Archer1066's avatar

Archer1066

22 points

I think that's an interesting point DNegs98 I've often toyed with what is a better call OTT here is it a hand like AQ or 99, AQ blocks his value so makes more sense to call seems logical, plus AQ has outs. The issue is if he has some AK then 99 definitely becomes much better to call down. If we have AK in our range though I think this is the nut bluff catcher due to removal and outs, would also prefer this to hero call rivers, although it does chop some of the time but I don't think that outweighs the blocker value.

Jan. 19, 2020 | 9:46 p.m.

In terms of GTO this has to be a call otherwise we're folding way too much of range on the turn. Vs pool I think it's close as BB vs MP tends to be tighter. Vs this specific opponent I think we have to run with it and probably even hero call the river. If he 3bets a lot and is aggro he's probably going to tripple here a lot with an unbalanced range knowing you probably don't have QQ+

Jan. 19, 2020 | 9:42 p.m.

Yeh but the issue here if you never raise dry boards then villan has really profitable bluffs. As soon as you start raising it prevents him realising equity. Not a massive mstake to never raise though, esepcially in a spot that rarely occurs

Jan. 19, 2020 | 9:35 p.m.

Should be raising flop some of the time when he bets small. Otherwise his range bet becomes crazy profitable so Pio raises some of the time here.

As played I think it's fine would be tempted to pure call turn exploitatively as SPR means we can get it in OTR

Jan. 17, 2020 | 11:17 a.m.

Comment | Archer1066 commented on NL 50 BTN vs SB

Pre- I would never 4bet here I think his ranges are too strong and we have to fodl to a 5bet.
Flop: Pretty certain pio raise some of the time for value and protection vs 1/3 and sometimes vs 1/2 pot. I think raising though makes turn and river play tricky to navigate so down with a suboptimal call, unless you study this spot a lot.
Turn: I would protection bet a lot for 1/3 we deny equity from over cards prevent river bluffs. Checking seems fine though.
River: Never a bluff, easy fold. Maybe at 500nl it's a call because they actually balance this bet size.

Jan. 17, 2020 | 10:42 a.m.

Yeah very true, thanks for the feedback man. I guess I was thinking I could fold out enough of his value range but yeah I guess actually the exploit is more simple, just raise value fold this combo. Do you think it's worth hyper polarising an all-in bet though? Then I might get enough fold equity from his value range? IMO QJ can't be called so it becomes a bluffing candidate with better blockers than my 8x combo's so if I bluff shove I like this combo.

Jan. 10, 2020 | 9:40 a.m.

This is consistent, if he under-bluffs river it means he check folds river a ton. Personally I think this is massively under-bluffed on the river but depends on assumptions I guess.

Jan. 9, 2020 | 10:28 p.m.

Hand History | Archer1066 posted in NLHE: 50nl Hero Call vs River All iN?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (5 Players) UTG: $30.89
CO: $50.00
BN: $55.74
SB: $50.00 (Hero)
BB: $56.34
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with A 9
UTG folds, CO checks, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, CO calls $2.00
Flop ($5.50) 2 6 J
Hero bets $3.48, CO calls $3.48
Turn ($12.46) 2 6 J Q
Hero bets $7.89, CO calls $7.89
River ($28.24) 2 6 J Q Q
Hero checks, CO bets $36.13 and is all in, Hero folds
Check as we can win sometimes and blocking bkdr f-draw
Final Pot CO wins $26.83
Rake is $1.41

Jan. 9, 2020 | 10:23 p.m.

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (3 Players) SB: $76.92
BB: $68.07 (Hero)
BN: $50.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BB with J Q
BN folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.00
Think this is mixed strat between raise - prefer raising given pop fold too much and this player looked like he was over cbetting
Flop ($3.00) T 2 8
SB bets $2.28, Hero calls $2.28
Turn ($7.56) T 2 8 T
SB bets $4.31, Hero calls $4.31
Floated, felt villan under bluffs river a ton when the baord pairs as I'm not folding Tx so i can bet river small when he checks and exploit him
River ($16.18) T 2 8 T Q
SB bets $7.72, Hero raises to $22.50, SB calls $14.78
Final Pot BB lost and shows two pair, Queens and Tens.
SB wins and shows three of a kind, Tens.
SB wins $60.43
Rake is $0.75

Jan. 9, 2020 | 4:20 p.m.

