnt win 4,5k this month but lost around 5k according to my mental bookkeeping. So my expectations were way too high and ended up effecting me negatively, even though everything is actually going really well. So if you are anything like me, really try to notice your expectations and manage them.

Sept. 30, 2019 | 8:57 a.m.

Welcome back to poker and good luck !

Sept. 24, 2019 | 7:44 a.m.

G0LD3NF1SH

Yea ive read/heard about the benefits for exercising first thing in the morning. Thats something i should test out and see how it works for me. Now my warmup routine for morning sessions is wake up -> 2cups of coffee + breakfast -> random rio videos for 5-10mins -> to tables.

Ive been trying out a lot of different warmup routines in past years from really long and detailed ones to basically just firing up tables immediately. Surprisingly very modest / simple warmup seems to suit me better than very long and detailed one. I noticed that when i did long warmups i build up a lot of pressure for the session. So i ended up trying too much at tables and therefore played poorly.

What im trying to say that its important to try out different things and understand that what works for one doesnt necessary work for another. But if you have some habit/action which is highly suggested by a lot of successful people and research its just arrogant to not try it out.

Sept. 16, 2019 | 10:27 a.m.

Comment | Onkleb commented on Mobius Poker Blog

I think bluffcatching is good example of this. You call a bet and lose way more often than you win. Your unconscious mind registers that you lose way more often than you win - > "they always have it, i start folding".

Really only way to work past these biases is to see actual data.

Sept. 12, 2019 | 12:34 p.m.

Actually i think i had around 100k hands be strecth at start of 2019. But yea been running extremely hot these last months, but thats part of the game

Sept. 3, 2019 | 6:33 p.m.

Rough estimate, i say around 20% of regs try to counter my strategy somehow. From all regs id say 5% do it intelligently and others do it poorly.

Imo the trend in these past years has been to mostly focus on your own "GTO" strategy and not really care about what other players do. Sure having solid theory foundation is important, but that doesnt mean that you have to try mimic piosolver betsizes and frequencies in every node. What i think is more important is trying to understand what factors create the equilibrium strategy and how solvers strategy changes when opponent isnt playing perfectly. For that nodelock function is your best friend.

I do have blueprint strategies for many really common spots that i follow quite rigidly. But i do follow my intuition and feel a lot, especially when im playing my a-game. Its probably illegal to say that in 2019, but i truly believe there is unconscious pattern recognition and knowledge that you can access when your playing your best and have played and studied the game a lot.

Sept. 1, 2019 | 7:15 a.m.

Another month in books : STAKES GRAPH

I took almost 2weeks off and had only few days time to play. Ran pretty poorly at the end of the month, but still really hard to complain.

Now i have to start preparing mentally for 500z , especially to the swings. Im somewhat confident that im able to do well there, as long as i keep doing my own thing and not let variance affect my play. Im probably going to do some table selection and maybe mix stakes. All in all i hope to get descent volume at 500z before end of the year.

Aug. 31, 2019 | 12:10 p.m.

Comment | Onkleb commented on Mobius Poker Blog

Great stuff. I appreciate how you really put time and effort in your posts.

Aug. 23, 2019 | 1:35 p.m.

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