PoeticEconomist's avatar

PoeticEconomist

6 points

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.76 (Hero)
SB: $7.32
BB: $10.73
UTG: $1.77
MP: $6.26
CO: $23.39
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with A A
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20
I had about 50 hands on this player. He appeared to be a tight reg (V/PFR%= 18/12, 0% 3B), although I saw no showdowns to confirm his tendencies. He was folding 10 out of 13 times to late steals, so I gave him just a slightly tighter defend range in the preflop range analysis.
Flop ($0.65) 6 Q T
BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BB calls $0.20
In game, I think I did realize flush draw flops typically help the BB range, but not enough that he had the range advantage because this is Q high and not super connected.

In game, for the nut advantage, I’d say he has more flushes in general.

In game, I bet small because we don't have enough of a nut advantage to support a big size, and we have so much equity with our hand. Furthermore, I think opponents will over defend with any diamond, so we are in great shape with Adx.
Turn ($1.05) 6 Q T J
BB bets $1.01, Hero calls $1.01
Straight completes BB Donks Turn 100% pot. I think when players donk like this, it's heavily weighted towards value, and they're unbalanced. I put him on 98 since he may 3B AK, and we block AK as well.

In game, by this point I forget to include K9 and flushes that made it on the flop. At the same time, I'm not sure why players would donk with their flushes on the turn.
River ($3.07) 6 Q T J 5
BB bets $2.95, Hero calls $2.95
He c-bets 100% pot. In game, I think he has 98 based on the way he donked turn.

Analyzing, realize I block the A high straight, but I don’t think he would have AK in his calling range from the BB anyway.

It's a confusing spot to me, because Ad blocks his nut flushes that would be happy to go for value on this board of course.

However, it also blocks his potential bluffing range, which would include a single Ad.

With the line he takes, I don't think he donks turn with flushs, and would let me c-bet turn again if he did have a strong flush, so I think that is why in-game I made the call here. I figured he had either 98, which would just be a 16 combos that beats more, or he could be value-betting himself with a worse pair, or turning air into a bluff.

In my post-hand analysis below, I come to a different conclusion.

Jan. 28, 2023 | 8:56 p.m.

Hello!

I'd like to join to discuss hands and poker strategy. I'm a micro player, serious about improving. I've been playing NL for 3 years total, switching between cash and tournaments in the past. I only played cash for the 1st year where I was about breakeven at 5NL. I'm net positive lifetime, all my profits are from tournaments such as Hypers 6s and turbo SNG MTTs.

I'm looking to refocus on cash and the fundamentals now. I've bought FTG, it'd be great to chat about this as well and analyzing hand histories with FlopZilla and Equilab (I have both).

My name on discord is MoreLuckPlease#9291.

Thanks!

Jan. 28, 2023 | 4:30 p.m.

Thank you! The observation about thinking of my range rather than my hand if very helpful. I appreciate you drawing my attention to a bad habit. Also, good to understand that spending too much time on bet-size on the flop is trivial in terms of EV.

In consideration of bad habits, I think if I am playing poker with a clear mind or on an upswing, I'm trying to make decisions based on my approximate understanding of what is a good theoretical poker framework.

However, if I've had losing sessions recently or I'm in the middle of a losing session, I think I have a tendency to forego this framework, and make whatever decision that I think would be the most EV against the pool, or what would be best to exploit Villain.

Jan. 23, 2023 | 6:13 p.m.

Another consideration is x-ing flop and allowing Villain to blast off turn and river if he has a flush draw, or it turns out he is an Aggressive Recreational player.

In this case, I can call the turn against most normal bet sizes, then fold against some bigger bet sizes on the river. Maybe I'd fold to half pot or greater? This would be good because many people with flush draws give up on the river when they miss their flush.

Jan. 23, 2023 | 12:55 p.m.

Got it, thanks for explaining the two different matrixes and clarifying that betting the river would be too thin.

Jan. 23, 2023 | 12:50 p.m.

I really like your point about opening 3x, I'm going to switch to 3x, and make sure I'm not opening too wide from some positions early.

That's an interesting point that even to a weaker player with 74s, most players will be calling along with other marginal made hands that we are big favorites against.

Jan. 23, 2023 | 12:48 p.m.

Thanks for your help and letting me know my range construction for SB is decent.

When you say the blue grid is the SB calling range on Iggy, I'm not familiar with H2N matrixes. What do the variations of the blue colors as well as numbers mean?

I think I see what you mean by runout by the river being bad for triple barreling for value with such a low pair, pretty standard.

Afterall, there could still be some Kx off that called flop, turn, and river, and even some of the draws that were called flop and turn could be a pair of 6s or 8s by the river, so betting would result in us value betting ourselve.

Jan. 22, 2023 | 6:19 p.m.

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (5 Players) BN: $10.00 (Hero)
SB: $10.05
BB: $10.56
UTG: $9.60
CO: $6.99
SB is an unknown player.
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with A 5
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, SB calls $0.20, BB folds
Since Villain cold called from the SB, I think, in this pool, that it's likely he is one of the weak players with the tendencies: High VPIP / Sticky / Passive.
Flop ($0.60) 5 3 K
SB checks, Hero bets $0.28, SB calls $0.28
Taking a look in Power-Equilab, I'm conflicted between betting medium size or large on the flop for value with a strong hand like this (mid pair+nut flush draw), or c-betting small simply because I'm in position against a capped range. The idea behind sizing up to my 75%, is it would be a good exploit against the pool where players tend to be sticky.
Turn ($1.16) 5 3 K 6
SB checks, Hero bets $0.73, SB calls $0.73
Here I'm slightly concerned about who has the nut advantage, as villain likely has 74s that he could have called from the SB. I think that he has the nut advantage, do I have this right?
River ($2.62) 5 3 K 6 8
SB checks, Hero checks
I'm pretty sure it's too thin to bet here. 3x may fold, and I may just be value betting myself when he calls with 6x, 8x, or the pocket pairs such as 77 or 99.
Final Pot BN wins $2.49
Rake is $0.13

Jan. 22, 2023 | 4:09 p.m.

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