forCarlotta's avatar


17 points

At NL2 the best thing you can learn is how to valuebet properly and play solid in general.
I wouldn't bluff at really, due the very little money involved that skew people toward calling lighter.

Dec. 11, 2019 | 1:56 p.m.

I would go against the grain here and take a note on his behaviour. The spot above is a somewhat rare and the note you asked for probably won't be useful if you encounter that player again.

I would just write:
Capable of bluffing hands in spot where ranges should be very very tight.
That's it

This allows you to make adjustments in other, and more significant spots

Dec. 10, 2019 | 8:27 a.m.

Screen scraping is available at PP, so be aware that your opponents can use it.
Regarding PP security, I have no much info beside 2p2

Keep up updated man, gl

Dec. 9, 2019 | 8:58 p.m.

Comment | forCarlotta commented on Any advice?

There's something off in your affirmation.
You can't start a session and autolose 10 BIs.

My assuption is that you are biased a lot. Best thing you can do is to research variance and aknowledge the fact that you aren't that unlucky. Now your brain believes that you are curse which is quite improbable, so if you can gather the facts that you don't it will help.

If you have PT4 I've made a report for you so you can check how's the difference between BB won and BB AI Adjusted. Yes it isn't the bigger picture but it should help

I don't play long session but I don't see any feel any huge anomaly (300k hands)

Filtered by difference (in my favour)

Filtered by difference (against me)

Also, I want to point out in a friendly way, that if you come here and make this statements chances are miss poker as a big picture. This lack is crucial, because imho you can't play super well and don't understand variance or poker in general.
That's good though, you can learn, as we do, there's no shame to lack in something.
In my experience, and even psychology is pretty clear about that, people whines to much about anything and overvalue their abilities.

Best of luck obv

Dec. 9, 2019 | 11:44 a.m.

  • been told that the competition at party poker is less good

on 2p2 most of the players report cheating/collusion/illegal HUDs.
The latter can be easily found just using google.
What's your initial feelings about PP? Have you started yet?

Dec. 9, 2019 | 10:51 a.m.

Comment | forCarlotta commented on NL50 - Fold river?

While the posters above advocate to call, I'm not so sure.
Yeah, we are holding the best bluffcatcher we can have, but meh, at NL50, I don't really know how many regs are capable of bluffing 200 BB deep. So in theory is a call, in practice it depends on the player pool I think.
Even he's repping so thin, if he doesn't raise anything but boats we can't call.

I'm more than happy to do a population analysis, what do you think I should looking for?
Some idea could be this:

Dec. 9, 2019 | 10:45 a.m.

I cannot comment on NL200 fish types but I can assure you that NL50 fish pool is bigger and contains a lot of player types.

I think you bias comes from the fact that you don't have a HUD. Our brain isn't very good at probabilities and tricks you in a lot of different ways. The result is that your perception of the pool is just a perception without a data backup.
Be careful with your assumptions

Dec. 8, 2019 | 10:44 a.m.

not a comment related question but... TheRedPillx do you nickname come from the TRP sub on Reddit?

Dec. 8, 2019 | 10:39 a.m.

As long as you are willing to move down and stick to your rules, you'll be fine.
The only risk of aggressive BR management is that, beside higher risk of going broke, is that players probably don't enforce their rules and don't move down when they should.

Dec. 8, 2019 | 10:38 a.m.

We all know BOTs threat is real, the AI is pacing at a very high speed and the poker outlook isn’t very promising. This is kinda depressing, pretty much I think you are feeling exact as I’m feeling right now.
You have devoted so much energy to this game and the dream begins to fade.

BOTs are like real-world nuclear weapons

Tons of countries have nuclear weapons but that doesn’t mean they can launch them without any hesitation. It’s imperative to showcase the warheads, it is a deterrent, it should prevent an attack.
BOTs are the poker nuclear alike weapons. Potentially they could disrupt poker, but it will be the case, if and only if, poker rooms won’t be something about it.

Let’s talk about the recent hyper HU scandal

I think there’s a lot on info we can talk about

PS showed that something can be done, and probably what they did is a simple database query. I think they just have a system that raise a flag if players are too similar. This is simple statistics and could be easily done, especially if they have all the data, as poker rooms have. It is very very cheap and quick.
This method would eliminate the majority of the BOT rings, period.

Worst case scenario for a game would be to be completely solved obv. But what happens when you know the full strategic tree? In theory you can deploy a BOT and profit, but you can only deploy one and one only BOT. You cannot solve a game and set up different accounts to play strategically different, it isn’t just possible. Now, just before someone jumps in and say that they can change their play sometimes… yes they can, but stats will converge in the long period.

