Hi Patrick, nice video as always :)
How do you decide which size you want to use to simplify your strategy?
The KJ5s board is the 2nd highest using a potsizebet, but overall the 1/3 is still preferred here (in terms of frequency).
Do you just go through every sizing with a different sim and look at the highest EV sizing or do you choose the sizing with your intuition?
April 10, 2020 | 5:37 a.m.
In this Spot I don't really understand the results of the solver I use.
SB-3bet vs BTN: AA-66,AKs-A7s,A5s-A4s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s,T9s,AKo-AJo,KQo,[50.0]55,T8s,98s,ATo,KJo[/50.0],[25.0]44,87s,76s,65s,54s[/25.0]
BTN Call: 77-22,AQs-A9s,A5s-A2s,KQs-KTs,K8s,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s-T8s,97s,87s-86s,76s-75s,65s-64s,54s,[90.0]99-88,A8s-A6s,K9s,Q9s,J9s,98s,AQo,KQo[/90.0],[75.0]JJ-TT,K7s,AKo[/75.0],[50.0]QQ,AJo,KJo[/50.0],[25.0]K6s,Q8s,J8s,T7s,96s,53s,ATo,QJo[/25.0]
SB has around 55% Equity and around 35% Toppair+ so a very strong Range, I believe.
BTN has only 26% Toppair+ but a lot of weak Hands which completely missed (~ 30%).
I would expect the solver to use a small size with a high frequency. Folding out a lot if BTN's air while also getting some protection and value with his marginal hands such as A3 or TT. However in my sim the solver only cbets around 20%. Sure the board is not as good as A72r because BTN has more Hands which connect with the board, especially low suited connectors, but BTN also has more air like T8 etc.
Once the SB checks BTN stabbs around 33% with a bigger sizing, which makes sense because SB's Range is well protected.
So how come the solver checks so frequently although we have quite a decent Range advantage. In practice I see a lot of players differ from that and expecting to see a lot more cbetting. How would you exploit that?
April 4, 2020 | 9:58 a.m.
This is a topic which I haven't seen discussed extensively, but I always have this question in my mind when using a solver.
So basically my question is to what degree are strategies on an earlier street influenced by a finite number of bet and raise sizing options on later streets, and is this a concern while studying flop and/or Turn betsize strategies?
So for example we let the solver use three sizings on the flop (small, big and overbet) but limit the options on the turn/river to only two or one options to reduce complexity of the tree. If we have the nuts on the flop and we can use a small or big size, I suppose a big size is used more often if there is no option of very big bets on the turn and river.
Is this assumption correct and if yes, do we risk getting completey inaccurate results of our flop strategy if we simplify the tree too much?
March 25, 2020 | 8:27 a.m.
Hi Peter, nice video as always. Could you upload Villain's cbet strategy on the KT4 Flop? I wonder if 1/3 is really the preferred sizing here because Villain can easily defend all of his Pairs, Gutshots etc. against that size. Maybe my preflop ranges are bad but on flops like this I usually see the solver betting quite big at least with some frequency.
March 5, 2020 | 9:48 p.m.
CO: $16.00 (Hero)
Feb. 12, 2020 | 10:48 a.m.
BB: $16.20 (Hero)
Rake is $0.23
Feb. 12, 2020 | 10:40 a.m.
MP: $27.55 (Hero)
Jan. 31, 2020 | 2:43 p.m.
I was responsing to DNegs98's comment, sorry for the confusion :D
So basically you start with a specific flop, think about your strategy and then slightly change the parameters to see how that influences your strategy, right?
Jan. 10, 2020 | 4:08 p.m.
Good explanation! Do you have a recommendation for a systematic approach developing your strategy in a given situation using solvers? Do you pick random flops and analyze your cbet on the flop and then go on to the next flop or do you cover different turns and rivers for a specific flop first? I find it hard to draw general conclusions from solver outputs because situations always change and I don't know how to generare more generic answers for my questions which can be applied to other situations as well .
Jan. 10, 2020 | 10:53 a.m.
MP: $17.23 (Hero)
Rake is $0.31
Jan. 5, 2020 | 11:22 a.m.
MP: $18.48 (Hero)
Jan. 4, 2020 | 8:21 p.m.
Thanks for your detailed answer.
"while you want to be checking your flushdraws at a pretty high frequency and similarly your straight draws do a lot of checking here although this is based on the fact that you're going to be checking a lot of your strongest overpairs, trips and boats expecting to face aggression from villain which may be untrue in practise."
Do you mix your overpairs on the turn between betting and checking? Is your plan to checkraise with them?
"I think the reason that we typically do a lot of checking with flush and straight draws is because they can raise when they hit their outs, don't tend to "gain outs" by betting and have equity vs the nuts when we x/r them and get called"
What do you mean with the first sentence here? They can raise when we Check the Turn Villain checks behind and we x/r the river?
Jan. 4, 2020 | 8:33 a.m.
BB: $18.48 (Hero)
Jan. 4, 2020 | 6:59 a.m.
SB: $20.66 (Hero)
Jan. 4, 2020 | 6:54 a.m.
Well sure, given we play microstakes we usually want to deviate from equilibirum, but I want to understand those spots from a theoretical perspective first and then change my strategy accordingly.
With 55s, 66s, 77s you mean having a spade? Do you think it is relevant here since Villain shouldn't have a Flush?
Dec. 20, 2019 | 12:59 p.m.
BB: $16.00 (Hero)
Dec. 20, 2019 | 11 a.m.
BB: $16.24 (Hero)
Dec. 20, 2019 | 10:55 a.m.
MP: $16.85 (Hero)
Dec. 17, 2019 | 8:04 a.m.
SB: $16.67 (Hero)
Dec. 17, 2019 | 7:52 a.m.
do you think it is possible to move up to mid-high stakes while working at a regular job at the same time? What do you think is a realistic number for hours/day necessary to play and study (let's say for slightly above average intelligent people)?
Dec. 16, 2019 | 6:40 a.m.
SB: $18.37 (Hero)
Dec. 14, 2019 | 8:06 p.m.
- Do you think that this also applies if Villian chooses a small sizing? From my experience a lot of players (and coaches) just cbet very wide on the flop with one high and two lowcards. Or is your statement based on the assumption Villain bets > 50% Pot.
Would you flat Preflop Hands like A7s?
Dec. 13, 2019 | 7:52 a.m.
CO: $16.30 (Hero)
Dec. 12, 2019 | 7:48 p.m.
CO: $16.00 (Hero)
Dec. 12, 2019 | 11:59 a.m.
MP: $11.16 (Hero)
Rake is $0.18
Oct. 18, 2019 | 8:28 p.m.
BB: $5.11 (Hero)
Sept. 23, 2019 | 8:46 a.m.
BB: $5.76 (Hero)
BB wins $2.01
Rake is $0.09
Sept. 22, 2019 | 4:26 p.m.
Thanks for your replies guys.
I think the best reasons for 3betting everything preflop are rake and uncapping your range which much easier to play. Limiting your hands to SCs and weaker Broadways preflop is quite difficult to play.
Also I think If we only bet our Pairs and Flushdraws on this texture we end up with too little bluffs and villain should just overfold and we don't get paid with our stronger hands. If you think about it AK betting with a small sizing is almost a valuebet.
Sept. 20, 2019 | 5:37 a.m.
At the moment I usually play 3bet or fold preflop when there is no good reason to coldcall. So I'll have a lot of Broadways, but also a few SCs like 98s,87s etc.
After betting the Turn would you triple barrel? What other Hands are good candidates to bluff here? My guess is all the hands which unblock Flushdraws and which block his middle PP like 99-JJ.