Hand History | Archer1066 posted in NLHE: Awkward Flop SPR - multi-way 3bet pot
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $50.00 (Hero)
SB: $46.40
BB: $47.75
UTG: $50.50
MP: $52.54
CO: $53.76
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with Q J
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB calls $1.00, BB raises to $5.50, Hero calls $4.25, SB calls $4.25
Flop ($16.50) T 5 8
SB bets $4.00, BB calls $4.00, Hero raises to $16.50, SB calls $12.50, BB raises to $42.25 and is all in, Hero calls $25.75, SB calls $24.40 and is all in
Turn ($141.90) T 5 8 4
River ($141.90) T 5 8 4 2
Final Pot BN lost and shows high card Queen.
SB lost and shows high card Ace.
BB wins and shows a pair of Queens (pot not awarded as player cashed out).
BB wins $139.90
Rake is $2.00

Jan. 9, 2020 | 2:45 p.m.

Comment | Archer1066 commented on nl100z got weird

Woops lol thanks for pointing it out. Unexpected spot for OOP to lead which usually means he's going to be unbalanced in general, would suggest skew towards almost 100% value here. You have a ton of straights that could check back and he doesn't have any natural bluffs.

I doubt he would do this with Ax when the flush gets there. Our blocker as hero mentioned makes this super sick spot though, with his stats low flushes like 87s seem unlikely.

Although it's super hard for him to have value combo's I think we still just fold because I think this is just never a bluff especially with Villans stats. Seems crazy folding with the blocker though tbh cause he need barely any bluffs for us to call.

Dec. 26, 2019 | 1:10 p.m.

He could be attacking a perceived weak check back range but I just think he's going to be too strong here and unbalanced to value for a 2x pot bet when we look like a Qx or T9 after calling turn pot.

As an exploit you could potentially min raise turn as players are very unlikely to re-raise bluff. So then you have an easy fold OTT and can check back bad rivers or thin value bet

Dec. 25, 2019 | 11:33 a.m.

Comment | Archer1066 commented on nl100z got weird

Seems a spot we could legit just check back, we're super super rarely beat but I just think he's not going to call with worse so we're paying more in rake.

Dec. 25, 2019 | 11:26 a.m.

Hand History | Archer1066 posted in NLHE: 50z
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $28.59
SB: $50.50
BB: $45.40
UTG: $70.38
MP: $50.00 (Hero)
CO: $11.88
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is MP with 3 3
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, SB calls $1.00, BB folds
Flop ($3.00) 7 3 8
SB checks, Hero bets $2.14, SB calls $2.14
Turn ($7.28) 7 3 8 7
SB checks, Hero bets $8.00, SB folds
Final Pot MP wins $6.92
Rake is $0.36

Dec. 23, 2019 | 11 p.m.

I prefer larger turn sizing too, ont eh river you need to get this in, more AK than slow played AA or KK's for sure.

Dec. 23, 2019 | 10:32 p.m.

OTF: I think we can bet range here it's not really doing much for either player and we have range and positional advantage.
OTT: As played I like the call
OTR: I think calling is marginal maybe slightly losing. I like the you can definitely rep some slow played hands and I don't think pool will hero enough here (dependant on payer, would wan to see his vpip pfr).

On your EV calclations I would calc just for the river. So Ev of fold would = 0 for example

Dec. 23, 2019 | 10:29 p.m.

good that your looking out for this stuff, so many people incorrectly don't report bots (I work for one of the largest poker sites and player reports help a lot). This particular case I wouldn't be too alarmed over a small sample but for sure if you see a few players with identical stats its a good chance its a botting circle.

Dec. 23, 2019 | 10:20 p.m.

for me I used A2s-A9s and AA, KK and 0.5QQ. For him i gave him QQ,KK, JJ and 0.5AA and AQ,AK. So i feel I gave him a pretty strong range here.

Dec. 23, 2019 | 1:41 p.m.

Pio likes to go big here (almost the only sizing), we make the most with a polarised overbet as his range is strong and the board misses him giving us range advantage. But maybe we can exploitatively bet smaller to get more fold equity on the river?

As you say my blockers aren't great, I figured villan could fold QQ,KK here though so decided to over bluff the spot. What do you think to how pool play this deep? I think I'm folding QQ on the river for 300bb stack depth, possibly even KK and calling all my AA.

Dec. 23, 2019 | 10:52 a.m.

Pio is choosing the overbet size over all other sizes on the flop. Maybe deviating is best from the comments, or are we all mistakenly thinking the GTO line is to bet smaller?