If the developer used only one, he wouldn’t get caught ever, but you know what greed is right?
Well, cheaters weren’t greedy at all, they just exploit other poker rooms leaks, ie rooms don’t give a fuck about robots, so why they shouldn’t deploy a BOT ring if they are somewhat protected.
Obv, I don’t condone their actions, they damaged and continue to damage poker economy, but from a game theory perspective, they are incentivized to continue… there’s no reason to stop if rooms let they do it. If Villain continue to fold to your 3bets ATC, why the hell would you stop?

There isn’t a crime penalty for cheating at online poker
The risks are relatively small, if not, they would be far more cautious leaving a lot of money online, from the convos we can infer they much pretty much deposit and not be too concerned about it. C’mon we are taking about thousands of games.
No damage for the reputation, well, probably in the poker world, but not outside of it. As you saw in the xrab’s post, he isn’t afraid of taint his or other names. He know full well police won’t knock at his door

The scandal is depressing but the uncover is a blessing in disguise

Poker isn’t chess, there’s a lot of money involved and poker rooms don’t want to lose their business. Yes, some poker rooms just don’t care, since now. Simply, they aren’t incentivized enough to develop some counter measures. But as these shits are going public, they cannot ignore the problem anymore. There will be too much at stake and they will be forced to do something.
It’s easy to avoid or state the BOTs aren’t a problem if they are somewhat hidden, but when they are at surface, they can’t denial it.
Fishes don’t deposit like in the past, they are skeptical and skeptical about cheating and HUDs, so in the end, they won’t deposit anymore and everything will die.

Rooms could did more to avoid this outbreak

If all rooms were like PS, cheaters would be much less in number and the risk of getting caught wouldn’t justify the operation. Hypers are infected because poker rooms allowed them for a long time, if they would shut them down at the beginning, developers would had a huge deterrent.
But it wasn’t the case, PS banned them? Who cares? Let’s spread in the euro sites since nobody give a fuck. And they succeeded, effortlessly.

What players can do?

The Hyper Scandal, highlights a human flaw, money changes people’s value. It’s pretty astonishing that everyone in the HUSNG community know about it but kept for themselves. There’s something I’m missing here, why players would just quit instead of fighting? I don’t mean fight at the table which would be a losing proposition, but to fight posting the truth before, alarming the poker rooms over and over again.
I don’t want to attack anyone but I think, many players got ‘bribed’ for their silence. IMHO, there isn’t any other way. I might and I hope I’m wrong.
We tend to think poker players are very intelligent, but they are humans and they have the same biases like other people. I think they continue to prefer the short term gain (some money) instead of the long term (longevity of the game, slower but bigger profits)
Again, I’m not attacking anyone, but I’m missing a puzzle peace. Maybe some HS reg can reply to my question and let me understand.

Players should police their games even more. While I’m confident that poker rooms will deploy some measures, we cannot wait and hope for salvation, we have to fight for ourselves. Probably, database sharing is the short term solution, at least. If you combine hands regularly with other regulars and you have enough understanding of the game, you will recognize the cheating. Basically, have a huge database allows the players to have much more info, closes to the poker room’s data available.

Players should go public more. There’s a common thread along posters, if the info goes public their bottom line will be hurt so it’s better to be quiet. Nothing could be more far from the truth. The fish will deposit again if he knows he is somewhat protected. Real world scandals are a very good example of it. If someone got scammed by a bank, by a fund or by another company doesn’t mean he won’t have business again with them. In fact, people got scammed by a fund, so they invest in another one. But they return.

What rooms can do?

Stop ignore the facts
Xrab post about the BOT vs BOT war and all the accounts involved. It’s pretty much guaranteed that all the accounts from a group used the same strategy. Basically, if PRs would open up their HM they would see they 4 groups with the exact same stats. How can it be ignored? Well it can, if they don’t think about the long term.

Fight a BOT with a BOT should be the only viable solution.
Even in the worst case scenario, which is that GTO solution is known for a format, something can be done comparing the player stats with the GTO ones.
I guess AI will be used by cheaters ofc, but it will used by PRs also.
Regarding expensive costs, c’mon, this isn’t true… we are talking about companies that makes millions in rake each day.

There always will be the war between human and machines, but the demise could be prevented or at least slowed down by acting accordingly.
We don’t have to eliminate the hazard, it is pointless, we should strive to make cheaters’ life as tough as possible. Clearly, poker BOTting is a source of huge profit, but if the potential profit would be much less because they get caught often, funds got confiscaded more often it would be different.
Let’s say the reward to risk ratio for cheating is 5:1, if we reduce it to 2:1 it won’t solve the issue, but the incentive isn’t there anymore, there wouldn’t enough profit to justify the risk.

