at 10nl your bluff line with this hand would more convincing if you just bet flop bet turn bet river. You have to be a true sicko to convince me that your a 10nl reg that checks straights/2p/sets on this board.
June 16, 2020 | 5:26 p.m.
So villain is maybe folding slighty more than opitmal vs 3bets cbets IP, but its so marginal and not enough for me to adjust or care. Therefore just play normal.
Only significant exploit takeaway here is that you can probably 3bet him wide when your OTB vs his CO opens.
June 6, 2020 | 10:12 p.m.
I'd recommend Matthew Janda's books first before going into Mathematics of Poker. MOP is really dense, super math/tournament/game theory focused, and will take you a long time to read. Janda's book you can finish in a day and be satisfied you learn something. The authors of MOP are more phD math people, while Janda is a poker player. Totally different perspectives on the game.
June 5, 2020 | 1:38 p.m.
You absolutely cannot be betting flop small and only betting turn huge when you hit the nuts.
With that being said, I don't think you need to be at the level of knowing how to bet small on flop and playing wide ranges on the turn since you are a new player. You don't need these small betting ranges at all to beat micro stakes to begin with and its relatively advanced concept that advanced players don't even touch until after a few years of playing. Better to focus on other stuff.
Just as a standard, you can cbet half pot in most spots and feel fine about it. Like cbetting 77 here 1/2 pot is fine, you get overs to fold and you also get some thin value. It's the easiest way to play tbh. Yes GTO theory you should probably be checking or betting 1/4 pot here but that just adds 2 more ranges and you've already got your plate full as a new player, so don't worry about it.
June 3, 2020 | 7:57 a.m.
Playing with those stats is probably the most profitable way to beat micro stakes tbh. I don't think your going to see a massive increase in winrate if all of a sudden you played less nitty. If you want to incorporate someone to feel better about your game, start with increasing your RFI range. Just think about it: Your fold to 3bet is too much. Why? Because opponents are not 3betting enough. If they are not 3betting enough, it means they will let you realize the equity of hands that are at the bottom of your range which would otherwise have to fold to a 3bet. Therefore, you should be increasing your RFI.
June 1, 2020 | 6:04 a.m.
these boards will run out very poorly for your range more than you can confidently bet three streets big, meaning your going to have to bluff catch with hands like AA sometimes. If you want to bet for value, going 1/4 pot is going to the sizing that keeps weak you can get value again later in. The rest of ranges will be draws that you can't make fold anyway.
May 31, 2020 | 6:45 p.m.
Your bluff catching too wide if you call with 88s here, esp multiway
May 24, 2020 | 8:49 p.m.
Pre is fine flop is fine. Turn call is fine. River is bad. So you play your sets this way? Bet until flush comes and then check call looking to boat then donk overbet huge? Line is very unbalanced.
You got him to fold Jx and missed 1d FD on the river which you already beat. Villain might hero call with Ax which you split with, but everything else beats you. You managed to bet out all hands that you beat, bet him out of bluffing, and make his calling range only hands that beat you.
May 24, 2020 | 5:16 p.m.
May 23, 2020 | 7:47 a.m.
A 37/8 player is completely different from the 54/40 player that limp calls everything. This guy is tight and will be limping in with a much stronger range, so you need to be defending significantly less than if the btn opened are you are in the blinds.
May 21, 2020 | 12:42 p.m.
Based on Snowie.
Why does he needs to get his stack in? Cause he has the nuts and hes deep? We talking about ranges here and not transparent nut peddling bet sizes. Villain can raise worse/bluff river if we make smaller bet sizes, plus we can overbet jam river. All the worse boats are calling but if you make it so transparent then your just going to make all the weak flushes fold.
May 16, 2020 | 12:14 a.m.
I'm more interesting in how your winning so big in EP/MP. Are you playing like a super nit in those positions raising only with pocket pairs and suited broadways? Seems like your playing really tight RFI in all positions and not defending enough in late pos.
May 14, 2020 | 2:02 p.m.
Snowie is showing a 0 ev call 80/20 fold/call, which means in practice its a fold. I know your instincts and theory tell you gatta call top of my range low spr villain can have worst blah blah blah, but the AI thats played trillions of hands thinks this spot is neutral which means the troglodytes clicking buttons at your stake won't have the brain power to construct a range to make your AA here 0ev and only show up with better, including a random 8x which should never be raising.
May 14, 2020 | 1:56 p.m.
AQs pre is marginally better as a 3bet. Flop slighty better as a raise. River can be bet smol -> decision if raised. Versus the overbet jam you are in a 0 ev spot which means up to 10000000nl your opponent has the nuts so its an easy fold.
May 14, 2020 | 1:35 p.m.
Flop sizing smol looks perfect. Turn sizing sizing make it smol again. Villains calls with 88 and jamming the turn is completely awful spew as you will only be stacking off with only better made hands and high equity combo draws. If you can bet smol on flop and get under pairs like 88 to call then your printing money in these spots. It means population is calling too wide even vesus smol bets.
May 14, 2020 | 1:20 p.m.
I see this a lot: over betting with super high equity hands to try to get maximum fold equity while having 12+ outs, shoving as much money as possible into the pot and not wanting to see more streets. It can't that terrible of a play due to raw equity, but are you overbetting J9/JJ/99/33/AA on this board? Where's the actual cutoff in your range where you stop doing this? Cuz if im playing this style then im just going to overbet with the nuts and combo draws. If your not doing this with hands like top set as well, then I don't understand how you can construct a sensible range.