160 Players Remaining, 90 make the money.
I have 20BBs in UTG+1 (9 Max Table) and UTG Regular min raises. I have 99. Call or Jam?
I decided to jam. I was on the fence at the time and think both are probably fine. If I was a lot closer to the money, I would call because I think my 20bb stack has more chance of making the money. However 70 players away, I thought that my 20bb stack would definitely need to be somewhat aggressive in order to get close to the money without folding every hand. Thoughts?
July 30, 2020 | 8:40 p.m.
I agree they should be identical when they don't block spades, but their EVs and betting frequencies differ, which is what I am questioning.
May 31, 2020 | 12:27 a.m.
Ok good to know. Thank you
May 29, 2020 | 9:55 p.m.
Sorry, once I wrote 67% and another time 66% by accident, which probably caused some confusion. I am talking about only flop cbettting. I gave MP a 33% size option and a 67% size option on the flop. The solver almost always uses the 67% and rarely the 33% size.
May 29, 2020 | 9:51 p.m.
Monkersolver preflop ranges. I have multiple raise sizes and 3-4 bet sizes on every street after the flop. Flop was only 33% or 67% available (not pot size). OOP can raise 3x and 5x.
May 29, 2020 | 10:53 a.m.
Pot size: 55
Accuracy: .3345% of the pot
EVs: QJs = 10.88 / QJo = 11.03
May 28, 2020 | 10:25 p.m.
I have noticed this trend before, but still can't seem to figure out why (although it seems like I am just overlooking something). For example, in a MP v BB SRP sim on 8s7s3c, MP bets QhJh and QdJd for 66% pot size roughly 25% of the time. However, QhJd and QdJh bet 66% pot size roughly 55% of the time. What is the reason behind the increased betting frequency? Also, in other spots I have noticed the opposite effect for value betting, where off-suit combos value bet at a lower frequency than their seemingly equivalent suited combos.
May 28, 2020 | 12:16 a.m.
How do you adjust when there are weaker players in the blinds at this 12-17BB stack depth. On the one hand, I think they will call open shoves too tight, therefore shoving marginal hands seems more attractive to end the hand right now and more often than it should. However, since they are weaker, limping and playing post flop also seems attractive, since we save our tournament life many times when they wake up with a good hand.
May 12, 2019 | 11:19 p.m.
Say we are 17BB on the BU, and SB/BB also have 17BB, then I will have a limp/jam/some min raise strategy. Should I basically play this same exact strategy if any one of either hero (BU) or the SB/BB have 17 BB (as shortest stack). For instance, if we have 50BB on BU and SB has 17 BB and BB has 40BB, is playing the strategy we would play if everyone had 17BB a reasonable adjustment?
May 6, 2019 | 4:15 a.m.
Was wondering how people construct their ranges playing live in some of these situations (High Stakes Live Poker Setting):
1) Decent losing fun player limps and we are on button: How loose can we iso with 2 passive players behind? How loose with 2 regs behind? How loose if fun player has limp reraise range and isn't a station?
2) Fun player limps, BU iso's to 5x and we are in the blinds. Should we be 3betting actively b/c more dead money or passive to let fun player in? How bad does limper have to be to start calling premium hands? More calling from BB than SB probably? Types of hands to 3bet if developing flatting range?
3) Fun player raises MP and we are in BB and it folds to us. If raise is say 4x, should we call looser than optimal b/c post flop advantage? How bad does opener have to be? What if range is super tight b/c limps anything but premiums, can we still defend loose?
4) Tight fun player 3bets. How much to tighten up IP/OOP?
5) SB vs MP open with passive player in BB. Can we start calling all Axs/9xs/SCs/PPs? What if opener is fun player and BB is reg?
March 13, 2019 | 10:22 a.m.
If you could be the best poker player in any NLHE variant (online tourneys/live tourneys/live cash/online cash) and money was not a limitation, what would be the most profitable direction to go over the next years? My guess is the live super high roller circuit because it allows you to invest the most money, tourneys have so much variance that people will always overestimate their skill, and possibility for alternative income in the form of sponsorships. I don't know anything about the live tourney circuits though so I wanted to get some feedback. Also, as a side question, what are the highest stakes cash games that usually run at the major tournament stops? Thanks
Nov. 22, 2018 | 7:18 a.m.
Running a hand: 5 left at Final Table of MTT. Stacks starting at HJ = 19BB/17BB/25BB/12BB/166BB
I ran the hand in ICMizer looking at the BU shoving range (there is no way to analyze EV differences of shove v min raise in ICMizer right??). BU shoves 12% and SB calls 3%. I ran the hand in HRC with allowing a min raise range and pushing range and HRC says basically only shoving range but shoves 26% and SB calls 24.8%(????). Also, if I change the pushing range in ICMizer to match that in HRC, SB still calls wayyy tighter. I just got HRC so I may be messing up some part of the set up because these results don't seem right. Is this maybe due to the FGS ability in ICMizer? Or why are the results so different? Thanks
May 23, 2018 | 2:23 a.m.
I think its fine to have a "capped" betting range on river as long as we are aware of our range and defend properly against a raise. Also, I think it is more of a problem when we bet like all our ~JT+ on turn because now we can be exploited by being x/raised more often on the turn as well as really exploited after we check back turn because we will have so little to defend with, especially if we are cbetting the flop more polarized/not betting many combos of 77-99.
April 26, 2018 | 2:38 a.m.
Pio generally likes a bigger more polarized sizing when barreling turns on relative blanks.