Dec. 6, 2019 | 10:35 a.m.

I use the check/jam line often vs a different kind of player though. Vs this one, who showed passive tendecies preflop even on a very low number of hands, I have no reason to infer that he would stab

Dec. 4, 2019 | 9:35 a.m.

Playing with the gamepad

Some weeks ago I’ve purchased and Xbox controller in order to play poker. I often find myself slouching or assuming very awkward positions, with my back screaming in pain. So I’ve decide to try poker with a controller and the result were astonishing.
Whenever I feel tired, I stand up and take a few steps in the room, without losing action. I can also play standing up straight or with my feet on my table. Whenever I use the controller I feel way more relaxed, I enjoy the sessions more, I tilt less and I’m more focused in general.
Here’s my setup:

As you can see I have some standard button to open the pot with different sizes, along with other standard fold/check button and the single mouse left click.
I use the left stick to move the mouse and when I have to be more precise I use the left trigger and the cursor move slowly, like the 'sniper mode' in videogames.
I can also maximize a table, so when I’m some meters away I can easily follow the action without being in front of my monitor.
'Hide table for 10s' is something I have done in the past a help me much with my frustration. Basically, whenever I do something notable, ie make a huge value bet and hope to get called, I just perform the action and then click my hotkey. For 10 seconds, a big black box show up over the selected table so I cannot see what happens. This allows me to focus on more important decisions on other tables, instead of staring and waiting for the Villain's decision on one table.
Since I listen to a lot of music, I've added 3 simple hotkeys in navigate trough Spotify

Dec. 3, 2019 | 9:04 a.m.

Next time leave out the results sice they skew some replies.

I'm more inclined to flat pre, due to my nittyness but I'm conviced that the EV gained from flopping a set multiway is way higher when you 3bet. Rarely you get folds and win the pot uncontested while when they call, their range is stronger and you face a lot of akward spots postflop

Dec. 2, 2019 | 3:33 p.m.

Do you plan to bet 6-7 and then fold ever?

Dec. 2, 2019 | 3:18 p.m.

I tried to hide my actions without any luck... but yeah I shoved misreading my opponents stack, but I'd would shove for 1,5x effective.

I feel lost though, you said to bet smaller and then you advocate to bet 67% pot. Can you plz elaborate a bit further? I if would bet I would go with akissv7 advice instead of my overshove.

Also, I don't see how you can bet/fold here? I mean, sure he can have a flopped flush or a set, but odds are against it, simple because you don't flop them much often. Very often we are against a marginal hand or a hand that have much equity against our hand but we aren't dead

Dec. 2, 2019 | 3:18 p.m.

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BB: $34.41
UTG: $34.42
MP: $12.11
CO: $31.58
BN: $39.08
SB: $26.33 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is SB with Q Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.70, BN calls $0.70, Hero raises to $3.50, BB calls $3.25, CO folds, BN folds
Flop ($8.40) 3 4 7
Hero bets $22.83 and is all in

Dec. 2, 2019 | 10:05 a.m.

I think you know there's no quick solution to that unfortunately. You gotta work on your mental game off the table. Basically you tilt because of your mistakes. Bear in mind that tilt is a broad definition, I can tilt like a monkey like you can tilt by losing motivation

Lately I've been reading (again) The Mental Game of Poker by Jared Tendler and there's a section dedicated to your issue.

Dec. 1, 2019 | 10:41 a.m.

Are you talking about preflop part in the Janda's first book?
Because if that's the case, in the 2p2 thread, the author said you can just skip it.
If not, would you care to elaborate a bit further because it is on my reading list and I don't want to waste my time

Dec. 1, 2019 | 10:35 a.m.

I also recommend this one, from a well know author.
The best part of the book is the end chapter Q&A. Love it

Dec. 1, 2019 | 10:33 a.m.

Well, Tipton's are math heavy related to Janda...
I guess, for the beginner is better Janda and for intermediate is way better Tipton's since they already know the key concepts

Dec. 1, 2019 | 9:54 a.m.

What about Will Tiptons' Expert Heads Up No Limit Hold'em vol 1 and 2? Have you read them?

Regarding your fifth point, I don'r really think Grinder's Manual is going to help you in GTO. As far as I remember, the only reference in unexploitable play is when the author teaches you how to build an unexploitable 3bet range. But, I'm sure Janda said this method is wrong.
Take all of it with a grain of salt, I might be wrong though

Dec. 1, 2019 | 9:08 a.m.

