What website do you play at btw? There is a good chance your playing in a super high rake trap stake, in which case your winrate is godly and you are a high stakes crusher. 2nl and 25nl don't play that much differently so if you have a $500 bankroll you can easily beat 25nl with your winrate.
Jan. 26, 2021 | 5:43 p.m.
This is peak Poker baby. Never flat the 20th 3bet cause no reason to keep bluffs when villain has none and hope you cooler the other guy ALL IN. If he shows up with 33 here, game is rigged af but you can just BOAT UP to re-cooler villain to justify 150BB stack jamming. Plugged this into Snowie and every move was a blunder but you won the max money so WELL PLATED.
Jan. 26, 2021 | 11 a.m.
Pot Odds based decisions kinda suck. If you have 32s in the BB, you probably have pot odds to call when the whole table comes in but its going to be -ev. So I'd lean towards minimal defense frequencies. But I don't even know if being unexploitable = GTO. Feels like some spots will always leave you exploitable if you try to max EV. It's all a grey area and very conflicting. Like calling K7s on button vs BB 3bet at low stakes. Yea you are going to call that hand to meet the minimal defense frequency but I don't even think its even +ev. When stuff like that happens I prioritize ev over frequencies.
Jan. 26, 2021 | 3:24 a.m.
Website requires registration so I didn't bother. The guy running it Alvin Lau is legit though, he was one of the coaches way back when Cardrunners was around. With that being said its not worth 650 dollars for someone to interpret PIOSolver for you. Just buy a solver yourself and do it yourself.
Jan. 26, 2021 | 2:14 a.m.
You overcome it by simply setting a stop loss , lets say you take a shot and once you are down 10 BI, you move back down and grind it back again. This will help you realize that you have the ability to recover and be less afraid of losing. Your win rate is EXTREMELY good and you should be moving up way more aggressively. Most people do 20-25 bi bankroll management.
Jan. 25, 2021 | 8:59 a.m.
Preflop is a fold with hands as strong as TT. AQs and JJ might be 0 ev 3bets. You 4bet this and call the jam so you are bluff catching here and getting value owned by every overpair.
Nothing about your reads makes me want to do anything than doing a standard fold preflop. Having a note like 3bet ATo MP vs UTG does not help you at all if you don't know the rest of his range. We can assume he is bluffing ATo, but what is the exact ratio of his value/bluffs before we can exploit him by 4 betting 99? Then you have to know what he does with AK/QQ. We can assume hes doing that since hes aggressive, then hes got about 34 value hands. If he 4bets all his ATo, we still need him to be buffing another 16+ combos of bluffs for our 4bet to be reasonable, and when we do 4bet, we don't even want action, we just want him to fold. The missing piece of the puzzle is what other combos he's doing this with: KQ? Axs? 56s?. If you know that information you have a gameplay, otherwise its not necessary to force this play.
Jan. 20, 2021 | 3:40 a.m.
Q high flops are good for callers range so betting too wide is burning money. Snowie thinks you even need to check a hand as strong as AJss on Qxxss IP after 3betting, a hand that everyone is just cbetting because A high flush draw with overcard ccccombo draw get it in. That is how good Q high flops are for an optimal defender on the button.
Betting AQ on T85cc is way too wide as well, especially vs a SB defend which will be the widest defending range and contain hands as weak as 75s that hit this board and can't fold. At 5nl you can just value town everyone in 3bet pots and never bluff and be fine.
Jan. 19, 2021 | 1:21 a.m.
Get KK pre for 100 bb no matter what action. You raise EP, MP 3bet and CO 4bets, jam your KK here. You open in the same spot and get squeezed after 4 people call, jam your KK right here. You raise someone clicks it back and you click it back and he clicks it back, jam your KK right here too. KK=AA preflop.
Jan. 17, 2021 | 9:50 a.m.
You shouldn't be trying to auto jam 100 bb with AK/QQ+ at 20nl, esp facing multiway raises vs early position. The only hand strong enough to want that action preflop is AA. If you blindly get in AK/KK/QQ all the time, then you are in fact punting free stacks to every fish and nit reg that show up with only AA/KK. I suggest looking into solvers/AI and see the actual EV of these spots, it will reveal a lot.
Jan. 17, 2021 | 5:08 a.m.
You are probably defending by calling too wide with hands that should be folded such has low pocket pairs, or calling too wide by hands that should be 3bet, like AQs/AJs. The meat of your calling range (outside of blinds) is going to be AQo, JJ-88 for a tight range. If you are going wider than this you will be leaking money as the caller in SRP.
Jan. 16, 2021 | 6:49 a.m.
When the EV is that close then choose the one that best exploits your opponents, one you are most comfortable doing, one that maximizes fold equity, one that maximizes profit, etc - whatever heuristic you use will be fine.
You are human and you can't play like AI and try to find the best line when there's only a 2 percent difference in EV. Just accept that its close and its a waste of your time doing mental gymnastics to find the "best". The best a human brain can do is see the best few options and select one from there. So you already now the best two, just pick one and spend the time you would have used deciding to do other sims and find the other best two frequency and sizes for different boards. For mere human brains like us, finding out the top 3 lines for a variety of general spots and being able to identify them is more important than trying to find the best line in a very specific spot with very close EV.
For this flop the general takeway is that you can bet frequently and big when the flop hits your range hard. This spot is very similar to when you open UTG and BTN calls and flop is the rare AAA. Solver probably allows you to bet with all your hands for medium to big sizing and avoids small bets since your range is nutted. So as long as your betting most of the time for a significant chunk of the pot, its all good.
Jan. 15, 2021 | 10:10 p.m.
How many people feel this way? This might be esp true at microstakes. Your just trying so hard to make the most plus ev moves and it doesnt even matter cause you break even. Then you either cooler someone or someone coolers you once every hundred hands or so and you think to yourself what skill is there in this game? And now your just identifying all the good cooler spots trying to put your money in and dodging coolers from other people doing the same. This is what the game feels like in ring games.
Jan. 14, 2021 | 8:58 p.m.
You can actually exploit fold the flop if you know the tendency of this player or what the population bets with for pot - if its heavily weighted towards value on wet boards, which is mostly the case at 25nl.
The flop call is slightly +ev vs someone decent with balanced pot size bets, so its going to be closer to 0 ev with worse players like this guy. In practice I am personally folding flop and feel fine about it knowing its either meh or im getting value owned. Turn is a very easy call vs that size. River you are right at the indifference point vs his bet size which means its a fold since hes a fish.
These lines are really transparent when you follow the bet sizes since hes never going to be polarized with any bluffs here. Its mostly going to be Qx+ going for big value on flop, then facing a turn that brings straights and 2p and betting smaller cause they are scared, and feeling more confident when they didn't get raised on turn with another small river value bet.