Butcher1848's avatar


61 points

Good luck with that! I think showing weekly results is a good way.

May 11, 2023 | 8:40 a.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on Hard Work Pays Off

Congrats, Its a nice improvement in 3 years!

Very impressive because your hands were played on GG. 4bb on Reg Tables with like 12bb/100 is pretty good imo.

Whats the reason for playing on GG? Regulations in your country?

June 23, 2022 | 3:33 p.m.

Yeah, when we win the pot then usually we dont pay rake. The exception is GG where you still pay rake when you 3-Bet preflop. One of the reasons why we are playing a linear 3-Bet range ip is that we dont have a flatting range. Because the rake is quite high that having a flatting range is -ev for some of the hands that would like to flat.

June 12, 2022 | 6:10 p.m.

Checking back a strong range happens quite often in spots when your opponent is using overbets ott.
Do you think your opponents are putting so much pressure on your „capped“ range?

June 11, 2022 | 10:12 p.m.

First of all. Good luck with your goal!

I think the biggest difference between low and higher stakes is that you should avoid to pay rake. This incentives less flatting and more 3-betting to avoid the rake. Not possible on gg due to preflop rake. Still you can 3-bet over 10% on average, because the pool is especially oop too tight with 4-betting + they calling too much. Therefore the hands that get mixed in for example nl100 preflop solutions can used pure as an exploit because the equity realization is very good because we will see way too often the showdown compared to „gto“ players.

June 11, 2022 | 10:02 p.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on Anonymous 50kish

Enjoy the time with your kids and your family. Its more valuable than any other thing in the world.

June 9, 2022 | 4:45 a.m.

Even with hiding the screen names then the regs can still figure it out the screen name imo. The risk of revealing the screen name is too big when playing a very exploitive approach therefore I can totally understand and makes sense especially when you play on limits where the player pool is quite small.

June 6, 2022 | 4:48 p.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on Anonymous 50kish

oops didnt want to delete my message :D I can understand this with the family and the limited time!
A4s: In a solver i guess its a low frequency bluff otr. I believe its usual a good bluff vs the pool, but not versus this opponent :D

KJs: fully agree here, river its unfortunately a x/f. What was your reasoning for shoving?

AKo: thats the "problem" with zone. vs a reg its almost always a fold but this guy was clears a whale. I guess flop is like low to mid frequency cbet. Havent studied 4bp in depth.

June 5, 2022 | 4:44 p.m.

The more of a beginner you are, the less tables you should play. In the beginning you will need to learn the spots that happens very frequent. When you have the understanding that you dont have to think about every little decision then you are on the right path. I think in the long run playing between 4-6 tables is the sweet spot for many players.

Regarding Bankroll Management. Depends on many factors. Which games do you play? Which site? How good are you? Do you have a decent sample with a win rate?
Again if you are a beginner then i would use a more conservative approach by having like 40-50 buy ins.

June 5, 2022 | 12:44 p.m.

Max Lacerda What do you think are the main advantages of using the trainer of GTO Wizard compared to PIO Solver 2? I personally like to use the trainer in PIO. I guess the main advantages are the solved flops in GTOW?! Is there otherwise any huge difference in both trainers?

June 5, 2022 | 12:06 p.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on Anonymous 50kish

For sure that helps a lot to see the hole cards. Therefore a smaller sample is fine than usual. Maybe try to find other players that are playing on Ignition and do a mda together with your databases. The more hands the better.

June 2, 2022 | 6:14 p.m.

You can save a lot of money in the longrun by having PIO2 + a good cpu. The advantage of PIO is that you can nodelock which helps you to understand deviations from the "GTO" solution. When you dont have ranges, then you can use the gto wizard ranges. You can view them even withouth a subscription.
You dont need to buy ranges which costs hundreds of dollars!

June 2, 2022 | 6:01 p.m.

Thats a misconception that a micro/low stakes pool is overcalling. In some spots that is true like in BB vs EP spots. Most of the time this pool is massively overfolding to aggression, especially in broken lines but even in non broken lines.
On the opposite when you face aggression you have to overfold in non broken lines.

June 2, 2022 | 5:56 p.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on Anonymous 50kish

MDA is very usefull, but looking on a 150 sample is just not enough and very dangerous imo. You need at least a reg and a recreational alias. The smaller the sample the earlier of the street you can have a look.
You can start by making some preflop adaptions imo like rfi way more than in "GTO".
Overfolding to 3bets bvb etc.
I dont know how big of sample you have. Very likely you can see some pool leaks on the flop but you have to be carefull because your sampe will be very low i guess.
Watch videos from Max Lacijerda, Saulo here. They have a deep understanding of MDA.

June 2, 2022 | 10:59 a.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on 200NL

If you have a H2N subscription then i would create an alias for the regs and then go to the filter and see how these players are playing on reg only tables You find this under reports and then Number of fishes. You will see that they will have a loosing wr on tables without a fish. Something like -3 to -6bb i would estimate. Very often we overestimate our edge even vs "bad" regs. When you arent hyper exploiting them in every spot then i dont think you will have a positive winrate vs them. And the rake is still quite high for reg batteling on NL200 imo.