December goals:
- 90 hours of playing
- 30hrs off the table poker related
- Become a RIO elite member
- Read 4 books

90 hours of playing
I’m not a consistency king, so I struggle to keep up the work, even if I always longed to be an efficient man. Initially I wanted to log 40k hands in but, considering PS’s table cap and my willpower issues, tracking hours seems a better idea

30hrs off the table poker related
I will focus on strategy, since this is my main leak. But I will add some mental game work. I use a custom pomodoro technique to track my progress

Become a RIO elite member
Although this is pretty self-explanatory, I don’t plan to buy a membership but I want to earn it via forum points. It’s pretty important to post and to post meaningful things. I strive to get 100 points and I use points to track my progress

Read 4 books
I’ve improved my reading habits and I upgraded my method of “reading”. First and foremost I’ve allocated 4 20 minutes slots to this activity.
1. Just after I wake up, after I took coffee
2.3. When I drive
4. Before bed

I use Google Play Books to take notes, but I primary listen to the audiobook version. This is great when I drive, I can use that spare time to do something useful. Only in the morning I use my ebook reader, that’s because I hide my phone as I took the coffee, to prevent distractions.
I used to read a lot of self-help, psychology and similar books but I don’t want to do that anymore. I accrue so much info that I can’t even bear, and if I don’t apply that knowledge it’s pretty much useless.
I will focus on biographies and non-fiction (not self improvement)

I use Google Sheets to track results, if someone is interested to know how I'm doing, you can check it here

Poker results

Dec. 1, 2019 | 8:34 a.m.

I don't look at results/stats like you and I build some script to block PS buttons and cashier, as well as PT4 during the session.
You should try as well, saving you a lot of willpower

Nov. 28, 2019 | 7:27 p.m.

That's a great mindset, congrats.
I don't dwell on my past, but due to my childhood, I'm too much attach to others think about me unfortunately.

Following you and wish you the best

Nov. 28, 2019 | 10:37 a.m.

Sry, I'm not native so I've explained myself badly.

Do you regret any of your past decisions? Do you find yourself, sometimes or often, mull over the past instead of focus on the present?

Do you fear being judged my other people because of your decisions? For me, it is painful to tell what happened and because I'm so unhappy with my life. When you explain this here or to someone else you face the judge of the other person.

Nov. 28, 2019 | 9:02 a.m.

Foremost, ty for your time.

Right now I have to organize my time better before talk strategy with someone. Not because I don't want to but because I gotta organize better.
I feel overwhelmed but in reality, I shouldn't. That's because I'm not able to recognize priorities and act properly.
But we'll talk in the future :)
Best of luck mate

Nov. 27, 2019 | 8:56 p.m.

Really, what a story.

I'm interested in the more human aspect though, since I made a lot of mistakes.
Do you regret your decision? Do you have some fear do be judge here and in real life?

Nov. 27, 2019 | 8:53 p.m.

A few weeks ago I try to automate some things on my PC and I learned a bit of AHK.

My last script is my TiltBreaker version, a lite one though.
Basically it blocks my PS's cashier and hide PT4 during my session. So can estimate my win/loss but I cannot check actually.
Well, when things are going well, I don't check my results, but when I run pretty poorly I find myself, sometimes not always, refreshing the cashier or PT4's results screen. Obv you can figure out how much focus I lose.
When the session is finished, ie when I got 0 tables, PS autocloses and PT4 isn't restored, so I cannot check how my session went.

I don't know guys how you upload images on this forum, but I made another simple hotkey (the proper name is hotstring) that allows to post pics on this forum without crop them.
Just upload the image online (I use ShareX) and then type "img"

Nov. 26, 2019 | 10:21 p.m.

After a one-week break where I thought a lot about what to do with poker, I come up with the first idea:
Don't look at results anymore (while I still level up)

I want to establish myself at NL50 and never look back at NL25, I'm sick of that level, as I should be tbh. Also, at NL100 sometimes the action is pretty fishy and I want to take shots at it. As long as I move down if I lose, there won't be any problem. Also, in my career I've never break a money managment rule, so I'm pretty confident that I will continue to do it

Since I suffer from swings, as I sad above, I don't want to look at my results anymore. Losing 4 BIs in an hour would affect my day, as well as continue losing for few days in a row. Even make BE for a few session will hurt me my real life, so I gotta do something about it.

So I made a PT4 stat that tell me what level to play, without checking the cashier.

Obv I know the ranges, but it doesn't matter, what counts is that I won't my achored to my short term result as before

Nov. 25, 2019 | 2:21 p.m.

There was a video on CardRunners years ago when the creator of a GTO software demonstrate how 2 GTO players can be crushed by a fish

Nov. 25, 2019 | 12:20 p.m.

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