In a heads up pot, folding any Tx, much less all the Tx would certainly be overfolding. Obviously, being 3 way this changes. Since the BB doesn't close the action he probably gets to fold a little more. However, the UTG player's range is pretty weak compared to what it should be so I am not sure how that would affect the BB's defending burden.
Either way, I did not assume the BB would fold all of his Tx. If I did assume that then I wouldn't be under bluffing.
April 24, 2018 | 11:16 p.m.
Most spots I think we should be betting bigger when turn barreling. Technically, only I know that I am not bluffing enough there and even so don't really see how that would affect our sizing. I am never betting a hand like KT on the turn also so don't think a smaller size is better unless exploitatively people play worse against the small sizing (which I doubt).
April 23, 2018 | 10:45 p.m.
5/10 Live Game. Mostly Fish/Nits/Avg Regs at table.
My image: young solid player. Regs probably assume I bluff way less than what is accurate.
Villain (BB): No reads at all. Assumption was he was an average reg because he was ~30 years old playing 5/10 and mostly likely live professional but only based on appearance/comfort at table.
Fish with wide limping range opens UTG for $40. I have 44 in CO. Not really supposed to have flatting range in any position but BU but with fish behind and very non active squeezers behind, 44 has to be profitable flat. Villain flats in BB.
Flop T42r (~$120)
I bet 2/3 when x'd to and BB calls and UTG calls. BB range prob mostly Tx and straight draws. I don't even know if he would peel 4x/99-55 multiway but probably. UTG range prob super weak b/c no range awareness so all overpairs+ prob out of range except maybe TT and most Tx probably not in range either as these players typically cbet them ~100%.
Turn 6 rainbow (~$280)
I bet $300. BB x/r to 800 and UTG folds. Hero?
No flush draw available means this player probably has 0 bluffs. Can't imagine he's x/raising any 54/43/65/33/55/A5/A3 or really any spaz bluffs. 22 could be in range but he may perceive my range as having 0 bluffs as well on the turn (I am definitely under bluffing this spot) so may not even x/r 22 on turn + may x/r all 22 on flop. 53s should be in his range but honestly don't have a good grasp on avg live regs defend ranges.
I gii b/c I have the 4th nuts and its a fuckin cash game but felt like I was always getting my money in bad and thought I needed some stone cold reads to fold but would like some input. I guess this is more of a population tendency question of if a live avg TAG reg will ever show up with bluffs/worse value enough.
April 23, 2018 | 2:50 a.m.
Agree that the sizing with the T8o seems fishy. Also, you would never really want to bet a value hand with this sizing because you allow villain to get off cheaper when you have him beat and can never fold to a shove given the pot size with value. Therefore, you only get all in when you are behind.
Dec. 9, 2017 | 1:18 a.m.
Just look at what Pio suggests to do in any spot and determine whether or not population will be playing this way and then find the way to adjust to their "deviations"
Dec. 5, 2017 | 1:22 a.m.
I play midstakes online right now but my skill level is much higher than this (using proper/slightly conservative bankroll management). I have studied a shit ton (hundreds/if not 1000+ hours) of Pio and exploitative play based on population deviations from GTO. I am an American 22 year old so looking for someone around my age/american. Just want to be able to talk hands/strategy/population tendencies with (preferably messages). Really looking only for someone that knows they are well ahead of the average reg skill wise. Message me.
Nov. 17, 2017 | 1:07 a.m.
Playing a good reg who is capable of overbetting and i am assuming making some exploitative folds. Never played villain before the limited hands before this though.
I'm dealt 76s
SB opens to $5, Hero 3bet to $20, SB calls.
Flop (~$40): J73r
Hero checks, SB checks,
Turn (~$40): Tr
Hero Checks, SB bets $25, Hero Calls
River (~$90): Q
Hero Checks, SB bets $50, Hero raises all-in to $155
Good bluff? I rep AK decently well and villain can never have AK. Villain pretty much capped at some 2 pairs (not all), some lower straights. He shouldn't show up with many sets if any. I don't think my blockers are that relevant here. What better blocking combos can I use here to bluff?
Oct. 27, 2016 | 11:27 p.m.
I have been wondering how to play spots where our opponent has a range advantage and we are out of position. For example, say MP opens and we 3bet from SB. Flop is 8c7h6c. Assuming we aren't 3betting the sets at a high frequency, and our opponent has all the sets and just as many straights and two pairs if not more, we are at a disadvantage. I think that we are supposed to be checking most of our range on dynamic boards when we don't have a range advantage oop. Given this, how should we be playing our overpairs (AA-QQ). Betting flop will definitely get us in trouble. Check-calling down seems gross and check-raising doesn't seem great either, as our opponent can just continue with better. I don't have Pio so I am wondering how a GTO solver plays these spots. Also, exploitatively for middle/high stakes, is there a more profitable way to play these hands? I would think bet/fold is better vs fish and weaker players, but seems too exploitable vs higher-level regs.
Aug. 29, 2016 | 2:35 a.m.
Yeah, I've definitely watched some videos on it. Basically right now I am inputting my exact hand and then my opponent's assumed range. I then do an EV run and look at the EV for my hand at the given street to see if my action was +EV. Does that seem like an efficient use of the program to analyze hands? Any drawbacks that I am missing?
Aug. 24, 2016 | 2:47 p.m.
I just got Card Runners EV and was wondering what you guys have found as the most productive and efficient way to use the program. I am a complete beginner with the program so not even sure where to start. Thanks