Dec. 23, 2019 | 10:43 a.m.

Hand History | Archer1066 posted in NLHE: 50nl vs 2x overbet
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $111.32 (Hero)
SB: $34.87
BB: $138.54
UTG: $403.68
MP: $55.12
CO: $67.40
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with 6 8
2 folds, CO raises to $1.13, Hero calls $1.13, SB calls $0.88, BB folds
Flop ($3.89) 7 4 5
SB checks, CO bets $1.92, Hero calls $1.92, SB folds
Turn ($7.73) 7 4 5 4
CO bets $7.19, Hero calls $7.19
River ($22.11) 7 4 5 4 T
CO bets $57.16 and is all in, Hero calls $57.16
Final Pot CO wins and shows a full house, Fives full of Fours.
BN lost and shows a straight, Four to Eight.
CO wins $134.43
Rake is $2.00

Dec. 22, 2019 | 9:16 p.m.

Hand History | Archer1066 posted in NLHE: 50nl 600bb pot - Exploitative bet size?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $221.09 (Hero)
SB: $156.49
BB: $25.53
UTG: $69.56
MP: $50.00
CO: $53.33
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with 9 A
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB raises to $6.00, BB folds, Hero raises to $15.00, SB calls $9.00
Flop ($30.50) 5 8 5
SB checks, Hero bets $34.00, SB calls $34.00
Turn ($98.50) 5 8 5 8
SB checks, Hero bets $38.50, SB calls $38.50
River ($175.50) 5 8 5 8 2
SB checks, Hero bets $115.67, SB calls $68.99 and is all in
Final Pot SB wins and shows two pair, Queens and Eights.
BN lost and shows two pair, Eights and Fives.
SB wins $311.48
Rake is $2.00

Dec. 22, 2019 | 9:10 p.m.

Turned out I was stopping the sim too early, school boy error. thanks guys

Dec. 22, 2019 | 9 p.m.

When eh checks riv, he's going to have a pretty capped range. I would therefore ebt to get value from worse kx and second pairs.

Dec. 21, 2019 | 7:17 p.m.

So when I ran a pio sim with 2 betting options to EV was 45. Then when I added a 3rd option the EV dropepd to 43.

So in affect pio choose a less optimal strategy when it had even more options to make a better strategy.
Anyone know why this is happening, guessing it's some weird setting or something maybe?

Dec. 21, 2019 | 6:21 p.m.

I would bet 1/2 pot to get calls from Ax and sets. Any bigger I think we just get a ton of folds here.

Dec. 21, 2019 | 1:38 p.m.

I think playing 3 streets will make you more, keeping in his weaker wide range like some weak pp, Ax weak kx. Often on the river he can then make a hero because he's priced in.

Dec. 21, 2019 | 11:37 a.m.

First of all I don't think your spewing by taking an aggro line, population over fold so well thought out aggro plays are good in general and it's good to then get feedback later.

We can definately raise the flop at some frequency, we have QQ in our flatting range and 55 and AQ. As played call is fine.

OTT: I think a raise is good not many players have bluffs here, i think you can definately get some Ax to start folding. PIO actually folded KsJs if he bets a lot fo combo's like KQo OTF but I don't think population have much Qx here other than fh's+

OTR: I like the jam I think we can expect AK to fold, some low flush draws too.We need to balance our range too and I don't see too many natural bluffs here. Plus population are gonan over fold here than over call so we want to be imbalanced to bluffs if anything

Dec. 20, 2019 | 5:17 p.m.

Ran a pio sim, mixed strat mostly calling. However pio defended the raise a lot wider than I would expect a reg e.g. defends all 77 with a spade and some Tx without a spade. Think this means it's a great spot to raise as a bluff but more polarised than 2 pair for value IMO.

Dec. 20, 2019 | 4:52 p.m.

Pre does SB have any 4bet folds here? If not just jam I think is exploitatively the best play. As played I think population are hugely imbalanced once they check twice to KK or JJ, maybe some AK. Therefore I like the turn sizing, river we might be better off betting say 1/6th pot to get a hero from that range. It's higher higher EV if it gets called 3x more often than a half pot bet. Personally I think the EV of the two sizings similar.

If you're thinking even AK will fold here then the smaller sizing for sure and you should also bluff everything else like KK, JJ etc

Dec. 20, 2019 | 4:37 p.m.

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