S0lidSnaKe If you are the guy I am thinking about playing on pokerstars.eu, I would advice you to start working both on your technical and mental game instead of spitting your anger on someone who is very likely to have a much higher bb/100 than yours. I've seen some of victor's graphs, and I've seen the way you play poker. Victor's thought process is infinitely more valuable than a random mediocre small stakes player spreading his anger on a well-intentionned guy. If you are not mature enough to realize this, please don't write again on this forum.
Btw in order to make this comment usefull I'll give my 2 cents about this hand:
I like 3barrels, but not with such a ridiculous sizing. Blockers are much more needed as you highen up your sizing, because you will earn a margin gain of the blockers effect as you highen up your sizing.
Keep in mind that bluffing should always be an exploitative play though. If a bluff is -EV, there is absolutely no reason to bet, even for the sake of "balance".
The population tends to overfold to 3barrels, expecially regs, that's why I like the river bet though.
Jan. 2, 2019 | 3:14 a.m.
Thanks for the advice guys. I realise that I might be too aggro here because I raise almost all of my flushdraw which don't have sdv.
However, correct me if I am wrong somewhere, but I don't see the argument of balance ( "make sense to show some bluffs(to get paid with value)" ) as being valid as I have learnt that bluffing is an exploitative play, especially at microstakes. If this bluff is breakeven or negative EV (which I have no idea about), there is no point for me to bet it as it will be kind of high variance and not making a huge long term profit...
Dec. 26, 2018 | 4:21 p.m.
Villain is a degen who 4bet/called me with A5s a few weeks ago, no other infos on him. Do we want to 3barrel here? Is this a good idea to force agression against this type of profile? Is the argument of making him fold worst draws enough to argue for a bet here? Thanks :)
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:53 a.m.
Hey, AQhh not really sure because it has sdvalue but I thought Q9hh and combo draw type hands without showdown value are way more often bet otf or check/raised. I could be wrong about the way the field plays, but I would also think that on the turn out of position especially with this SPR, straights would be raised a good chunk of the time. Not sure about anything I just said, those are just assumptions though :/
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:44 a.m.
Hey, CO is a pretty tight regular (20/17/5), bb is a fish given his preflop call and turn bet sizing.
OTT I thought that I wouldn't get called by worse by CO, but at the same time it seems like I have a lot of value on bb and I don't want to let anyone freeroll a diamond. So not sure about the check.
Against co's raise, I think that this profile won't ever raise with AdQx here. So the very bottom of his range is KQ imo, along with a ton of flushes, 33,44. BB's range is wide, but in equilab with weak Kx and draws, 0 flushes I have 20% Equity against both ranges. Found that tight in game, but afterwards seems like a pretty easy laydown to make going deeper into it.
What do you think? value bet the turn instead of checking? :)
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:41 a.m.
Hey guys, villain is unknown. Not sure about my flop or turn play, afterwards I prefer betting right otf as I don't think the field will raise/call enough here.
As play, villain's range is capped to Ace high, so seems like we want to bluff to get him off a split here?
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:29 a.m.
Hey, thanks for the reply man, but I must admit that this is pretty surprising to me, do you often expect to be up against worst here? I mean, my range is so uncapped, I have a bunch of flushes and straights here, not speaking about my sets, and overbets are underbluffed, so assuming he could have aces is kind of optimistic to me?
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:20 a.m.
After a few days meditating about this, I can definitely say that you are right on this. I wouldn't even confirm that it is my biggest fear.
Thanks for the advice man, I truly believe that some books/videos/experiences can be that life changing, I hope it will have the same effect on me.
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:10 a.m.
Hey, villain is a 20/18/5% 3bet reg over 500 hands, 70% fold to 3bet. His 5bet timing was like snap raise, my range is perceived strong, he never squeezes as a bluff here imo because he is committed to the fish... So can we fold/ just call?
Dec. 26, 2018 | 1:06 a.m.
Yeah all of those statements which have a good chance to be wrong are the result of me trying to figure out and apply Nick Howard's strategy on my own. I can relate to what you are saying because I still feel like I am probing the field with this new strategy I am trying to build, without being certain a 100% (even though in poker it is never the case) of most of my plays.
