So I dont think villain gets to the river with good bluffcatching hands. Not much Ax play this way other AQ that beats you. I doubt he will double barrel AK, AT OTT cause you pretty much always call all your made hands on that turn and you have much more 8x. Some few bad players might call a river lead-shove with KQ, QT cause they block straights or some nonsense, but I dont think these players are representing player pool.
In general a think a lead OTR will seem too strong and I don't think is an exaggeration to say that a lot of villains might even fold a naked Ax there.
About leading small, I dont think its that much different than checking and letting villain bluff some rare amount of the time or overvalue his hand. I dont think one option will make much more money than the other.
June 23, 2019 | 8:19 a.m.
Do you think generally in swallow spots similar to this one can I check the shoving range as a starting point to construct my opening range for that spot or is that generalizing too much? If we dont have any other info ofc.
June 20, 2019 | 8:26 p.m.
If we just flat the open should we always be betting when x to OTF ? Should we be using a bigger sizing to extract from all lower PP and A highs or do you think population x back Qx too much and bets for protection with worse hands?
June 19, 2019 | 11:55 a.m.
BN: 12,762 (Hero)
June 19, 2019 | 11:49 a.m.
Ok I got a bit lost in that. But correct me if I am wrong, no matter what this is not a pot we will usually make too much money on since equities run close. Being OOP incentivizes us to keep the pot smaller as well as the fact that villains wont be calling with many hands that are really far behind?
June 12, 2019 | 7:51 p.m.
13:00 Lets say on a board similar to the K86 rainbow, is there any way to recognize whether we want to cbet big with 99 or TT? Maybe you've recognized a pattern? To me it seems like on boards that we split our range (dont do much range cbetting) we want to bet big with those? Ofc talking about just one overcard to our PP.
Lastly to me it feels like hands like 99 or TT should suffer the most EV drop if I make the "mistake" to bet small when I should be betting big. Is that true?
Anyway thanks for the content, seem slike so much work to make these!
June 11, 2019 | 12:02 p.m.
I really didnt understand whats the logic here. I think recreationals are never folding JT, QT, etc. So dont we want to tax them for the max when we bet? Dont we want to make them make mistakes? Like if I had bet 3.300 I think calling JT multiway with no BFD is bad. Isn't that how we will make money? I understand this hand is not that great but we have great coverage for streets to come. Am I missing something?
June 6, 2019 | 2:05 p.m.
CO: 9,051 (Hero)
June 5, 2019 | 3:40 p.m.
June 4, 2019 | 9:14 p.m.
CO: 48,740 (Hero)
June 4, 2019 | 8:53 p.m.
BN: 32,380 (Hero)
June 4, 2019 | 8:26 p.m.
BB: 3,305 (Hero)
June 4, 2019 | 8:16 p.m.
Defintely has its merits, avoiding playing OOP or getting 3bet by an aggressive BB. Ryan Martin Also don't you think you will end up making more money than the solver indicates if you do it vs the right opponents? In my opinion even ok-good regs will be folding too much to those especially mid stakes and lower. Just don't do it vs recreationals or when there is money to be made by weak players on later positions right?
June 2, 2019 | 4:29 a.m.
Whats funny is I was just watching this hand review from bencb https://youtu.be/OjRd51rC4No , he had a really similar spot at 19:32 shoving for 38BB SBvsBU. He explains how we should always be taking the most profitable line and how profitable it actually is! It was just mindblowing to see how much more money shoving makes with hands that most of us would flat. Especially if you think how much tighter people call a 38BB 3bet in practise.
June 1, 2019 | 7:15 a.m.
Hey Pedro, really looking forward to the rest of the series.
At 41:00 whats the reason PIO pure checks A5s, A4s etc while betting with most higher Ace highs? Is it just for the sake of checking something that has good playability? I guess in practise we should be betting those, given how many folds we will get and that people wont really pay attention on whether we x back the right amount or not right?
Also what leads to OOP having a polar x/rasing range? Is it IP's high cbet% combined with the amount of air IP has in that range?
May 19, 2019 | 9:50 a.m.
I was checking my Pokertracker stats for the past 2 months, over 36k hands total and 4k hands on the BB I have lost almost as many BB as I have won in all other positions combined... It seems like all my loosings are on the BB and some in the SB, I've lost more than 1.5k BB on BB. My fold to steal is 40%, my 3bet is 6.6%, my 3bet steal is 11%, my call PF 2bet ( I assume this is the "call open PF" ) 41%. Do you see any weird stats here? I will gladly provide more stats if you want to see more, just help a bit with the filters I should use.
May 15, 2019 | 2:31 p.m.
I just thought it was an interesting spot if you consider he OL and I have no 76s. We have a pair and a redraw but loosing to plenty of hands A8, A5, A9, 76, 55. Not like I was afraid I just thought it wasn't a no-brainer. What size should I be using If we were deeper here, maybe an overbet?
May 15, 2019 | 1:07 p.m.
About KJs at 13:00, if you were in villains shoes with ATs as you were speculating, is it a mandatory call OTT with second pair only and a blocker to a lot of IP's ( hero's ) bluffs like AQ, AJ etc. Your bet wasnt small either way.
May 12, 2019 | 6:07 a.m.
You thought I was done lol?
At 39:29 OTT you are checking QJs a ton although he is betting almost all his Jx OTF with a high frequency and you are blocking straights a lot. Also AJ is a really frequent check for OOP which I also do not understand, you unblock straights but he bets most of those OTF.
May 12, 2019 | 5:52 a.m.
Hey man great review as always.
At 26:00 you say you defend Q3o and then you skip the hand? I mean I would be defending Q7o at most so I am pretty confused. Are you supposed to call Q3o or did you wanna say something else?
Also at 27:15 J7o has to be a shove for 13BB even 14 I think, if im wrong I will be sad, do you raise fold cause he is extremely tight so you will be really far behind if you shove and he calls and he probably doesnt reshove enough?
May 12, 2019 | 5:16 a.m.
About turn, after flop checks through I thought BU range is much more A high heavy, also given the flop texture he would be betting all his bluffs/ draws OTF. So I thought it would be a really close spot taking everything into consideration, his bluffs OTT 3way are just not existant...