May 11, 2022 | 12:25 p.m.

In anonymous pools you can use every little pool leak and do a hard exploit. Like HawksWin wrote i would always advice to play regular tables. You shouldnt focus on volume, you have to put the focus into your development as a player. Find an approach that fits to you and then go for it.

And Bovada is super beatable. Also every other site is beatable. Maybe not GG because of the insane rake and when you are missing some soft skills there then you wont be winning there.

May 11, 2022 | 12:19 p.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on Hard Work Pays Off

I like your posts about all the variance. Posting graphs is more like an ego thing imo. Either you want to get this admirable response or someone who gives you some nice words that you dont feel so miserable anymore.
Its not bad imo, to get responses that you feel kind of motivated. The main focus shouldnt be anyway on results, but the problem thats the only thing in poker where you have some black or white.
I see it very often in my game after a loosing session that i feel sometimes bad. After a few minutes i recognize that its just the wrong way to have this point of view.

What helped me in the past was having a "big" bankroll where the swings doesnt care at all to me. Problem is when we play Nl25/50/100... that we want to move up in stakes and therefore we should be kind of aggressive with our brm.

You mentioned its tough for you to find someone where you can talk about strategies etc and you dislike the "GTO" players. Having a group of different approaches can be nice mix where everyone have their advantages to improve. Focussing only into one direction is maybe not the best way to go in the longrun?! I personal like this "Hybrid" approach where you combine both strategies.

Do you do a lot of Population Research in H2N, or what is your main focus to improve in this game?

May 11, 2022 | 12:14 p.m.

Sept. 28, 2016 | 6:16 a.m.

Javier great video. Could you please write down the rng formula for starshelper? Thx

Sept. 25, 2016 | 6:43 a.m.

Its probably the tool StarsHelper. That have some cool functions.

Sept. 8, 2016 | 7:08 a.m.

From the rakeback % Rate wpn has probably the same value, but its very hard to reach the highest Tier because of the Traffic, no zoom and the Traffic at 2/4+ isnt so good.

I did read that they want to come in the top 5 of pokersites, regarding the Traffic. Maybe in the Future it could be an alternative to stars.

Sept. 15, 2015 | 4:41 a.m.

Welcome :) i loved your Video Series the eightfold path to poker with Wayne Lively.

March 10, 2015 | 6:22 p.m.

Comment | Butcher1848 commented on NL50 3b Ahi

I think the flop play is fine.
Both lines are ok imo, so check/call or bet. It seems that he likes to call 3bets with a lot of weak hands.

Bet flop and bet turn cards like clubs Q+ and probably check/fold the rest is my line.

A check/call on the turn is not so good, because you block some FD that he will bet when check to, like K9s, KTs, KQs.

March 7, 2015 | 7:22 a.m.

Against such type of Players, i would probably fold most of my bluffcatchers on the river because the wwsf is sooo low, but the sample is pretty low.

We should have much better Hands in our range, that we dont need to call this Hand, maybe iam wrong :)
Especially on the T on the River he should be kind of scary for the overpairs in his range.

Nov. 1, 2014 | 7:33 a.m.

I think you have some mistaskes in your calculation.

If Button opens 50% and 4bets 20%, then it is a 10% Range.
If he 4bet/call TT+,AK(3,47%), then he will bluff with a 6,53% range. Therfore he folds around 65% of the time to a shove.
If he folds so much (you need a big sample) then you could shove ATC.

Below is a cardrunnersEv calc.

Oct. 30, 2014 | 4:20 p.m.

I think we should fold the river because he have to turn a made into bluff like AQo and i believe most villians will call the river and not rasing imo.
Thats a line where i think will have most villians to less bluffs.

Oct. 28, 2014 | 7:29 a.m.

I dont think that this make any difference if we got 22,77 or Q7. Against his valuerange its the same i think. He is repping only Flushes or maybe QQ but this hand he will probably raise on the turn.

Oct. 28, 2014 | 7:24 a.m.

Any reads on villian?

Against an unknwon i would probably call the flop too.
On the River he should know that he's repping a pretty narrow range, therefore i think i would fold, but i would like to hear more oppinions, because these are spots where i call to much too.

Oct. 28, 2014 | 7:15 a.m.

Of course, but much regs bluff to less or nothing on the River, then a call from us is pretty Bad. Did you already look at your River range if you have to defend this Hand? Like i mentioned before, iam not in Love with a call with this specific hand because of the blocked straight draws. Iam more likely to call with something like A9 for example. Maybe it doesnt matter.

Aug. 30, 2014 | 4:41 a.m.

I think your thought process is fine.

Iam not so sure if its so good that you got a Q in your hand, because you block a couple of bluffs. The flopped GS that he maybe raises (KQ, QJ). Especially QJ could doube barrel the turn with the turned double gutter.

Maybe iam a nit but i would fold the river. Iam not sure if he barrels three streets as a bluff when all the draws are missing.

Aug. 29, 2014 | 5:20 a.m.

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