However so far I have seen tremendous changes on my game with much more confidence in it. There is a good chance it is only good run, but it can turn out that some of the exploits I have implemented might actually work...
But yeah overall after the feedback I got I think the play to make is to stick to a more standard preflop strategy at micros and then maybe get more fancy when I should at higher stakes and with a deeper understanding of the game.
Dec. 25, 2018 | 11:50 p.m.
Hey, villain is an unknown fish, but his 3bet sb vs UTG compared to his stack size makes me think that we're beat pretty often here.
1) Is a 4bet to iso the short fish better pre?
2) As played postflop, he sometimes shove with worse hands such as AK, so we are pretty commited here I guess?
Dec. 25, 2018 | 4:07 p.m.
Hey guys, villain is unknown. I open a lot in late positions in my game as players tend to be overly passive. But this call 3bet is really borderline, I wouldn't bother a fold afterwards.
OTT we already have a pure bluffcatcher as I think he polarizes to at least a straight here (maybe a set sometimes?), and he doesn't have a lot of offsuit hands with Ah unless AQ or AJ here as a bluff. So can we fold given our read on the field?
Dec. 25, 2018 | 4 p.m.
Hey, thanks for your reply!
I definitely have a leak here as I thought given his line, he could have some lower value hands such as flushes at a non-zero frequency (which we can count as bluffs in this scenario), would you definitely exclude that from your thinking process?
Dec. 24, 2018 | 3:02 p.m.
Very interesting, thanks!
Is this for the sake of balance/ not being counter-adjusted quickly?
I mean, logically, if I play in a field where the pool will be overly passive postflop, folds too much in various hotspots at a point where I can open 72o OtB and make long-term profit, it is a bit counter-intuitive to start folding it?
Even though in EP it makes a lot more sense that it will be inelastic given that much more oponents are left to act, the probability to get 3bet goes higher and higher quickly. It makes more sense intuitively because if "oponents agregated 3bet%"= X, X tends to the "infinite" if we go more and more early position ^^
Dec. 24, 2018 | 2:05 a.m.
Hey, villain is unknown.
OTR I don't think my hand is a pure bluffcatcher because villain could potentially do this sometimes with a Jx or a nutflush, but maybe I am wrong... The most probable holding is still KK imo, I think he raises KJ often OTT, but again I am not sure at all....
Dec. 24, 2018 | 1:53 a.m.
Hey, thanks for your answer, with these 3 nits after us what would be the bottom of your opening range?
Dec. 23, 2018 | 10:36 p.m.
This open is pretty standard for me, btn, co and bb are big nits (their VPIP is around 15 and 3bet 2%), sb is a big fish, and overall the pool is so passive that I can make profit of this kind of open.
OTF I go large to get maximum value on the fish, and now he shoves. I think he could definitely have Qx or draw type hands, but this is still close, given that he is 40/6/0 and seems passive.
Dec. 23, 2018 | 7:27 p.m.
Wow, I'm always shocked by the graphs you post. Pretty excited to see how you will do with your very exploitative strategy if you step up to the 500z pool.
Best of luck man, keep going! :)
Dec. 22, 2018 | 12:18 a.m.
Datapoint 1: villain 3bets vs UTG: underbluffed at microstakes
Datapoint 2: villain 3bets 10.5 bbs IP: more value heavy
Datapoint 3: Rainbow board texture on the turn, way less bluffs
Datapoint 4: villain bombs the turn with a pot size bet of 40bb
Datapoint 5: your range is uncapped
This is close, villain could definitely have TT, but I would fold the turn at 2NL. In close spots like this, I have 2 other arguments for folding: rake, and preventing yourself from tilt when facing a close decision in a big pot.
Dec. 20, 2018 | 12:37 a.m.
Hey man, good to see you keep improving and setting goals!
I struggle with organizing myself too, especially in my poker studies, do you have any advice about that?
Good luck and keep going! :D
Dec. 19, 2018 | 3:23 p.m.
Hey, I am pretty nitty in this kind of spot when an opponent is overly capped betting very small. My reasoning in these spots is that I basically don't have the read that he will even fold his thrash pair, without any data to confirm that people won't fold enough...
I think I may be too tight, do you do this often? And do you have the confirmation that you are making money with this play?
Thx for the feedback! :)